CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
44226 Harsdale Dr
D Composite 44.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

44226 Harsdale Dr · Westland, MI 48187
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,043 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1978 7,841 sqft lot Est $413k · at est. $12/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $140 (about $11.67/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding and brick exterior
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Patio/porch; Fenced backyard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range/oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Unfinished basement; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($568/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $311k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Westland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MI, #3,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D+.
  • Plymouth-Canton Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #27 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Hoben Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #328 of 1,397 statewide, top 26%, 464 students, 29% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D+, #143 of 493 statewide, top 30%, 714 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 14% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Plymouth-Canton Community Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $311,385 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$412,686
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44226 Harsdale Dr 0.00mi 4/2.5 2,043 (0%) 1mo $412,000 $202 95
43935 Harsdale Dr 0.16mi 4/2.5 2,152 (+5%) 2mo $435,000 $202 78
44737 Fair Oaks Dr 0.30mi 4/2.5 1,914 (-6%) 8mo $440,000 $230 65
407 Fairfield Ct 0.42mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,115 (+4%) 1mo $475,000 $225 63
1607 Brookline St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,131 (+4%) 0mo $406,000 $191 60
43935 Marne Ct 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,061 (+1%) 2mo $365,000 $177 58
802 Cherry Stone Dr 0.70mi 4/2.5 1,933 (-5%) 2mo $470,000 $243 52
44528 Whitman Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,138 (+5%) 2mo $320,000 $150 52
446 Cherry Stone Dr 0.53mi 4/2.5 2,311 (+13%) 1mo $496,000 $215 49
1494 Ranier Blvd 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,169 (+6%) 8mo $365,000 $168 44
1625 Longfellow Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,213 (+8%) 8mo $312,000 $141 42
1710 Longfellow Dr 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,213 (+8%) 7mo $330,000 $149 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-66,359
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-72,084
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48187

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,114 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,636/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$12
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$654
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,054
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $161 +0% $47 +5% $-66 +10% $-179
Rent -10% $-199 -5% $-76 +0% $47 +5% $170 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $149 base $47 +0.5pp $-56 +1.0pp $-162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
44741 Cherry Hill Rd Canton, MI 4.0 2.5 2518 $3,500 $1.39 0d 1 0.29mi
912 Petersburg Dr Canton, MI 5.0 3.0 2934 $3,800 $1.30 26d 1 0.61mi
912 Petersburg Dr Canton, MI 5.0 3.0 2934 $3,800 $1.30 45d 1 0.61mi
45293 Horseshoe Cir Canton, MI 3.0 2.5 1930 $2,400 $1.24 45d 1 0.70mi
5739 Willow Creek Dr Canton, MI 3.0 2.0 2600 $2,600 $1.00 18d 1 1.14mi
1725 Heron Cir Canton, MI 3.0 3.5 2788 $2,800 $1.00 45d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$12 · $144/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

  2. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

  3. 2026-04-25
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

  4. 2026-04-25
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

  5. 2026-04-18
    listed $400,000 Active 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

  6. 2026-04-18
    listed $400,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

  7. 2026-04-16
    historical $400,000 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,636 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,898 · $325/mo
Expected delta
+$2,262/yr (+$189/mo · 138.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,366
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$1,636
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,989
− Management
−$2,989
− HOA
−$144
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$6,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,544
After-tax cash flow
$2,112/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plymouth-Canton Community Schools
NCES district ID
2628560
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$82,996
Composite
55.86/100
National rank
#1204
State rank
#27 of 540 in MI

Livability — Westland

Score
77/100
State rank
#124
US rank
#3067

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
83,633
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
53,376
Household income
$120,321
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1006.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Asian 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -299.97%
Current HPI
198.75
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-25 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $400,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $400,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $400,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,636 · -56.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…