44226 Harsdale Dr · Westland, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $140 (about $11.67/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding and brick exterior
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Patio/porch; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range/oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Unfinished basement; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($568/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $311k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Westland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MI, #3,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D+.
- Plymouth-Canton Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #27 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Hoben Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #328 of 1,397 statewide, top 26%, 464 students, 29% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D+, #143 of 493 statewide, top 30%, 714 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 14% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Plymouth-Canton Community Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $412,686
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44226 Harsdale Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,043 (0%) | 1mo | $412,000 | $202 | 95 |
| 43935 Harsdale Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 2,152 (+5%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $202 | 78 |
| 44737 Fair Oaks Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 1,914 (-6%) | 8mo | $440,000 | $230 | 65 |
| 407 Fairfield Ct | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,115 (+4%) | 1mo | $475,000 | $225 | 63 |
| 1607 Brookline St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,131 (+4%) | 0mo | $406,000 | $191 | 60 |
| 43935 Marne Ct | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,061 (+1%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 802 Cherry Stone Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 1,933 (-5%) | 2mo | $470,000 | $243 | 52 |
| 44528 Whitman Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,138 (+5%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $150 | 52 |
| 446 Cherry Stone Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,311 (+13%) | 1mo | $496,000 | $215 | 49 |
| 1494 Ranier Blvd | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,169 (+6%) | 8mo | $365,000 | $168 | 44 |
| 1625 Longfellow Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,213 (+8%) | 8mo | $312,000 | $141 | 42 |
| 1710 Longfellow Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,213 (+8%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $149 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-66,359
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-72,084
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48187
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,636/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$12
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$654
- Net cashflow
- $47
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $161 | +0% $47 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-76 | +0% $47 | +5% $170 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $249 | -0.5pp $149 | base $47 | +0.5pp $-56 | +1.0pp $-162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44741 Cherry Hill Rd Canton, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2518 | $3,500 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 912 Petersburg Dr Canton, MI | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2934 | $3,800 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 912 Petersburg Dr Canton, MI | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2934 | $3,800 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 45293 Horseshoe Cir Canton, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1930 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5739 Willow Creek Dr Canton, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2600 | $2,600 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1725 Heron Cir Canton, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2788 | $2,800 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $12 · $144/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
-
2026-05-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
-
2026-04-25historical Accepting Backup Offers 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
-
2026-04-25historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
-
2026-04-18$400,000 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
-
2026-04-18$400,000 Active
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
-
2026-04-16historical $400,000 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath gem in one of Canton's most sought-after neighborhoods. Enjoy beautifully updated granite counters in the kitchen, along with both a formal dining room and a casual eat-in area. Hardwood floors run throughout the main living spaces and upstairs rooms, complemented by a bright living room and cozy family room. The master suite offers comfort and privacy upstairs, while the large basement is ready for your personal touch and future finishing. Outside, a fenced backyard provides plenty of space for play and relaxation. Additional highlights include an attached garage, newer roof and mechanicals for peace of mind, and four generously sized bedrooms. Located minutes from shopping, multiple parks, and within the highly rated Plymouth-Canton School District, this is the perfect home for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and community. Don't miss this exceptional opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,636 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,898 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,262/yr (+$189/mo · 138.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$1,636
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,989
- − Management
- −$2,989
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$6,435
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,544
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plymouth-Canton Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628560
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,996
- Composite
- 55.86/100
- National rank
- #1204
- State rank
- #27 of 540 in MI
Livability — Westland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #3067
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 83,633
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,376
- Household income
- $120,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1006.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Asian 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.97%
- Current HPI
- 198.75
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-18 Listed $400,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-18 Listed $400,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $400,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,636 · -56.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…