88 Udell Rd · Voorheesville, NY 12193

$80,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 564 sqft · Manufactured public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1970 1.00 ac lot ↓ 41% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.1/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.2/10.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Scenic one acre lot with large two bay garage and small two bedroom mobile home. Perfect for a handy person or someone who needs a large garage space to work out of. This property is a trust and is sold as is.

Key facts

• One acre lot
• Two bay garage
• 1 acre lot

Tags

• ONE ACRE LOT
• TWO BAY GARAGE
• TWO BEDROOM MOBILE HOME

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 1.6% in Voorheesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#369 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
• Berne-Knox-Westerlo Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #275 of 590 in NY (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.22% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.18%
• DSCR: 1.54
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.59×
• Total profit: $58,065
• Equity at exit: $72,070

10-year hold

• IRR: 28.7%
• Equity multiple: 8.13×
• Total profit: $159,621
• Equity at exit: $155,422

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12193

• Home prices YoY: 16.9%
• Active inventory: 17
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $978 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$205
• Net cashflow: $227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-19
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-02
   listed $80,000 Active
3. 2025-10-06
   historical
4. 2025-08-08
   price $89,000
5. 2025-08-08
   price $89,000
6. 2025-04-06
   listed $135,000 Active
7. 2025-04-06
   listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,112 · $93/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,232 · $103/mo
• Expected delta: +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 10.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,741
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$1,112
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$939
• − Management: −$939
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $1,542
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$370
• After-tax cash flow: $2,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Berne-Knox-Westerlo Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3604650
• Math proficiency: 54% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $68,684
• Composite: 49.13/100
• National rank: #2046
• State rank: #275 of 590 in NY

Livability — Voorheesville

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #369
• US rank: #6390

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 1,829

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 320,794 people
• By 2030: 327,401 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 338,218 · +5.4%
• By 2050: 348,467 · +8.6%
• By 2075: 381,693 · +19.0%
• By 2100: 393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 20% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 44.94%
• Current HPI: 311.509
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-40.7% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-19 Pending — Global MLS
• 2026-04-02 Listed $80,000 Global MLS
• 2025-10-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
• 2025-08-08 Price Changed $89,000 Global MLS
• 2025-08-08 Price Changed $89,000 HVCRMLS
• 2025-04-06 Listed $135,000 Global MLS
• 2025-04-06 Listed $135,000 HVCRMLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,112 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.