N3175 Mistle Rd · Geneva, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming bungalow style home blocks from Lake Como & all the fun lake living has to offer! Lake Como Beach Association offers beach, park, clubhouse & more. Golf cart & UTV friendly community adds to the relaxed lifestyle. This home is a diamond in the rough with endless potential. HUGE walk-up attic for a future bedroom, office, or additional living space. Major updates include Furnace & Central Air 2021. Roof 2018. Water Heater 2005. Surrounded by newer homes & new construction down the street, this desirable & upcoming lake community continues to grow in popularity! Whether you're looking for a year-round home, weekend getaway or investment opportunity
Key facts
- Roof
- Water heater
- Huge walk-up attic
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Shed included; Several appliances and certain personal property excluded by seller (stove, refrigerator, microwave, freezer, beverage refrigerator, small cherry tree in backyard)
- HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $85 (payment frequency unknown)
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Entry and main living areas on main level; Zoned R2
- Construction: Aluminum or aluminum/steel exterior siding; Information source for year built: Assessor/Public Record
- Exterior features: Aluminum / Aluminum or steel exterior; Deeded water access to a lake; Water access/rights; Garden shed; Lot under 1/2 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 16)
- Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom (9 x 11); Main-level second bedroom (10 x 11); Upper-level third bedroom (27 x 20)
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Shower stall; 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood floors; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lake Geneva-Genoa City Uhs School District (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #258 of 342 in WI (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Geneva Middle (math 31% / reading 40%, grade F, #200 of 383 statewide, top 53%, 615 students, 40% FRL); Badger High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #199 of 483 statewide, top 42%, 1,326 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 234 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 474 units permitted in Walworth County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.75%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $294,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N3199 Hickory Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,076 (-2%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $297 | 78 |
| W3990 Longfellow Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-8%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $79 | 77 |
| N3090 Uranus Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (+2%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $231 | 73 |
| N3131 Nymph Rd | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+4%) | 14mo | $225,000 | $197 | 71 |
| W3796 Lakeview Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (-4%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $245 | 66 |
| N3062 Uranus Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (0%) | 9mo | $375,000 | $341 | 62 |
| W3895 Woodland Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-13%) | 16mo | $320,000 | $333 | 54 |
| N3219 Cherry Rd | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,005 (-9%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $318 | 52 |
| W3814 Orchid Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 974 (-12%) | 16mo | $212,500 | $218 | 45 |
| N3191 Vine Rd | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $167 | 43 |
| W3780 Cypress Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (-10%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $268 | 43 |
| N3085 Canary Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-8%) | 11mo | $312,500 | $308 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-15,457
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $18,664
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53147
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,521 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$7
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $394
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $535 | -5% $464 | +0% $394 | +5% $323 | +10% $252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $195 | -5% $294 | +0% $394 | +5% $493 | +10% $593 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $520 | -0.5pp $457 | base $394 | +0.5pp $329 | +1.0pp $263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $7 · $84/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $249,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $249,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $249,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $249,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$259,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,112 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,368 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,255/yr (+$105/mo · 59.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$2,112
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,420
- − Management
- −$2,420
- − HOA
- −$84
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $695
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$167
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Geneva-Genoa City Uhs School District
- NCES district ID
- 5507650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,486
- Composite
- 27.25/100
- National rank
- #7013
- State rank
- #258 of 342 in WI
Livability — Geneva
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Como, WI
- County
- Walworth County · 37,189 people
- Metro
- Whitewater, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,638
- Household income
- $83,566
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 526.0
Population outlook (Walworth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 104,803 people
- By 2030
- 105,459 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 104,991 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 102,207 · -2.5%
- By 2075
- 97,177 · -7.3%
- By 2100
- 89,043 · -15.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walworth
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.2) · D 38.3% · R 60.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: -22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.2 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.25%
- Current HPI
- 243.6097
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Whitewater, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $259,900 METROMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,112 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…