18385 SE 18th Street Rd · Silver Springs Shores East, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
POND VIEW 2/1 Single wide on . 31 of an acre! Must see investment home that is already move in ready! Step into view of a 12x18 screened in porch that overlooks the pond (which is dry at the moment. ) Home has 2024 updated vinyl flooring throughout the home. Huge master bedroom as well as a second guest room. Bathroom includes 2024 double vanity and cosmetic finishing as well as a walk in shower. Home also includes updated washer & dryer, updated glass top range, refrigerator, microwave, metal roof, and a privacy fence on one side of home. All of this for just $61,000! Don't wait and come see this today! It wont last! Home is located in the Ocala National Forest which affords you almo
Key facts
- Double vanity
- Pond view
- Screened in porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential mobile home; Lot approximately 0.31 acre (about 58 x 110); Roads are asphalt/paved; Zoning: R4; Partially furnished; Living area reported as 744 sq ft; building area 1,268 sq ft; Foundation details: crawlspace; Universal property ID on file
- HOA & community: No association; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One-story; South-facing
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built for fixer condition
- Exterior features: Storage shed(s); Pond frontage (20 feet) with water access and water view; Cleared, sloped lot in county
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Window treatments; Florida room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: East Marion Elementary School (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 620 students, 79% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.82%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,752
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 SE 185th Ct | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-3%) | 4mo | $59,250 | $82 | 88 |
| 19049 SE 16th Pl | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 737 (-1%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $122 | 58 |
| 18640 SE 22nd Ln | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+13%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $83 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $21,705
- Equity at exit
- $9,095
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $59,647
- Equity at exit
- $5,274
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34488
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,065/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $530 | -5% $513 | +0% $496 | +5% $478 | +10% $461 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $449 | +0% $496 | +5% $542 | +10% $589 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $526 | -0.5pp $511 | base $496 | +0.5pp $480 | +1.0pp $464 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-17$61,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,065 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,065 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$1,065
- − Insurance
- −$305
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $5,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,272
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores East
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,525
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.45%
- Current HPI
- 227.3763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+408.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $61,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2011-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1982-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,065 · +23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…