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2101 Spruce St
B- Composite 65.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,500

2101 Spruce St · Hannibal, MO 63401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Other public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1900 3,615 sqft lot $72/sqft · 106% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great curb appeal in this move-in ready three bedroom one bathroom home on a corner lot. Featuring updated kitchen and bathroom plus new carpet and flooring. An added bonus is off street parking slab in the backyard and central heating and air. This is a great starter home - Call today for your appointment!

Key facts

  • 3,615 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 72 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.4% in Hannibal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#81 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, employment D.
  • Hannibal 60 (town): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #142 of 324 in MO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $584 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,430 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.26%
Cash-on-cash
14.17%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$41,045
List price
$84,500
Delta
105.87%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,078
Equity at exit
$12,599
10-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$26,354
Equity at exit
$7,306

Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63401

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$443
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $411/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $649
Max offer price $84,500
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,125
Closing costs
$2,535
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,500 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,500 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,500 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,500 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,500 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,500 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,500 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,500 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $84,500 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,500 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-04-30
    price $94,500 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Great curb appeal in this move-in ready three bedroom one bathroom home on a corner lot. Featuring updated kitchen and bathroom plus new carpet and flooring. An added bonus is off street parking slab in the backyard and central heating and air. This is a great starter home - Call today for your appointment!

  15. 2026-04-06
    listed $99,500 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Great curb appeal in this move-in ready three bedroom one bathroom home on a corner lot. Featuring updated kitchen and bathroom plus new carpet and flooring. An added bonus is off street parking slab in the backyard and central heating and air. This is a great starter home - Call today for your appointment!

  16. 2025-12-16
    soldstatus
  17. 2025-12-12
    soldstatus Closed 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    This 2/3 bedroom home sits on a corner lot located on Hayden and Spruce St. There is off street parking and access from an alley. The laundry is located on the main level. The large kitchen offers a space for a small table. A little freshing up and this could be a great investment property or a single family residence. NEW roof 2023.

  18. 2025-12-01
    status Pending 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    This 2/3 bedroom home sits on a corner lot located on Hayden and Spruce St. There is off street parking and access from an alley. The laundry is located on the main level. The large kitchen offers a space for a small table. A little freshing up and this could be a great investment property or a single family residence. NEW roof 2023.

  19. 2025-11-04
    price $42,000 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    This 2/3 bedroom home sits on a corner lot located on Hayden and Spruce St. There is off street parking and access from an alley. The laundry is located on the main level. The large kitchen offers a space for a small table. A little freshing up and this could be a great investment property or a single family residence. NEW roof 2023.

  20. 2025-09-19
    listed $49,000 Active 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    This 2/3 bedroom home sits on a corner lot located on Hayden and Spruce St. There is off street parking and access from an alley. The laundry is located on the main level. The large kitchen offers a space for a small table. A little freshing up and this could be a great investment property or a single family residence. NEW roof 2023.

  21. 2025-09-19
    historical $49,000 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    This 2/3 bedroom home sits on a corner lot located on Hayden and Spruce St. There is off street parking and access from an alley. The laundry is located on the main level. The large kitchen offers a space for a small table. A little freshing up and this could be a great investment property or a single family residence. NEW roof 2023.

  22. 2018-07-30
    soldstatus
  23. 2018-07-27
    soldstatus
  24. 2018-06-04
    listed $6,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$411 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$409/yr (+$34/mo · 99.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,031
− Mortgage interest
−$4,733
− Property taxes
−$411
− Insurance
−$422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$962
− Management
−$962
− Depreciation
−$2,458
Taxable income
$2,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$499
After-tax cash flow
$2,854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hannibal 60
NCES district ID
2913650
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,349
Composite
34.39/100
National rank
#5208
State rank
#142 of 324 in MO

Livability — Hannibal

Score
73/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#5358

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hannibal, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,125

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,640 people
By 2030
28,432 · -0.7%
By 2040
27,597 · -3.6%
By 2050
26,203 · -8.5%
By 2075
21,931 · -23.4%
By 2100
15,765 · -45.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.1% · R 76.0%
2008→2024 swing
-29.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+32.0 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.01%
Current HPI
189.6907
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1353.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $94,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $99,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-12-12 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $42,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $49,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Coming Soon $49,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-04 Listed $6,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $411 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…