7583 E Gray St · Otisco, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Secluded Nabb Indiana Home for Sale | Perfect Country Starter If you’ve been searching for homes for sale in Southern, Indiana that offer true privacy, this is the sanctuary you’ve been looking for. Tucked away on a quiet, secluded street in Scott County, this 2-bedroom property is the ideal starter home or move-in ready option for a new family. Walk through the front door and feel the warmth of the wood-burning stove—the ultimate centerpiece for cozy Southern Indiana winters. The home features new LVP flooring, providing a modern, low-maintenance finish that can handle country life. A standout feature is the oversized mudroom, offering the perfect "buffer zone" for gear and storage after enjoying the outdoors! For those with hobbies, the attached garage with 3-sided coverage provides ample parking for ATVs, trucks, and outdoor toys. Enjoy the peace of country living with no neighbors "right there" and no through-traffic. Disclosure: To help you envision the potential of this space, some photos have been virtually staged or AI-enhanced.
Key facts
- Country living
- Secluded street
- Attached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-437/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (4.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (28.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $93k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Scott County School District 2 (town): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #166 of 301 in IN (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Scott County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.20%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,518
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -25.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $21,861
- Equity at exit
- $67,550
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $70,941
- Equity at exit
- $111,853
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47147
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $931 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $437/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-29$129,900 Active 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
Secluded Nabb Indiana Home for Sale | Perfect Country Starter If you’ve been searching for homes for sale in Southern, Indiana that offer true privacy, this is the sanctuary you’ve been looking for. Tucked away on a quiet, secluded street in Scott County, this 2-bedroom property is the ideal starter home or move-in ready option for a new family. Walk through the front door and feel the warmth of the wood-burning stove—the ultimate centerpiece for cozy Southern Indiana winters. The home features new LVP flooring, providing a modern, low-maintenance finish that can handle country life. A standout feature is the oversized mudroom, offering the perfect "buffer zone" for gear and storage after enjoying the outdoors! For those with hobbies, the attached garage with 3-sided coverage provides ample parking for ATVs, trucks, and outdoor toys. Enjoy the peace of country living with no neighbors "right there" and no through-traffic. Disclosure: To help you envision the potential of this space, some photos have been virtually staged or AI-enhanced.
-
2018-09-14soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $437 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$333/yr (+$28/mo · 76.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$437
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$894
- − Management
- −$894
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$2,759
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$662
- After-tax cash flow
- $226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County School District 2
- NCES district ID
- 1810020
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,529
- Composite
- 32.37/100
- National rank
- #5734
- State rank
- #166 of 301 in IN
Livability — Otisco
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,608
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,525 people
- By 2030
- 21,609 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 19,536 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 17,370 · -22.9%
- By 2075
- 12,862 · -42.9%
- By 2100
- 9,340 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 1% Romanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.4% · R 74.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+6.2 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.22%
- Current HPI
- 213.0711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+224.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $129,900 SIRA
- 2018-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2024): $437 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…