649 Dalzell St · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home on a quiet street in the Historic Highland neighborhood.
Key facts
- Built 1927
- Listed 17 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Creswell Elementary School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #516 of 646 statewide, top 82%, 250 students, 81% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); C.E. Byrd High School (math 44% / reading 55%, grade D, #37 of 265 statewide, top 14%, 1,526 students, 43% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $591 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.45%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,790
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632 Kirby Pl | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-1%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 708 College St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,156 (-9%) | 10mo | $79,000 | $68 | 69 |
| 446 Merrick St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,372 (+8%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $40 | 65 |
| 546 College St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,437 (+14%) | 7mo | $124,000 | $86 | 62 |
| 619 College St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,412 (+12%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $81 | 62 |
| 550 Stephenson St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,255 (-1%) | 7mo | $128,000 | $102 | 60 |
| 547 Forest Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 | 1,308 (+3%) | 10mo | $118,500 | $91 | 55 |
| 404 Washington St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,367 (+8%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $95 | 54 |
| 131 Merrick St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,433 (+13%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $28 | 44 |
| 832 Jefferson Pl | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,449 (+14%) | 6mo | $169,800 | $117 | 43 |
| 123 Dalzell St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+9%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $58 | 43 |
| 642 Egan St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,390 (+10%) | 11mo | $25,000 | $18 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,502
- Equity at exit
- $12,748
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $24,774
- Equity at exit
- $7,392
Cash invested: $23,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71104
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $985 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$448
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $547/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $297 | -5% $273 | +0% $248 | +5% $224 | +10% $200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $171 | -5% $210 | +0% $248 | +5% $287 | +10% $326 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $270 | base $248 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $204 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,375
- Closing costs
- $2,565
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 546 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 708 College St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $925 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 642 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 557 Merrick St Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $725 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 819 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2109 Highland Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1739 | $1,050 | $0.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 431 College St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 419 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1852 | $1,100 | $0.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 442 Merrick St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1595 | $1,000 | $0.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 406 College St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $900 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 328 Prospect St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1641 | $1,000 | $0.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 315 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1372 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 315 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $800 | $0.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2717 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $950 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2721 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 46d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 204 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,195 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2515 Centenary Blvd Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 314 Kings Hwy Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $700 | $0.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1101 College St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 336 Atkins Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $900 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 561 Forest Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 144 Merrick St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $800 | $0.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3305 Creswell Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1307 | $1,350 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 140 Wilkinson St Unit 142 Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1174 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 140 Wilkinson St Unit 140 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 451 Egan St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $750 | $0.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 103 E Merrick St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 46d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3100 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1001 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 409 Egan St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $725 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 517 Stoner Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $625 | $0.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 126 E Olive St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 140 E Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1174 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 127 Herndon St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $800 | $0.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2811 Samford Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $850 | $0.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 320 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $1,675 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 320 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $1,675 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1316 Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $600 | $0.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 229 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 143 E Herndon St Unit 143 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $830 | $0.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1353 Glen Oak Pl Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $800 | $0.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 70-char remark
-
2026-06-05$85,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $547 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $547 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,789
- − Property taxes
- −$547
- − Insurance
- −$428
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$2,487
- Taxable income
- $1,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,975
- Household income
- $56,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 759.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.61%
- Current HPI
- 104.3781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.56%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $85,500 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 1996-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $547 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…