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649 Dalzell St
B- Composite 69.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,500

649 Dalzell St · Shreveport, LA 71104
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,265 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1927 Est $109k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming home on a quiet street in the Historic Highland neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Built 1927
  • Listed 17 days

Tags

HISTORIC HIGHLAND NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Creswell Elementary School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #516 of 646 statewide, top 82%, 250 students, 81% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); C.E. Byrd High School (math 44% / reading 55%, grade D, #37 of 265 statewide, top 14%, 1,526 students, 43% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $591 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,217 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.45%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,790
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
632 Kirby Pl 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,254 (-1%) 11mo $120,000 $96 72
708 College St 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,156 (-9%) 10mo $79,000 $68 69
446 Merrick St 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,372 (+8%) 2mo $55,000 $40 65
546 College St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,437 (+14%) 7mo $124,000 $86 62
619 College St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,412 (+12%) 9mo $115,000 $81 62
550 Stephenson St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,255 (-1%) 7mo $128,000 $102 60
547 Forest Ave 0.62mi 2/1.5 1,308 (+3%) 10mo $118,500 $91 55
404 Washington St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,367 (+8%) 5mo $130,000 $95 54
131 Merrick St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,433 (+13%) 2mo $40,000 $28 44
832 Jefferson Pl 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,449 (+14%) 6mo $169,800 $117 43
123 Dalzell St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,377 (+9%) 7mo $80,000 $58 43
642 Egan St 0.74mi 2/1.0 1,390 (+10%) 11mo $25,000 $18 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,502
Equity at exit
$12,748
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$24,774
Equity at exit
$7,392

Cash invested: $23,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71104

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$448
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $547/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $670
Max offer price $85,500
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $297 -5% $273 +0% $248 +5% $224 +10% $200
Rent -10% $171 -5% $210 +0% $248 +5% $287 +10% $326
Rate -1.0pp $291 -0.5pp $270 base $248 +0.5pp $226 +1.0pp $204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,375
Closing costs
$2,565
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
546 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 22d 1 0.11mi
708 College St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1156 $925 $0.80 15d 1 0.15mi
642 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 22d 1 0.15mi
557 Merrick St Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 950 $725 $0.76 45d 1 0.19mi
819 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 22d 1 0.23mi
2109 Highland Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1739 $1,050 $0.60 45d 1 0.27mi
431 College St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $850 $0.77 15d 1 0.28mi
419 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1852 $1,100 $0.59 45d 1 0.29mi
442 Merrick St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1595 $1,000 $0.63 45d 1 0.31mi
406 College St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1215 $900 $0.74 45d 1 0.33mi
328 Prospect St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1641 $1,000 $0.61 45d 1 0.36mi
315 Dalzell St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.5 1372 $1,100 $0.80 45d 1 0.38mi
315 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1161 $800 $0.69 15d 1 0.42mi
2717 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1250 $950 $0.76 45d 1 0.47mi
2721 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,200 $0.96 46d 1 0.47mi
204 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,195 $1.16 45d 1 0.56mi
2515 Centenary Blvd Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 15d 1 0.60mi
314 Kings Hwy Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 1200 $700 $0.58 45d 1 0.61mi
1101 College St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $850 $0.77 15d 1 0.62mi
336 Atkins Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 912 $900 $0.99 45d 1 0.64mi
561 Forest Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1358 $1,350 $0.99 22d 1 0.64mi
144 Merrick St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1532 $800 $0.52 45d 1 0.65mi
3305 Creswell Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1307 $1,350 $1.03 22d 1 0.65mi
140 Wilkinson St Unit 142 Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 1174 $1,300 $1.11 22d 1 0.66mi
140 Wilkinson St Unit 140 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 22d 1 0.66mi
451 Egan St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1300 $750 $0.58 15d 1 0.72mi
103 E Merrick St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $900 $0.75 46d 1 0.73mi
3100 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1001 $1,400 $1.40 22d 1 0.74mi
409 Egan St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $725 $0.72 45d 1 0.74mi
517 Stoner Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1100 $625 $0.57 45d 1 0.76mi
126 E Olive St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 15d 1 0.80mi
140 E Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 1174 $1,300 $1.11 22d 1 0.82mi
127 Herndon St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1325 $800 $0.60 15d 1 0.82mi
2811 Samford Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1612 $850 $0.53 15d 1 0.84mi
320 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1845 $1,675 $0.91 15d 1 0.84mi
320 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1845 $1,675 $0.91 22d 1 0.84mi
1316 Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 1000 $600 $0.60 45d 1 0.86mi
229 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,300 $0.87 15d 1 0.92mi
143 E Herndon St Unit 143 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $830 $0.69 22d 1 0.92mi
1353 Glen Oak Pl Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1116 $800 $0.72 15d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,500 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,500 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,500 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,500 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,500 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,500 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,500 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,500 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,500 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,500 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,500 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 70-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $85,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$547 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$547 · $46/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,817
− Mortgage interest
−$4,789
− Property taxes
−$547
− Insurance
−$428
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$2,487
Taxable income
$1,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$402
After-tax cash flow
$2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,975
Household income
$56,833
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
759.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.61%
Current HPI
104.3781
Rent YoY
▲ 3.56%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $85,500 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 1996-09-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $547 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…