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1739 William Penn Ave
C+ Composite 60.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$120,000

1739 William Penn Ave · Parkhill, PA 15909
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 206 Days on market
0.70 ac lot Est $136k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look at this 3 bedroom, 1 full bath home on a 0.7 acre lot in East Taylor! Detached two car garage with spacious second floor workshop or storage area. Kitchen, separate Dining Room and large Living Room with coat closet. Hardwood under carpeting. Replacement windows throughout and newer doors. Newer furnace. Basement professionally waterproofed in 2015. Reasonable taxes. Lots of potential! Don't miss your chance to tour this priced right home!

Key facts

  • New drywall
  • Plumbing
  • New kitchen

Tags

NEW DRYWALLNEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMPLUMBINGELECTRICALFURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Conemaugh Valley SD (rural): math 30% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #313 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $120k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.61%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$135,520
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1211 Bartlett St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (-8%) 13mo $72,500 $70 62
308 Cullis Ln 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+7%) 4mo $174,900 $146 59
382 Ridgeview Ln 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,120 (0%) 22mo $135,000 $121 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$26,266
Equity at exit
$57,802
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$77,593
Equity at exit
$92,191

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15909

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $947/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $960
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 206 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 205 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 204 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 203 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 202 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 200 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 199 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 196 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 195 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $120,000 Active 194 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 189 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    status $115,000 Active 188 DOM
  13. 2026-04-05
    status Pending
  14. 2026-04-01
    status Active
  15. 2026-04-01
    price $115,000
  16. 2025-12-08
    price $124,500
  17. 2025-09-29
    listed $129,900 Active
  18. 2016-05-16
    soldstatus $63,500 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Come take a look at this 3 bedroom, 1 full bath home on a 0.7 acre lot in East Taylor! Detached two car garage with spacious second floor workshop or storage area. Kitchen, separate Dining Room and large Living Room with coat closet. Hardwood under carpeting. Replacement windows throughout and newer doors. Newer furnace. Basement professionally waterproofed in 2015. Reasonable taxes. Lots of potential! Don't miss your chance to tour this priced right home!

  19. 2016-05-12
    soldstatus $63,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$947 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,422 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$474/yr (+$40/mo · 50.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,479
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$947
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$105
After-tax cash flow
$1,654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conemaugh Valley SD
NCES district ID
4206430
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$42,523
Composite
36.16/100
National rank
#4739
State rank
#313 of 539 in PA

Livability — Parkhill

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
162
Population (ZIP)
4,850

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.56%
Current HPI
150.8221
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-05 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted CSMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $115,000 CSMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $124,500 CSMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $129,900 CSMLS
  • 2016-05-16 Sold (MLS) $63,500 CSMLS
  • 2016-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $947 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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