741 Milpa Verde · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Multi-family zoned property with great potential. This home is in need of TLC, ideal for investors or buyers looking to renovate and make it their own. Selling as-is. Motivated seller!
Key facts
- 5,929 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 207 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, employment F.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Garza El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 238 students, 99% FRL); Besteiro Middle (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 575 students, 98% FRL); Lopez Early College H S (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 1,831 students, 95% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.69%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,024
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -39.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6274 Monte Bonito Dr | 2.23mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-0%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $173 | 58 |
| 3013 Alameda Dr | 1.17mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-4%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $101 | 46 |
| 155 Sunrise Ln | 1.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,162 (+25%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $155 | 35 |
| 2844 E 31st St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+29%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $140 | 33 |
| 5441 Amatista Dr | 1.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (+27%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $101 | 33 |
| 1702 E Harrison St | 2.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 911 (-2%) | 42mo | $124,900 | $137 | 33 |
| 1949 La Posada Dr | 1.13mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (+8%) | 43mo | $129,000 | $129 | 32 |
| 6674 Monte Bello Cir | 2.20mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,157 (+24%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $111 | 26 |
| 4518 Del Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 813 (-12%) | 25mo | $129,900 | $160 | 26 |
| 401 Ringgold Rd #207 | 2.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 839 (-10%) | 52mo | $79,000 | $94 | 24 |
| 4508 Palma Blanca Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (+21%) | 38mo | $180,000 | $161 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $12,348
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $69,464
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 4 under contract
- Median asking
- $142,500 ($151/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 69 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78521
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $371 | +0% $343 | +5% $314 | +10% $286 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $242 | -5% $292 | +0% $343 | +5% $393 | +10% $443 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $368 | base $343 | +0.5pp $317 | +1.0pp $290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2954 Impala Dr Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 93d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4995 Alexa Rd Unit B Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 93d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 224 Morningside Rd Unit 3 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,200 | $1.88 | 63d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1898 Morningside Rd Unit 4 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $800 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 824 S Central Ave Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,200 | $1.88 | 93d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5824 Southmost Rd Unit 132 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 93d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2150 Minnesota Ave Brownsville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $990 | $1.27 | 93d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 508 Truman Dr Unit B Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $975 | $1.02 | 93d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1919 Taxco Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 70d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1010 Apollo Ave Unit 13 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 93d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 765 Billy Mitchell Blvd Ste 11 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 70d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $100,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $100,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $100,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $100,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $100,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $100,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $100,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $100,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $100,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $100,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $100,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $100,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $100,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $100,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $100,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $100,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-16pricedays on market $100,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $110,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $110,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $110,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $110,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-10pricedays on market $110,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $120,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $120,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $120,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $120,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $120,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $120,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $120,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $120,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $120,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $120,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $120,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $120,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $120,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $120,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $120,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $120,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $120,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $120,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 143 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$676/yr (+$56/mo · 58.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,154
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,221
- − Management
- −$1,221
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,658
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$638
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,475/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home requires moderate renovations, focusing on updating the kitchen and bathroom, and improving the landscaping to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen appliances — The appliances appear outdated and may need replacement.
- Minor bathroom fixtures — The fixtures are basic and may need updating.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances will attract more buyers. ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Updating the bathroom fixtures will improve the home's appeal. ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard will enhance curb appeal and attract more renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 441,603 people
- City population
- 212,132
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 87,380
- Household income
- $44,509
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 45% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 12% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.45%
- Current HPI
- 232.1072
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-3.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $130,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $135,000 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,154 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…