725 W Thornton Ave #81 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.3
$75,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lovely two-bedroom, one-bath home offers a bright and inviting interior with ample storage space. The charming porch adds a touch of character to the front, making it the perfect spot to relax and enjoy the outdoors. Inside, the kitchen is equipped with new appliances, creating a modern and efficient cooking space. Located in the sought-after +55 senior community of London Spires, this home combines comfort and functionality for a relaxed lifestyle. Please note, this is a leased park home, with a space rent of $730/month.
Key facts
- Ample storage space
- Charming porch
- New appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $587 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.4% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mcsweeny Elementary (746 students, 90% FRL); Diamond Valley Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 1,078 students, 91% FRL); West Valley High (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #770 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 1,898 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 66% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 549 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 549 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.15%
- DSCR
- 2.47
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,790
- List price
- $75,900
- Delta
- -17.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 W THORNTON Ave W #25 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+12%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 1635 Santa Susana Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+2%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $169 | 67 |
| 873 San Ignacio | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+2%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $156 | 63 |
| 1097 N state St #101 | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (+2%) | 6mo | $94,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 670 Santa Clara | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 807 (+3%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 1536 S State St #29 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+2%) | 8mo | $89,999 | $112 | 60 |
| 725 W Thornton Ave #115 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (-14%) | 12mo | $40,000 | $60 | 59 |
| 893 S Palm | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 1200 W Johnston | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $121 | 56 |
| 631 Santa Clara | 0.62mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-4%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 810 San Ynez Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+2%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 851 San Rafael Dr | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $201 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $23,380
- Equity at exit
- $11,317
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $61,652
- Equity at exit
- $6,562
Cash invested: $21,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $89,450 ($113/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 148 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$398
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $587
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $640 | -5% $613 | +0% $587 | +5% $561 | +10% $535 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $476 | -5% $532 | +0% $587 | +5% $643 | +10% $698 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $625 | -0.5pp $606 | base $587 | +0.5pp $567 | +1.0pp $547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,975
- Closing costs
- $2,277
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1377 Provence Ct Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,900 | $2.92 | 73d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1150 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,534 | $2.29 | 73d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 405 Jade Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $2,150 | $2.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,995 | $2.24 | 7d | 6 | 0.42mi |
| 1000 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,420 | $2.84 | 9d | 3 | 0.50mi |
| 1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,825 | $2.03 | 13d | 3 | 0.50mi |
| 915 Malaga Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 7d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 893 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $1,375 | $1.91 | 54d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 750 Santa Clara Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 64d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1711 Pepper Tree Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,675 | $1.94 | 71d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 640 San Jose Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 390 Magnolia Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $2,195 | $2.11 | 42d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 390 Magnolia Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $2,195 | $2.11 | 40d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 848 S Lyon Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1005 Lilac St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $2,100 | $2.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 860 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 67d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 576 Montecito Ave Unit C Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 861 | $1,850 | $2.15 | 66d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 678 Monterey Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,995 | $1.91 | 93d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1013 Ivy St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,900 | $1.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 690 Montebello Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 985 Sunrise St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $2,500 | $2.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 700 Johnston Ave Unit 708 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 57d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 93d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 93d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 710 Whittier Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,475 | $2.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 733 S San Jacinto St Unit B Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 73d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 214 S Ramona St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 852 | $1,495 | $1.75 | 37d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $75,900 Active 549 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $75,900 Active 547 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $75,900 Active 546 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $75,900 Active 545 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $75,900 Active 544 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $75,900 Active 541 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $75,900 Active 540 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $75,900 Active 539 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $75,900 Active 538 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $75,900 Active 536 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $75,900 Active 534 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $75,900 Active 533 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $75,900 Active 532 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $75,900 Active 531 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $75,900 Active 530 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $75,900 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $75,900 Active 527 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $75,900 Active 526 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $75,900 Active 525 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $75,900 Active 524 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $75,900 Active 523 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $75,900 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $75,900 Active 521 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $75,900 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $75,900 Active 519 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $75,900 Active 517 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $75,900 Active 516 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $75,900 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $75,900 Active 514 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $75,900 Active 513 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $75,900 Active 512 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $75,900 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $75,900 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $75,900 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $75,900 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $75,900 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $75,900 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $75,900 Active 504 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $75,900 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,900 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,900 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,900 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,900 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,900 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,900 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,900 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,900 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,900 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,900 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,900 Active 483 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,252
- − Property taxes
- −$1,138
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$2,208
- Taxable income
- $6,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This two-bedroom, one-bath manufactured home in a sought-after senior community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a bright and inviting interior with new appliances and a charming porch. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
- Both Add a small front porch — Enhances curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $75,900 SDMLS
- 2025-02-05 Listed $79,900 SDMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…