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702 Letcher St
D Composite 43.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$128,000

702 Letcher St · Henderson, KY 42420
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you've been dreaming of homeownership, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath, 2-story home could be the perfect place to start. Recent updates include a freshly painted living room and new landscaping that adds great curb appeal and a welcoming first impression. Inside, you'll find two separate living areas, giving you the flexibility to create a family room, home office, playroom, or entertainment space. The functional layout offers plenty of room to grow while still maintaining a cozy feel. While there are still opportunities to add your own personal touches over time, many of the big first impressions have already been refreshed. Why keep paying rent when you can start building equity in a

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Left on Clay from Green Street, then right on Letcher

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (Residential property)
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 33.33 x 133 (about 0.1 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating: Forced air
  • Interior features: Forced air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($681/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#114 in KY, #4,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henderson County (suburban): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #29 of 165 in KY (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Heights Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #255 of 676 statewide, top 42%, 354 students, 54% FRL); Henderson County North Middle School (math 37% / reading 43%, grade F, #59 of 217 statewide, top 29%, 720 students, 54% FRL); Henderson County High School (math 33% / reading 33%, grade F, #94 of 254 statewide, top 37%, 1,958 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henderson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $94k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,900 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.90%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-17,155
Equity at exit
$19,085
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,398
Equity at exit
$11,067

Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42420

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,027
Max offer price $128,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $129 -5% $93 +0% $57 +5% $21 +10% $-16
Rent -10% $-30 -5% $13 +0% $57 +5% $100 +10% $144
Rate -1.0pp $121 -0.5pp $89 base $57 +0.5pp $24 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,000
Closing costs
$3,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Fair St Henderson, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0 740 $1,099 $1.49 15d 9 1.14mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $128,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $128,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $128,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $128,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 17 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 16 DOM
  19. 2026-05-13
    listed $130,000 Active 558-char remark
  20. 2026-05-09
    price $130,000
  21. 2026-05-03
    price $132,500
  22. 2026-04-23
    listed $137,000 Active
  23. 2026-04-18
    price $138,900
  24. 2026-04-10
    listed $140,000 Active
  25. 2024-11-18
    soldstatus $94,000
  26. 2024-11-13
    soldstatus $94,000 Closed
  27. 2024-09-27
    status Pending
  28. 2024-09-20
    listed $89,900 Active
  29. 2008-09-17
    soldstatus $26,000
  30. 2008-08-15
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,042 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$58/yr (+$5/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,188
− Mortgage interest
−$7,170
− Property taxes
−$1,042
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− Depreciation
−$3,724
Taxable loss
−$1,498
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$360
After-tax cash flow
$1,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henderson County
NCES district ID
2102710
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$41,772
Composite
34.13/100
National rank
#5285
State rank
#29 of 165 in KY

Livability — Henderson

Score
74/100
State rank
#114
US rank
#4949

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Henderson, KY
Population (ZIP)
38,434

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,910 people
By 2030
46,841 · -0.1%
By 2040
46,018 · -1.9%
By 2050
44,390 · -5.4%
By 2075
40,442 · -13.8%
By 2100
33,538 · -28.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.2) · D 34.7% · R 64.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -29.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.2 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+11.8 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.69%
Current HPI
207.5676
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+412.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $128,000 HABOR
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $129,000 HABOR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $130,000 HABOR
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $130,000 HABOR
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $132,500 HABOR
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $137,000 HABOR
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $138,900 HABOR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $140,000 HABOR
  • 2024-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-13 Sold (MLS) $94,000 HABOR
  • 2024-09-27 Pending HABOR
  • 2024-09-20 Listed $89,900 HABOR
  • 2008-09-17 Sold (MLS) $26,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2008-08-15 Listed $25,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,042 · +135.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…