4517 S Gum Ave · Broken Arrow, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Units 4517 & 4519; each side has 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, fireplace, 1 car garage. 4517 lease $695/month. Property eligible for seller paid buyer bonus of 3% of sales price.
Key facts
- Fenced yards
- Cozy fireplace
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Slab foundation; Wood-frame construction
- Construction: Wood frame construction
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Greenbelt lot feature; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Aluminum window frames; Gas range and gas oven connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.0% in Broken Arrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in OK, #2,691 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Broken Arrow (suburban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #79 of 270 in OK (top 29%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $325k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.75%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $337,568
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 W Waco St | 0.16mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,156 (-12%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $137 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-26,581
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $19,632
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74011
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 381
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,956 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $544 | -5% $452 | +0% $360 | +5% $268 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $243 | +0% $360 | +5% $477 | +10% $594 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $524 | -0.5pp $443 | base $360 | +0.5pp $276 | +1.0pp $190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4308 S Walnut Ave Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2659 | $2,400 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4623 S Chestnut Ave Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2023 | $3,800 | $1.88 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6308 S 1st Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,400 | $2.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1502 E Utica Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1908 | $2,395 | $1.26 | 11d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $325,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $325,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2025-09-27price $325,000
-
2025-09-11$345,500 Active
-
2010-07-16soldstatus $115,000
-
2010-07-15soldstatus $115,000 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Units 4517 & 4519; each side has 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, fireplace, 1 car garage. 4517 lease $695/month. Property eligible for seller paid buyer bonus of 3% of sales price.
-
2010-06-10historical 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Units 4517 & 4519; each side has 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, fireplace, 1 car garage. 4517 lease $695/month. Property eligible for seller paid buyer bonus of 3% of sales price.
-
2010-01-15$129,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Units 4517 & 4519; each side has 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, fireplace, 1 car garage. 4517 lease $695/month. Property eligible for seller paid buyer bonus of 3% of sales price.
-
2000-05-15soldstatus $85,000
-
2000-05-06soldstatus $85,000 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
PLEASE SHOW 4517 VKB. 4519 W/ APT UNTIL 4/15. BOTH SHOW NICELY. CORNER FP, SOME NEW APPL. & FLOORING. STRUCT. ENG. REPT IS GOOD. W. OF 161 BTWN 101 & 1111 (TRN W. @ BRAUMS) POTENT. TENTANTS
-
2000-03-24historical 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
PLEASE SHOW 4517 VKB. 4519 W/ APT UNTIL 4/15. BOTH SHOW NICELY. CORNER FP, SOME NEW APPL. & FLOORING. STRUCT. ENG. REPT IS GOOD. W. OF 161 BTWN 101 & 1111 (TRN W. @ BRAUMS) POTENT. TENTANTS
-
2000-03-15$85,900 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
PLEASE SHOW 4517 VKB. 4519 W/ APT UNTIL 4/15. BOTH SHOW NICELY. CORNER FP, SOME NEW APPL. & FLOORING. STRUCT. ENG. REPT IS GOOD. W. OF 161 BTWN 101 & 1111 (TRN W. @ BRAUMS) POTENT. TENTANTS
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,628 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,925 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,297/yr (+$108/mo · 79.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,474
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$1,628
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,838
- − Management
- −$2,838
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$1,114
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broken Arrow
- NCES district ID
- 4005490
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,646
- Composite
- 23.86/100
- National rank
- #7801
- State rank
- #79 of 270 in OK
Livability — Broken Arrow
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2691
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Broken Arrow, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 144,172
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,900
- Household income
- $99,157
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 389.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.15%
- Current HPI
- 210.8302
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+278.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $325,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-11 Listed $345,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-15 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-06-10 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-01-15 Listed $129,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-03-24 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-03-15 Listed $85,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,628 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…