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1068 Saint Margaret Dr 🔨 Auction
B- Composite 65.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$23,200

1068 Saint Margaret Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1958 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The seller does not represent or guarantee occupancy status. NO viewings of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Drive by only. Ranch style home. 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. AS IS, cash only sales with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Property sold without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Auction.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $23,200 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $80,352 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,441/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $556 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 5.2% of price; flood insurance adds $152/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $21,808 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
15.00%
Cash-on-cash
31.08%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,352
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1071 St Margaret Dr 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (0%) 0mo $6,150 $7 89
713 Saint Norbert Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $65,000 $75 74
700 Saint Martin Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 888 (+3%) 2mo $105,000 $118 67
712 Saint Monica Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 888 (+3%) 1mo $82,500 $93 66
804 Saint Thomas Ln 0.72mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 0mo $85,000 $98 62
802 Saint Thomas Ln 0.72mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 2mo $105,000 $122 61
502 Saint Thomas Ln 0.74mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $79,900 $92 61
1150 Price St 0.74mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $93 60
526 Saint Leo Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 925 (+7%) 2mo $85,000 $92 56
8 Saint Gregory Dr 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 957 (+11%) 1mo $110,000 $115 55
508 Saint James Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 962 (+11%) 1mo $35,000 $36 49
518 Saint James Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 967 (+12%) 1mo $40,000 $41 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$14,528
Equity at exit
$11,981
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$48,443
Equity at exit
$6,947

Cash invested: $22,499 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,441 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$421
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,205/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $80,352
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,088
Closing costs
$2,411
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1115 Saint Marcella Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 14d 1 0.17mi
1130 Water St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 23d 1 0.30mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 21d 1 0.42mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 43d 1 0.50mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 2d 1 0.52mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 23d 1 0.70mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 2d 1 0.70mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 23d 1 0.71mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 43d 1 0.71mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 2d 1 0.72mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 43d 1 0.72mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 43d 1 0.75mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 0.80mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 21d 1 0.85mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 43d 1 0.87mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 43d 1 0.93mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 2d 1 1.22mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 23d 1 1.41mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 14d 1 1.42mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 1.42mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 21d 1 1.44mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 14d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    price $23,200
  3. 2026-03-20
    price $25,300
  4. 2026-03-05
    price $28,700
  5. 2026-02-17
    price $32,800
  6. 2026-01-29
    listed $37,100 Active
  7. 2026-01-29
    listed $37,100 Active
  8. 2006-06-09
    soldstatus $68,000
  9. 1999-04-27
    soldstatus $59,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,287
− Mortgage interest
−$4,501
− Property taxes
−$1,205
− Insurance
−$2,226
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,383
− Management
−$1,383
− Depreciation
−$2,338
Taxable income
$4,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,020
After-tax cash flow
$4,148/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-61.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $23,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $25,300 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $28,700 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $32,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $37,100 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $37,100 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-24.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $36 · -97.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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