1713 18th St · Mineral Wells, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in Mineral Wells! This handyman special is ready for your vision and offers strong potential for a fix-and-flip, rental property, or renovation project. The home is being sold as-is and will require repairs and updates. Conveniently located near local amenities, this property is a great opportunity for buyers looking to add value and build equity. Bring your contractor and imagination… the possibilities are there for the right buyer.
Key facts
- 8,146 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; 1 covered parking space; Parking details: See remarks
- Utilities: Utilities: See remarks; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Lot in the Airflyte subdivision; Lot under 0.5 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.2% vs local median 2.8% in Mineral Wells — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#278 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Mineral Wells ISD (town): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #636 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mineral Wells El (math 36% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 1,915 students, 79% FRL); Mineral Wells J H (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 498 students, 75% FRL); Mineral Wells H S (math 15% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 920 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 58% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 279 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 27 units permitted in Palo Pinto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palo Pinto County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 117.48%
- DSCR
- 6.23
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,753
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 20th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 989 (+2%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $61 | 77 |
| 1616 SE Park Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,034 (+7%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $115 | 77 |
| 1405 SE 13th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 978 (+1%) | 7mo | $159,000 | $163 | 76 |
| 1404 SE 12th St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,022 (+6%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 69 |
| 2108 SE 19th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (+10%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $164 | 69 |
| 2109 SE 18th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 918 (-5%) | 13mo | $99,500 | $108 | 64 |
| 1816 SE 18th St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,111 (+15%) | 9mo | $119,900 | $108 | 64 |
| 712 SE 18th St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 936 (-3%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $187 | 57 |
| 1007 SE 24th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,026 (+6%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 1405 SE 8 1/2 St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (+9%) | 6mo | $167,500 | $159 | 55 |
| 516 SE 17th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+8%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $159 | 44 |
| 812 SE 15th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,110 (+15%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $185 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.66×
- Total profit
- $55,496
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.98×
- Total profit
- $127,252
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76067
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,594 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,217/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $959
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $979 | -5% $969 | +0% $959 | +5% $950 | +10% $940 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $834 | -5% $896 | +0% $959 | +5% $1,022 | +10% $1,085 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $977 | -0.5pp $968 | base $959 | +0.5pp $950 | +1.0pp $941 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 SE 15th St Mineral Wells, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1043 | $1,700 | $1.63 | 26d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3001 NE 2nd St Mineral Wells, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 0d | 10 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $40,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 458-char remark
-
2026-06-03$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,217 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,217 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$1,217
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,530
- − Management
- −$1,530
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $11,693
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,806
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mineral Wells ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830950
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,027
- Composite
- 25.26/100
- National rank
- #7500
- State rank
- #636 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mineral Wells
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #278
- US rank
- #6474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mineral Wells, TX
- County
- Palo Pinto County · 21,080 people
- City population
- 21,080
- Metro
- Mineral Wells, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,080
- Household income
- $62,190
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 745.0
Population outlook (Palo Pinto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,500 people
- By 2030
- 27,079 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 26,135 · -5.0%
- By 2050
- 25,215 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 23,416 · -14.9%
- By 2100
- 20,300 · -26.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palo Pinto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.1) · D 16.1% · R 83.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.2pp · 2024: -67.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.1 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+64.1 2012: R+59.8 2008: R+48.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.09%
- Current HPI
- 240.3647
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mineral Wells, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $50,000 NTREIS
- 1994-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,217 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…