108 Old Peck Hill Rd · Gloversville, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is your next project. Investors Alert.
Key facts
- Renovated home
- New flooring
- New appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 6 vehicles
- Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Living area approximately 1,374 (living area provided)
- Construction: Built with fiber cement construction
- Exterior features: Barn
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Interior entry basement
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 8.6% in Gloversville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gloversville Middle School (math 6% / reading 35%, grade F, #664 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 548 students, 70% FRL); Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gloversville City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $190k implies a 513% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.03%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,906
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 652 County Hwy 122 | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,243 (-10%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $209 | 52 |
| 106 Bluebird Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+9%) | 21mo | $329,000 | $219 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $94,888
- Equity at exit
- $171,077
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $286,171
- Equity at exit
- $368,934
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12078
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,467 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,614/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $-134
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-27 | -5% $-80 | +0% $-134 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-250 | -5% $-192 | +0% $-134 | +5% $-76 | +10% $-18 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-39 | -0.5pp $-86 | base $-134 | +0.5pp $-183 | +1.0pp $-233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$189,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,614 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,911 · $243/mo
- Expected delta
- +$298/yr (+$25/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,614
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$4,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,186
- After-tax cash flow
- $-424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloversville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612270
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,775
- Composite
- 28.2/100
- National rank
- #6806
- State rank
- #565 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gloversville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #1048
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,087
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.22%
- Current HPI
- 315.1368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+298.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $189,900 Global MLS
- 2026-03-15 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-02-08 Listed $189,900 Global MLS
- 2023-05-19 Sold (MLS) $31,000 Global MLS
- 2023-03-29 Pending — Global MLS
- 2023-02-20 Pending — Global MLS
- 2023-02-06 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2023-02-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2023-01-27 Price Changed $34,000 Global MLS
- 2023-01-19 Price Changed $42,000 Global MLS
- 2023-01-09 Price Changed $50,900 Global MLS
- 2022-12-12 Price Changed $55,900 Global MLS
- 2022-11-21 Listed $59,900 Global MLS
- 2006-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $47,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,614 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…