981 Burr St · St. Paul, MN 55130

$95,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,589 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1886 4,878 sqft lot ↓ 58% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Lots of room in this 4bed/2bath/2car newer garage. Close to everthing. Easy to accommodate a quick closing.

Key facts

• 4,878 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1886

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage (440 sq ft)
• Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
• Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Main level and lower level living areas
• Construction: Built with wood exterior; Block foundation
• Exterior features: Wood exterior; Lot roughly 40 x 121 feet

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air
• Interior features: Crawl space basement; Block foundation

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.99%
• DSCR: 2.25
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.98×
• Total profit: $26,029
• Equity at exit: $14,165

10-year hold

• IRR: 32.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.06×
• Total profit: $81,518
• Equity at exit: $8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55130

• Home prices YoY: -17.6%
• Rents YoY: 3.9%
• Active inventory: 58
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,852 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax from tax record: −$305 /mo · $3,660/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$389
• Net cashflow: $620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,067

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-17
   remarks 51-char remark
2. 2026-06-17
   listed $95,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,660 · $305/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,660 · $305/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,225
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$3,660
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,778
• − Management: −$1,778
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable income: $6,449
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,548
• After-tax cash flow: $5,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Paul Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2733840
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $48,316
• Composite: 23.51/100
• National rank: #7868
• State rank: #270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: St. Paul, MN
• County: Ramsey County · 542,837 people
• City population: 280,599
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 17,775
• Household income: $54,130
• Rent vs Own: 54.0% rent · 46.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 818.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 603,431 people
• By 2030: 636,459 · +5.5%
• By 2040: 700,596 · +16.1%
• By 2050: 765,819 · +26.9%
• By 2075: 929,297 · +54.0%
• By 2100: 1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: Asian 47% Black 22% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Swedish 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 33% · Philippines, Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 44% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 37% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -60.12%
• Current HPI: 281.2507
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.94%
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

-57.8% since first listed

20 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $365,285 Public Records
• 2024-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $3,178,406 Public Records
• 2024-04-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-03-05 Price Changed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-01-19 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $19,857,976 Public Records
• 2014-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
• 2014-02-01 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-01-16 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-01-11 Price Changed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-10-15 Price Changed $104,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-09-26 Listed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-09-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-09-07 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
• 2010-09-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2010-08-20 Listed $38,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-03-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-01-15 Listed $224,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,660 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.