69127 Wildwood Rd #4 · Saunders Lake, OR 97459

$160,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Other public records · 200 Days on market

Built 2021 ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.2/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Newer home, one owner, very well maintained, in an all age park! It will be hard to beat all that for this price! Near the dunes for your riding enjoyment! Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

• Well maintained
• Near the dunes
• Built 2021

Tags

• WELL MAINTAINED
• NEAR THE DUNES

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property is not attached; No view
• Financial info: Monthly lot rent $440; Land lease expires November 1, 2025
• HOA & community: Association covers sewer, trash and water; Land lease in effect (monthly lot rent)

Exterior

• Utilities: Electricity fuel; Public water; Septic tank sewer
• Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single-story (main level living); Residential property
• Construction: Built in 2021; County-recorded building area 1,296
• Exterior features: Cement siding; Lot located in a mobile home park

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom; Third bedroom
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
• Interior features: Living room; Family room; Great room; Dining room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: North Bay Elementary School (math 34% / reading 42%, grade F, #197 of 412 statewide, top 48%, 443 students, 69% FRL); North Bend Middle School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 494 students, 68% FRL); North Bend Senior High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 731 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 40% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.89%
• DSCR: 1.48
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 32.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.52×
• Total profit: $112,975
• Equity at exit: $144,141

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.8%
• Equity multiple: 7.97×
• Total profit: $312,183
• Equity at exit: $310,845

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97459

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 170
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,717 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$44 /mo · $530/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$361
• Net cashflow: $407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,202

Max offer price $160,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,000
• Closing costs: $4,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-01
   status Pending
2. 2025-11-17
   price $160,000
3. 2025-10-13
   listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $530 · $44/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,552 · $129/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,022/yr (+$85/mo · 193.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,607
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,962
• − Property taxes: −$530
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,649
• − Management: −$1,649
• − Depreciation: −$4,655
• Taxable income: $2,363
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$567
• After-tax cash flow: $4,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: North Bend SD 13
• NCES district ID: 4108820
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $43,614
• Composite: 32.57/100
• National rank: #5681
• State rank: #21 of 58 in OR

Livability — Saunders Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Saunders Lake, OR
• Population (ZIP): 15,328

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,222 people
• By 2030: 61,120 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 58,478 · -6.0%
• By 2050: 56,819 · -8.7%
• By 2075: 54,915 · -11.7%
• By 2100: 51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China, Philippines
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

• 2024 margin: R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.02%
• Current HPI: 887.7
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

-3.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Pending — RMLS
• 2025-11-17 Price Changed $160,000 RMLS
• 2025-10-13 Listed $165,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $530 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.