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35 Hickory Track Way
C- Composite 52.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$183,900

35 Hickory Track Way · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1985 10,019 sqft lot Est $193k · at est. $14/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SUPER CUTE AND COZY 2/2 W/ A NEW ROOF, ALMOST ENTIRE INTERIOR HAS BEEN REMODELED BANK APPROVED PRICE OF $25,500K.

Key facts

  • Fence enclosed patio
  • Jack and jill style
  • Newer shed

Tags

ENCLOSED LAUNDRY MUDROOMHALF GARAGE AVAILABLENEWER SHEDFENCE ENCLOSED PATIOJACK AND JILL STYLEUPDATED ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total monthly fees: $14; Total annual fees: $168; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Lake Joy HOA with required monthly fee ($14); Association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west; Residential, completed condition; Zoned R1
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (80 x 125)
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Shed(s); Fruit trees; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Formal dining room (separate); Formal living room (separate); Inside utility
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Inside laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($604/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Silver Springs Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $184k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,431 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,960
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 Oak Court Pass 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 888 (-8%) 21mo $205,000 $231 55
9021 SE 79th Avenue Rd 0.68mi 2/1.0 900 (-6%) 14mo $165,000 $183 42
200 Oak Lane Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,089 (+13%) 17mo $219,000 $201 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$51,362
Equity at exit
$114,824
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$141,158
Equity at exit
$207,555

Cash invested: $51,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34472

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,494 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$964
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $902/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$14
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $183,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,975
Closing costs
$5,517
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
310 Oak Lane Pass Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 988 $1,325 $1.34 21d 1 0.48mi
217 Locust Pass Ln Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1011 $1,697 $1.68 13d 1 0.96mi
80 Locust Pass Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1003 $1,595 $1.59 13d 1 1.21mi
2 Ash Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1083 $1,750 $1.62 13d 1 1.26mi
62 Pine Trak Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 832 $1,250 $1.50 21d 1 1.41mi
58 Pine Trak Unit 104D Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 832 $1,050 $1.26 21d 1 1.45mi
7817 Midway Drive Ter Unit A103 Ocala, FL 1.0 1.0 729 $1,300 $1.78 21d 1 1.47mi
12 Spring Loop Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 13d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$14 · $168/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $183,900 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $183,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $183,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $183,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $183,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $183,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $183,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    price $183,900 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-04-24
    listed $185,000 Active
  10. 2013-12-18
    soldstatus $56,286
  11. 2012-10-12
    soldstatus $26,500 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    SUPER CUTE AND COZY 2/2 W/ A NEW ROOF, ALMOST ENTIRE INTERIOR HAS BEEN REMODELED BANK APPROVED PRICE OF $25,500K.

  12. 2011-12-20
    listed $25,500 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    SUPER CUTE AND COZY 2/2 W/ A NEW ROOF, ALMOST ENTIRE INTERIOR HAS BEEN REMODELED BANK APPROVED PRICE OF $25,500K.

  13. 2002-08-22
    soldstatus $48,000
  14. 1998-07-02
    soldstatus $37,500
  15. 1985-01-01
    soldstatus $71,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$902 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$624/yr (+$52/mo · 69.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,932
− Mortgage interest
−$10,301
− Property taxes
−$902
− Insurance
−$920
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− HOA
−$168
− Depreciation
−$5,350
Taxable loss
−$2,578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$619
After-tax cash flow
$1,222/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

Score
68/100
State rank
#527
US rank
#9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Springs Shores, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
34,665
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,851
Household income
$64,208
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
255.0714
Rent YoY
▲ 0.17%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $56,286 Public Records
  • 2012-10-12 Sold (MLS) $26,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-12-20 Listed $25,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 1998-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
  • 1985-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $902 · +34.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…