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506 Hillcrest Dr
F Composite 34.55
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

506 Hillcrest Dr · Washington, IL 61571
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1960 0.27 ac lot Est $180k · 44% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Coming Soon! Showings begin Tuesday April 28th at 8am. An absolute joy to list! This Washington ranch home features: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a mostly finished walk out basement, an oversized 2 stall garage, a complete main floor gut and remodel, convenient location, & so much more! No expense spared during this 2025 main floor remodel. Updates include: basement flooring & landscaping 2026. Siding 2025. Entire main floor minus bathroom new in 2025 including: plaster, trim, flooring, paint, kitchen, both main floor bedrooms, lights, appliances, & more. You'll love the remote control blinds in the kitchen and the beautiful plantation shutters in the living room! Roof

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached oversized 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential zoning; Shingle roof; Built in 1960
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1960
  • Exterior features: Replacement windows; Corner, level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Second kitchen area in the basement
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Main level bedroom approx. 19 x 11 with luxury vinyl plank flooring and egress window; Main level bedroom approx. 13 x 10 with luxury vinyl plank flooring; Basement bedroom approx. 16 x 12 with carpet
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank in primary living areas and kitchen; Vinyl in basement family room; Carpet in one basement bedroom; Other flooring in additional basement room
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Water softener (owned)
  • Interior features: Attic storage; Cable available; Solid surface counters; Ceiling fans; Two fireplaces (living room; wood burning with gas log); Has basement: daylight, full, partially finished with walk-out access
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room (6 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($524/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.3% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#272 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Washington Chsd 308 (suburban): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #112 of 620 in IL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Washington Comm High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #76 of 693 statewide, top 12%, 1,484 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $260k implies a 395% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $223,375 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.72%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,968
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 Camelot Dr 0.29mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,121 (-5%) 1mo $169,900 $152 70
1918 Stoneridge 0.60mi 3/3.0 1,176 (-1%) 4mo $269,900 $230 60
1307 Bobolink Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,228 (+4%) 3mo $175,000 $143 58
1111 Kern Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,344 (+14%) 8mo $188,000 $140 39
1304 Bobolink Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,057 (-11%) 19mo $162,900 $154 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-39,348
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-30,735
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61571

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,234 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $2,997/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,179
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $117 +0% $44 +5% $-30 +10% $-103
Rent -10% $-133 -5% $-45 +0% $44 +5% $132 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $175 -0.5pp $110 base $44 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1910 Canterbury Dr Washington, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 14d 1 0.66mi
700 Debates St Washington, IL 3.0 2.0 1319 $2,750 $2.08 14d 1 0.92mi
713 Stephanie Ct Washington, IL 3.0 2.0 1319 $2,750 $2.08 21d 1 1.00mi
704 Debates St Washington, IL 3.0 2.0 1319 $2,750 $2.08 14d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $259,900 Active
  3. 2026-04-27
    historical $259,900
  4. 2010-07-29
    soldstatus $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,997 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,449 · $371/mo
Expected delta
+$1,451/yr (+$121/mo · 48.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,805
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$2,997
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,144
− Management
−$2,144
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$3,900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$936
After-tax cash flow
$1,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington Chsd 308
NCES district ID
1740980
Math proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,029
Composite
37.69/100
National rank
#4361
State rank
#112 of 620 in IL

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#5136

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, IL
City population
24,544
Population (ZIP)
24,544

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,252 people
By 2030
128,028 · -2.5%
By 2040
120,443 · -8.2%
By 2050
111,872 · -14.8%
By 2075
89,843 · -31.5%
By 2100
66,468 · -49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.85%
Current HPI
149.5627
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+395.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $259,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $259,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,997 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…