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2511 Redwood
B+ Composite 78.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

2511 Redwood · Richmond, VA 23223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1949 Est $185k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY OR STARTER HOME

Key facts

  • Strong bones
  • Local shopping
  • Built 1949

Tags

WELL-CONNECTED NEIGHBORHOODLOCAL SHOPPINGMAJOR COMMUTER ROUTESSTRONG BONES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported (698); Tax information available

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Built (actual year reported); Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Off-street and on-street parking available

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes living spaces and sleeping areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower (on the first level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating available via electric and natural gas
  • Interior features: Resale condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $115k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.70%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,970
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2511 Redwood 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 698 (0%) 0mo $108,000 $155 95
2502 Redwood Ave 0.04mi 2/1.0 (-1) 698 (0%) 7mo $145,000 $208 87
2517 Ford Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (+10%) 10mo $222,000 $289 64
1813 N 24th St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 667 (-4%) 1mo $220,000 $330 59
2013 Cool Ln 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 761 (+9%) 1mo $160,000 $210 58
2117 Selden St 0.44mi 3/1.0 796 (+14%) 2mo $190,000 $239 54
1701 Peter Paul Blvd 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+3%) 4mo $160,000 $222 51
2503 Peter Paul Blvd 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+3%) 8mo $150,000 $208 51
1703 Peter Paul Blvd 0.75mi 3/1.5 720 (+3%) 18mo $230,000 $319 43
1708 N 24th St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 648 (-7%) 15mo $225,000 $347 43
1902 N 25th St 0.64mi 3/1.0 778 (+12%) 21mo $220,000 $283 33
2317 T St 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 792 (+14%) 19mo $210,000 $265 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$22,407
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
3.80×
Total profit
$90,035
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23223

Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,622 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $912/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $920
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1901 Whitcomb St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 23d 1 0.41mi
2108 Phaup St Unit D Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 23d 1 0.45mi
1906 N 29th St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 704 $1,000 $1.42 4d 1 0.88mi
500 N 18th St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 737 $1,837 $2.49 1d 11 1.02mi
2000 Lamb Ave Apt C Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 43d 1 1.11mi
1820 E Broad St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 665 $2,476 $3.72 21d 15 1.17mi
1903 E Marshall St Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0–2.0 723 $1,799 $2.49 1d 57 1.17mi
700 N 2nd St Unit 203 Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 690 $1,250 $1.81 43d 1 1.21mi
1806 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 703 $2,005 $2.85 1d 12 1.34mi
417 Fritz St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.36mi
230 N 6th St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 982 $2,496 $2.54 1d 8 1.36mi
326 E Broad St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,199 $2.38 2d 4 1.37mi
1508 Hickory St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,195 $1.65 43d 1 1.38mi
501 Fritz St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.39mi
509 N 30th St Unit 2 Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,365 $1.82 21d 1 1.40mi
700 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 588 $1,989 $3.38 2d 9 1.41mi
2001 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 761 $1,862 $2.45 3d 34 1.41mi
510 W Bacon St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.41mi
621 N 32nd St Unit C Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,299 $1.86 4d 1 1.42mi
600 N 32nd St Unit C Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 43d 1 1.43mi
613 N 32nd St Apt C Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 600 $1,650 $2.75 4d 1 1.43mi
2201 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 905 $2,349 $2.59 3d 7 1.43mi
16 N 22nd St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 844 $1,675 $1.98 3d 7 1.44mi
1313 E Main St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 752 $1,939 $2.58 1d 5 1.44mi
306 E Grace St Richmond, VA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 713 $1,895 $2.66 23d 1 1.45mi
1607 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,195 $1.65 23d 1 1.45mi
1609 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.45mi
2213 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $2,049 $2.38 4d 6 1.46mi
1001 E Main St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 611 $2,350 $3.85 2d 12 1.46mi
527 Fritz St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,195 $1.65 43d 1 1.46mi
1619 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.46mi
219 E Broad St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $2,063 $2.88 3d 14 1.47mi
1711 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,195 $1.65 43d 1 1.48mi
1608 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,195 $1.65 23d 1 1.48mi
1817 E Main St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 846 $1,955 $2.31 1d 40 1.49mi
600 W Bacon St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.49mi
1708 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 43d 1 1.49mi
1601 Roane St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 914 $2,100 $2.30 1d 28 1.49mi
100 S 15th St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,749 $2.12 4d 4 1.49mi
1706 Brookfield St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,195 $1.65 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $114,900 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-05-28
    listed $114,900 Active
  3. 2002-03-07
    soldstatus $27,000 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY OR STARTER HOME

  4. 2002-01-31
    listed $38,000
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY OR STARTER HOME

  5. 2002-01-31
    listed $38,000 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY OR STARTER HOME

  6. 1997-12-16
    soldstatus $23,800
  7. 1956-04-18
    soldstatus $7,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$912 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$942 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$30/yr (+$3/mo · 3.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,463
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$912
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,557
− Management
−$1,557
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$5,084
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,220
After-tax cash flow
$5,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103240
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,276
Composite
33.09/100
National rank
#5564
State rank
#123 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richmond

Score
84/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#793

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richmond, VA
County
Henrico County · 334,490 people
City population
287,109
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
54,659
Household income
$55,731
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
3530.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,263 people
By 2030
284,503 · +8.5%
By 2040
327,353 · +24.8%
By 2050
367,946 · +40.3%
By 2075
449,560 · +71.4%
By 2100
500,301 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -257.81%
Current HPI
324.0589
Rent YoY
▲ 6.38%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1474.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $114,900 CVRMLS
  • 2002-03-07 Sold (MLS) $27,000 CVRMLS
  • 2002-01-31 Listed $38,000 CVRMLS
  • 2002-01-31 Listed $38,000 CVRMLS
  • 1997-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $23,800 Public Records
  • 1956-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $7,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $912 · +31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…