2229 170th St · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
Key facts
- 6,250 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 23 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number: 29301260050000
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Not recently rebuilt or rehabilitated; Age estimated 71–80 years
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 125; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; School bus service and commuter bus access; close to interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the main level; Additional bedrooms on main and second levels
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring in dining room, kitchen, and living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (8 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 8.9% in Hazel Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 4552% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $135k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.56%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,885
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16726 Head Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (+1%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $167 | 74 |
| 17089 Crane Ave | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,295 (+7%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $39 | 74 |
| 16876 Head Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,147 (-6%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $161 | 73 |
| 16727 Head Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-5%) | 1mo | $157,000 | $137 | 72 |
| 16918 S Orchard Ridge Ave | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,295 (+7%) | 4mo | $128,000 | $99 | 72 |
| 17026 Bulger Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (+15%) | 1mo | $171,390 | $123 | 65 |
| 16784 Crane Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (-13%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $146 | 64 |
| 16738 Crane Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (-13%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $139 | 62 |
| 16628 Winchester Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-7%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 1924 169th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,086 (-11%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $175 | 55 |
| 17561 Hillside Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,174 (-3%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 16607 Winchester Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,053 (-13%) | 5mo | $226,000 | $215 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $33,474
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $100,652
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,391 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,092/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $867
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,700 | $1.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1158 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $2,650 | $1.84 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 1d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2025-04-11historical $2,900
-
2025-03-03$2,900
-
2023-12-16historical $2,200
-
2023-12-01$2,200
-
2021-10-14soldstatus $88,500
-
2010-12-16soldstatus $12,000 Closed Sale 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
-
2010-12-09status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
-
2010-12-01price $14,500 Price Change 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
-
2010-11-04price $16,900 Price Change 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
-
2010-10-18price $19,900 Price Change 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
-
2010-09-24price $22,500 Price Change 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
-
2010-09-08$24,900 New 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!!! GET YOUR BUYERS OUT TO SEE THIS GREAT DEAL!!! SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS. PROOF OF FUNDS AND PRE-APPROVALS REQUIRED WITH ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL INSPECTIONS AND CITY REQUIREMENTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN IS NOT GUARANTEED. NO SURVEY OR DISCLOSURES. EM MUST BE CERTIFIED.
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2006-08-29soldstatus $116,000
-
2001-08-22soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,092 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,092 · $258/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$3,092
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,295
- − Management
- −$2,295
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $8,851
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-96.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-11 Rental Removed $2,900 Avail
- 2025-03-03 Listed for Rent $2,900 Avail
- 2023-12-16 Rental Removed $2,200 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-01 Listed for Rent $2,200 APPFOLIO
- 2021-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records
- 2010-12-16 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-09 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-01 Price Changed $14,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-04 Price Changed $16,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-10-18 Price Changed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-24 Price Changed $22,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-08 Listed $24,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2023): $3,092 · +32.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…