525 Tierra Bonita · Socorro, NM
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICED REDUCED!!! Cozy 2 bedroom mobile home w/ large additions, mini splits, on a city lot w/ public utilities. Come enjoy all that Socorro has to offer while only minutes from schools, shopping, hospital, I-25 and New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology. Come take a look. At 55K, this is a rare opportunity indeed. ..
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1964
- Listed 36 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Single wide mobile home; Faces south; Resale condition
- Construction: Metal roof; Metal siding; Built year reported by owner
- Exterior features: Corner lot with few trees; Paved city street frontage; No additional exterior amenities listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating
- Interior features: Home office; Main-level primary bedroom; Soaking tub; Clad and metal window frames; Vinyl and wood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.9% in Socorro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#59 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
- Socorro Consolidated Schools (town): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #76 of 95 in NM (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: R. Sarracino Middle (254 students, 97% FRL); Socorro High (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #51 of 110 statewide, top 50%, 450 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 60% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Socorro Consolidated Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Socorro County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.94%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,658
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Simpson Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-4%) | 11mo | $167,500 | $138 | 53 |
| 207 Faulkner Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,350 (+7%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $159 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $17,210
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $48,665
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87801
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $448 | -5% $429 | +0% $410 | +5% $391 | +10% $372 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $331 | -5% $370 | +0% $410 | +5% $449 | +10% $489 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $438 | -0.5pp $424 | base $410 | +0.5pp $396 | +1.0pp $381 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Bernard Socorro, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 46d | 1 | 0.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-22days on market $55,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-21remarks 326-char remark
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-13$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Socorro Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3502460
- Math proficiency
- 12% —
- Reading proficiency
- 21% —
- Median HH income
- $35,586
- Composite
- 17.01/100
- National rank
- #14193
- State rank
- #76 of 95 in NM
Livability — Socorro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #13325
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Socorro, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,309
Population outlook (Socorro County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,091 people
- By 2030
- 15,334 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 13,876 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 12,542 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 10,157 · -36.9%
- By 2100
- 8,116 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 36% Two or more races 29% Native American 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Socorro
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 50.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.1pp · 2024: -3.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.7 2020: D+6.5 2016: D+10.1 2012: D+18.1 2008: D+21.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.16%
- Current HPI
- 127.044
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $65,000 Southwest MLS
Property tax history
+124.9%/yrLatest (2014): $105 · +405.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…