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525 Tierra Bonita
B- Composite 67.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

525 Tierra Bonita · Socorro, NM 87801
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,262 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1964 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICED REDUCED!!! Cozy 2 bedroom mobile home w/ large additions, mini splits, on a city lot w/ public utilities. Come enjoy all that Socorro has to offer while only minutes from schools, shopping, hospital, I-25 and New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology. Come take a look. At 55K, this is a rare opportunity indeed. ..

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Single wide mobile home; Faces south; Resale condition
  • Construction: Metal roof; Metal siding; Built year reported by owner
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with few trees; Paved city street frontage; No additional exterior amenities listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating
  • Interior features: Home office; Main-level primary bedroom; Soaking tub; Clad and metal window frames; Vinyl and wood flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.9% in Socorro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#59 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Socorro Consolidated Schools (town): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #76 of 95 in NM (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: R. Sarracino Middle (254 students, 97% FRL); Socorro High (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #51 of 110 statewide, top 50%, 450 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 60% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Socorro Consolidated Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Socorro County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
15.24%
Cash-on-cash
31.94%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,658
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 Simpson Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,212 (-4%) 11mo $167,500 $138 53
207 Faulkner Rd 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,350 (+7%) 8mo $215,000 $159 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$17,210
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$48,665
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87801

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $448 -5% $429 +0% $410 +5% $391 +10% $372
Rent -10% $331 -5% $370 +0% $410 +5% $449 +10% $489
Rate -1.0pp $438 -0.5pp $424 base $410 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $381

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
208 Bernard Socorro, NM 1.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 46d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $55,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    remarks 326-char remark
  4. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
  19. 2026-05-13
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$4,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,032
After-tax cash flow
$3,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Socorro Consolidated Schools
NCES district ID
3502460
Math proficiency
12%
Reading proficiency
21%
Median HH income
$35,586
Composite
17.01/100
National rank
#14193
State rank
#76 of 95 in NM

Livability — Socorro

Score
65/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#13325

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Socorro, NM
Population (ZIP)
9,309

Population outlook (Socorro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,091 people
By 2030
15,334 · -4.7%
By 2040
13,876 · -13.8%
By 2050
12,542 · -22.1%
By 2075
10,157 · -36.9%
By 2100
8,116 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 36% Two or more races 29% Native American 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Socorro

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 50.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.1pp · 2024: -3.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.7 2020: D+6.5 2016: D+10.1 2012: D+18.1 2008: D+21.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.16%
Current HPI
127.044
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $65,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+124.9%/yr

Latest (2014): $105 · +405.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…