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13414 Shaw Ave
B- Composite 65.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

13414 Shaw Ave · East Cleveland, OH 44112
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,533 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1920 5,401 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Very nice duplex for investors or owner-occupants * * The property has two units: a first floor, 2-bedroom/1-bath unit rented at $850 and a second & third, 3-bedroom/1-bath unit rented at $1100 * * Both units have been painted throughout * * Newer kitchen and baths, newer furnaces, newer hot water tanks * * Please no wholesales or assignment of contracts * * PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB OR APPROACH TENANTS * * Seller will not accept owner financing * * Property being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS.

Key facts

  • Newer kitchen
  • Newer furnaces
  • Newer baths

Tags

NEWER KITCHENNEWER BATHSNEWER FURNACESNEWER HOT WATER TANKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 17.4% in East Cleveland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Caledonia Elementary School (246 students, 0% FRL); W.H. Kirk Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 291 students, 0% FRL); Shaw High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #706 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 541 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 92% district-wide (92 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,633/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.50%
Cash-on-cash
15.02%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$11,022
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$59,843
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44112

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,277/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$421

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,100
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $489 -5% $455 +0% $421 +5% $387 +10% $353
Rent -10% $292 -5% $356 +0% $421 +5% $485 +10% $550
Rate -1.0pp $481 -0.5pp $451 base $421 +0.5pp $390 +1.0pp $358

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
571 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 2220 $1,808 $0.81 17d 1 0.82mi
15801 Hazel Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.5 1908 $1,550 $0.81 17d 1 1.15mi
910 Dresden Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,800 $0.98 17d 1 1.30mi
1215 E 113th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 3502 $1,800 $0.51 17d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $120,000 Active
  3. 2023-10-06
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,277 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,277 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,591
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,277
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,567
− Management
−$1,567
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$3,367
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$808
After-tax cash flow
$4,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Cleveland City School District
NCES district ID
3904390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$22,726
Composite
7.38/100
National rank
#9954
State rank
#652 of 656 in OH

Livability — East Cleveland

Score
66/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#11510

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Cleveland, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
17,848
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
17,848
Household income
$28,799
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1702.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.61%
Current HPI
67.2162
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,277 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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