48 Turri Ave · Boles Acres, NM 88310

$187,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market

Built 1997 1.97 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Nestled on just under two acres at the base of the beautiful Sacramento Mountains, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers peaceful country living with breathtaking desert scenery. Wake up each morning to beautiful sunrises and unwind in the evenings while enjoying colorful sunsets stretching across the Tularosa Basin. Designed with comfort and practicality in mind, the home features a spacious layout with a large primary suite complete with an en-suite bath, creating a private retreat at the end of the day. The inviting living spaces and functional kitchen provide plenty of room for everyday living and entertaining alike. Outside, the low-maintenance desert lan

Key facts

• Private well
• Desert landscaping
• Mountain views

Tags

• DESERT LANDSCAPING
• PRIVATE WELL
• POWERED STORAGE BUILDINGS
• MOUNTAIN VIEWS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached parking
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
• Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Single-story
• Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Corner lot; Shed(s); Workshop

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Heating & cooling: Propane forced-air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Walk-in closets

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($324/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (10.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $167k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#47 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 449 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 9→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $167,003 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.62%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-30,795
• Equity at exit: $27,882

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-33,438
• Equity at exit: $16,168

Cash invested: $52,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Mexico: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 88310

• Rents YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 449
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,670 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$981
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$234 /mo · $2,805/yr
• Insurance: −$78
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$351
• Net cashflow: $27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,636

Max offer price $187,000

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $156	-5% $92	+0% $27	+5% $-38	+10% $-102
Rent	-10% $-105	-5% $-39	+0% $27	+5% $93	+10% $159
Rate	-1.0pp $121	-0.5pp $75	base $27	+0.5pp $-21	+1.0pp $-71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,750
• Closing costs: $5,610
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-17
   status Pending 1401-char remark
2. 2026-05-12
   listed $187,000 Active 1401-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 9 d/yr ≥96°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,040
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,475
• − Property taxes: −$2,805
• − Insurance: −$935
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,603
• − Management: −$1,603
• − Depreciation: −$5,440
• Taxable loss: −$2,821
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$677
• After-tax cash flow: $1,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Alamogordo Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 3500030
• Math proficiency: 26% —
• Reading proficiency: 39% —
• Median HH income: $42,194
• Composite: 30.24/100
• National rank: #11572
• State rank: #26 of 95 in NM

Livability — Boles Acres

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #47
• US rank: #12466

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Boles Acres, NM
• County: Otero County · 36,983 people
• City population: 696
• Metro: Alamogordo, NM
• Population (ZIP): 36,983
• Household income: $57,214
• Rent vs Own: 34.4% rent · 65.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1231.0

Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,967 people
• By 2030: 62,164 · -1.3%
• By 2040: 60,253 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 58,575 · -7.0%
• By 2075: 55,411 · -12.0%
• By 2100: 48,551 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otero

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -174.88%
• Current HPI: 181.737
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.65%
• Metro: Alamogordo, NM
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) — OCAOR
• 2026-05-17 Pending — OCAOR
• 2026-05-12 Listed $187,000 OCAOR

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $32 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.