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1613 Old Wilson Rd
D Composite 43.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

1613 Old Wilson Rd · Rocky Mount, NC 27801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1955 8,276 sqft lot Est $103k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located at 1613 Old Wilson Road in Rocky Mount! This cozy property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and great natural light throughout. The two bedrooms provide flexibility for a guest room, home office, or additional storage space. The spacious yard offers room to relax, garden, or entertain, with plenty of potential to personalize and make it your own. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways, this home provides both accessibility and everyday comfort. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to expand their portfolio. Don't miss this opportunity -- schedule your show

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Near dining
  • Great natural light

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTGREAT NATURAL LIGHTSPACIOUS YARDNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DININGNEAR MEDICAL FACILITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.19 acres; Zoning: R6; Located on a publicly maintained road
  • Financial info: Previous list price noted (recent change)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Site-built single-story home; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built on site
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Luxury vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (4.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $130k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,209 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.55%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$102,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1525 Hargrove St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (-3%) 11mo $100,000 $98 72
1214 Cypress St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,064 (+1%) 13mo $133,000 $125 66
1820 Blandwood Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,073 (+2%) 17mo $36,000 $34 66
1410 Branch St 0.32mi 2/1.0 990 (-6%) 13mo $28,000 $28 65
540 Lincoln Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,067 (+2%) 9mo $128,000 $120 57
805 Tyan St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,163 (+11%) 13mo $65,000 $56 57
929 Tyan St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,187 (+13%) 10mo $90,000 $76 57
1317 Proctor St 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,107 (+5%) 11mo $140,000 $126 56
517 Lincoln Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (-4%) 16mo $112,000 $111 53
1121 Hill St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+5%) 10mo $110,000 $100 49
1104 Long Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 983 (-6%) 13mo $55,000 $56 46
727 Long Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,177 (+12%) 10mo $40,000 $34 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,454
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$8,704
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27801

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $512/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $985
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $272 -5% $235 +0% $199 +5% $162 +10% $125
Rent -10% $101 -5% $150 +0% $199 +5% $247 +10% $296
Rate -1.0pp $264 -0.5pp $232 base $199 +0.5pp $165 +1.0pp $131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,900 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 118 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 105 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    price $129,900 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $136,900 Active 103 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $136,900 Active 102 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $136,900 Active 101 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $136,900 Active 100 DOM
  18. 2026-03-11
    price $136,900
  19. 2026-02-17
    listed $145,900 Active
  20. 2025-06-10
    historical
  21. 2025-06-10
    historical
  22. 2025-01-01
    price $139,500
  23. 2025-01-01
    listed $139,500 Active
  24. 2024-12-31
    historical
  25. 2024-12-30
    price $139,900
  26. 2024-09-20
    price $144,500
  27. 2024-08-03
    historical $1,100
  28. 2024-07-23
    listed $149,900 Active
  29. 2024-07-22
    listed $144,500 Active
  30. 2024-05-09
    listed $1,100
  31. 2023-08-30
    historical $1,200
  32. 2023-08-16
    listed $1,200
  33. 2023-04-27
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed
  34. 2023-04-27
    soldstatus $55,000
  35. 2023-04-17
    status Pending
  36. 2022-07-18
    listed $69,900 Active
  37. 1992-10-26
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$512 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$554/yr (+$46/mo · 108.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,834
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$512
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,187
− Management
−$1,187
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$244
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$59
After-tax cash flow
$2,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Edgecombe County · 37,913 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
19,532
Household income
$44,884
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 24% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.65%
Current HPI
296.3428
Rent YoY
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+226.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $136,900 TMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $145,900 TMLS
  • 2025-06-10 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-06-10 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-01-01 Price Changed $139,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listed $139,500 Hive MLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-12-30 Price Changed $139,900 TMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Price Changed $144,500 TMLS
  • 2024-08-03 Rental Removed $1,100 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-07-23 Listed $149,900 TMLS
  • 2024-07-22 Listed $144,500 Hive MLS
  • 2024-05-09 Listed for Rent $1,100 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-08-30 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-08-16 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-27 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-04-17 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-18 Listed $69,900 Hive MLS
  • 1992-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $512 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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