2407 W Amarillo Blvd · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Golden Goose!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, 1 car garage home has a nice covered front porch, metal roof, detached garage and storage. There is a long time renter on the property, who is a handyman and works next door. He would love to remain.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1946
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $900
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Home design: Single family residence (Residential property)
- Exterior features: Located in NW Amarillo within city limits
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: One total room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($911 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.82%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-6,547
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $9,345
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79106
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $911 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $152 | -5% $127 | +0% $101 | +5% $76 | +10% $50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $29 | -5% $65 | +0% $101 | +5% $137 | +10% $173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $147 | -0.5pp $124 | base $101 | +0.5pp $78 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 N Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $800 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1637 NW 16th Ave Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 211 S Carolina St Unit A Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $993 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2306 SW 8th Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $950 | $1.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2306 SW 8th Ave Unit 2 Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 705 S Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $850 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 89 N Fairmont St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,000 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 802 S Kentucky St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $899 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 406 S Tennessee St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $895 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1212 SW 9th Ave Unit A Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $770 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1506 SW 11th Ave Unit A Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $650 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 106 S Palo Duro St Unit B Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $695 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1008 S Mississippi St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,275 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 703 S Independence St Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $710 | $1.35 | 12d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 4222 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $799 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4224 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $775 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4226 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $949 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4231 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $875 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-29$90,000
-
2019-08-26soldstatus 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Investor Golden Goose!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, 1 car garage home has a nice covered front porch, metal roof, detached garage and storage. There is a long time renter on the property, who is a handyman and works next door. He would love to remain.
-
2019-08-26soldstatus
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Investor Golden Goose!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, 1 car garage home has a nice covered front porch, metal roof, detached garage and storage. There is a long time renter on the property, who is a handyman and works next door. He would love to remain.
-
2019-08-10$28,000 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Investor Golden Goose!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, 1 car garage home has a nice covered front porch, metal roof, detached garage and storage. There is a long time renter on the property, who is a handyman and works next door. He would love to remain.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$337/yr (+$28/mo · 25.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,935
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,310
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$875
- − Management
- −$875
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$234
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$56
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Potter County · 72,216 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,161
- Household income
- $59,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 994.0
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.04%
- Current HPI
- 178.2153
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+221.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed — AARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $90,000 AARMLS
- 2019-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-08-26 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
- 2019-08-10 Listed $28,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,310 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…