2650 Hilltop Ave · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 3-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot approximately 0.26 acres (84 x 134)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen (12 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Second-level bedroom (17 x 9); Second-level bedroom (10 x 9); Main-level bedroom (12 x 10); Main-level bedroom (20 x 13)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Partial basement; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (30.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kenton Elementary School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,209 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 469 students, 0% FRL); Schaefer Middle School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #597 of 654 statewide, top 92%, 268 students, 0% FRL); Springfield High School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #665 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 1,516 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.33%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,764
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 9.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2650 Hilltop Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (0%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $101 | 100 |
| 2529 Lagonda Ave | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,460 (-1%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $116 | 78 |
| 2560 Tecumseh Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,547 (+5%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $23 | 63 |
| 1909 Mechanicsburg Rd | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,492 (+2%) | 15mo | $172,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 1517 Parker St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+9%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $128 | 59 |
| 3114 Columbus Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-5%) | 2mo | $237,000 | $170 | 57 |
| 1026 N Burnett Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 21mo | $182,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 1739 Winding Trl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (+2%) | 15mo | $259,900 | $173 | 49 |
| 1103 N Burnett Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,608 (+9%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $84 | 44 |
| 901 N Burnett Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,580 (+8%) | 23mo | $123,000 | $78 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-31,771
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-37,388
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45503
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-32 | -5% $-74 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-159 | +10% $-201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-158 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-75 | +10% $-34 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-41 | -0.5pp $-78 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-155 | +1.0pp $-195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
-
2026-05-11status Pending 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
-
2026-05-09price $150,000 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
-
2026-05-09price $150,000 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
-
2026-05-05$160,000 Active 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
-
2026-05-05$160,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,752 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$588/yr (+$49/mo · 50.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,164
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$4,096
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$983
- After-tax cash flow
- $-416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark · 134,280 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,673
- Household income
- $54,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.7
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.92%
- Current HPI
- 257.5694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-6.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $149,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $149,000 WRIST
- 2026-05-11 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WRIST
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $150,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $150,000 WRIST
- 2026-05-05 Listed $160,000 WRIST
- 2026-05-05 Listed $160,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,164 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…