CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2650 Hilltop Ave
F Composite 26.43
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

2650 Hilltop Ave · Springfield, OH 45503
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,470 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1952 0.26 ac lot $102/sqft · 10% above area Est $137k · 10% over ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1952

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 3-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot approximately 0.26 acres (84 x 134)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen (12 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Second-level bedroom (17 x 9); Second-level bedroom (10 x 9); Main-level bedroom (12 x 10); Main-level bedroom (20 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Partial basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (13.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (30.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kenton Elementary School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,209 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 469 students, 0% FRL); Schaefer Middle School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #597 of 654 statewide, top 92%, 268 students, 0% FRL); Springfield High School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #665 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 1,516 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,000 (30.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,764
List price
$150,000
Delta
9.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2650 Hilltop Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,470 (0%) 0mo $149,000 $101 100
2529 Lagonda Ave 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (-1%) 11mo $170,000 $116 78
2560 Tecumseh Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,547 (+5%) 13mo $35,000 $23 63
1909 Mechanicsburg Rd 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,492 (+2%) 15mo $172,000 $115 62
1517 Parker St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+9%) 12mo $205,000 $128 59
3114 Columbus Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,394 (-5%) 2mo $237,000 $170 57
1026 N Burnett Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 21mo $182,000 $126 50
1739 Winding Trl 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,499 (+2%) 15mo $259,900 $173 49
1103 N Burnett Rd 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,608 (+9%) 11mo $135,000 $84 44
901 N Burnett Rd 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (+8%) 23mo $123,000 $78 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-31,771
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-37,388
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45503

Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$-117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,198
Max offer price $129,406
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-32 -5% $-74 +0% $-117 +5% $-159 +10% $-201
Rent -10% $-200 -5% $-158 +0% $-117 +5% $-75 +10% $-34
Rate -1.0pp $-41 -0.5pp $-78 base $-117 +0.5pp $-155 +1.0pp $-195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH 2.0 1.0 1052 $1,050 $1.00 3d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

  3. 2026-05-09
    price $150,000 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

  4. 2026-05-09
    price $150,000 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

  5. 2026-05-05
    listed $160,000 Active 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

  6. 2026-05-05
    listed $160,000 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Situated on a large corner lot, this home offers many possibilities. You enter a spacious living area open to the eat in kitchen. Primary bedroom on the main level offers an en suite bath. There is another bedroom and bath on the first floor. Upstairs there is a 3rd bedroom and flexible den/office space. The basement offers plenty of of storage space. There is a detached 3 car garage perfect for your next project. Needs some updates and finishing touches.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,164 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,752 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$588/yr (+$49/mo · 50.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,600
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,164
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$4,096
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$983
After-tax cash flow
$-416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield City School District
NCES district ID
3904481
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,541
Composite
19.12/100
National rank
#8834
State rank
#616 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OH
County
Clark · 134,280 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,673
Household income
$54,561
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
4.7

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.92%
Current HPI
257.5694
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $149,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $149,000 WRIST
  • 2026-05-11 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending WRIST
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $150,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $150,000 WRIST
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $160,000 WRIST
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $160,000 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,164 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…