711 N Oklahoma St · Bonifay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.5/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Brick Home on a Spacious Corner Lot in the Heart of Bonifay! Welcome home to this well-maintained 1,580+/- square foot brick residence situated on a generous corner lot in the charming community of Bonifay Florida. Offering solid construction, major system updates, and endless potential, this property is the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to create a home that reflects their own style and vision. Step inside and discover a versatile semi-open floor plan designed for both comfortable everyday living and entertaining. The home features a welcoming formal living room accented by beautiful built-in wood bookcases, creating the perfect space for displaying treasured collectio
Key facts
- Major system updates
- Spacious corner lot
- Brick home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Patio; Porch; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Family room; Living room; Primary bedroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (15.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (28.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.8% in Bonifay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#577 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Holmes (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #53 of 73 in FL (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ponce De Leon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 308 students, 58% FRL); Holmes County High School (math 22% / reading 50%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 453 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Holmes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Holmes County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.75%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,540
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 E Wisconsin Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,681 (+6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $125 | 80 |
| 651 E North Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,761 (+12%) | 2mo | $299,900 | $170 | 61 |
| 102 Lisenby Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,377 (-13%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $163 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $85,055
- Equity at exit
- $156,753
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $258,050
- Equity at exit
- $338,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32425
- Home prices YoY
- 16.2%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $-152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-54 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-152 | +5% $-201 | +10% $-251 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-251 | -5% $-201 | +0% $-152 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-54 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-64 | -0.5pp $-108 | base $-152 | +0.5pp $-197 | +1.0pp $-243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $174,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $174,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,824 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,824 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$1,824
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,197
- − Management
- −$1,197
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$4,936
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,185
- After-tax cash flow
- $-641/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holmes
- NCES district ID
- 1200900
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,365
- Composite
- 36.83/100
- National rank
- #4558
- State rank
- #53 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bonifay
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #577
- US rank
- #10976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonifay, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,944
Population outlook (Holmes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,963 people
- By 2030
- 17,245 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 15,970 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 14,905 · -17.0%
- By 2075
- 12,327 · -31.4%
- By 2100
- 9,760 · -45.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Holmes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.2) · D 9.7% · R 89.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -65.0pp · 2024: -80.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.2 2020: R+78.9 2016: R+77.9 2012: R+68.3 2008: R+65.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.87%
- Current HPI
- 322.29
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $185,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,824 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…