2057 Indian Hls · Canyon Lake, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,750
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on an oversized lot, this property offers ample space for Garage/shop or Carport. Enjoy easy access to Hwy 281 and nearby shopping, all within the highly regarded Comal County school district. Outdoor recreation is at your fingertips with Canyon Lake and the Guadalupe River just minutes away. The fully fenced backyard (High Fence)includes a lockable gate, while covered front and back porches provide great spaces to relax. Inside, the home features generously sized bedrooms throughout. Lot is level and close to Hwy 281 set back jus
Key facts
- Lockable gate
- Oversized lot
- 0.67 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (7.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.3% in Canyon Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#534 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Comal ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #58 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 633 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,420 units permitted in Comal County in 2024 (1,164 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comal County population projected at +70% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,983
- List price
- $169,750
- Delta
- -31.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 N Rip Frd | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,216 (+12%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $99 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-14,711
- Equity at exit
- $25,310
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,511
- Equity at exit
- $14,677
Cash invested: $47,530 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78070
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Active inventory
- 633
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,576 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$890
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $984/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,438
- Closing costs
- $5,092
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1197 Chisolm Trl Unit A Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3133 Puter Creek Rd Unit B Canyon Lake, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 109 High Dr Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2341 Puter Creek Rd Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 229 High Dr Unit A Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1283 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 229 High Dr Unit B Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1283 | $1,690 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 529 Lone Shadow Dr Unit A Spring Branch, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $1,540 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2381 Cypress Gardens Blvd Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2455 Golf Dr Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2519 Golf Dr Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2519 Golf Dr Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 752 Cimarron Unit B Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 901 | $1,245 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 208 Crestview Ln Spring Branch, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 184 Crestview Ln Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 263 Stacie Ann Dr Spring Branch, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,070 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 418 Cimarron Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,595 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 418 Cimarron Spring Branch, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,750 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,750 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,750 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,750 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $169,750 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,750 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $169,750 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $169,750 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $169,750 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $169,750 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,750 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,750 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $169,750 Active 131 DOM
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2026-01-19$169,750 New 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Situated on an oversized lot, this property offers ample space for Garage/shop or Carport. Enjoy easy access to Hwy 281 and nearby shopping, all within the highly regarded Comal County school district. Outdoor recreation is at your fingertips with Canyon Lake and the Guadalupe River just minutes away. The fully fenced backyard (High Fence)includes a lockable gate, while covered front and back porches provide great spaces to relax. Inside, the home features generously sized bedrooms throughout. Lot is level and close to Hwy 281 set back jus
-
2024-07-19soldstatus Sold 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
-
2024-07-19soldstatus
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
-
2024-07-10status Pending 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
-
2024-07-10status Pending
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
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2024-06-15historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
-
2024-06-15historical Active Option 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
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2024-05-06price $159,000 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
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2024-05-05price $159,000
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2024-04-05$169,000 Active
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2024-04-04price $169,000 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
-
2024-03-01$174,000 New 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Oversized lot room for all your toys, pets, gardens ect..Easy access to Hwy 281 and shopping, Comal county school district lots of recreation in the area, Canyon Lake ,Guadalupe River just minutes away. Back yard is completely fenced and has a gate that can be locked. Front and back covered porches. Bedroom sizes are spacious washer dryer remain. Financing available come enjoy country living at its finest.
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2018-03-23soldstatus
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2018-03-22soldstatus Sold
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2018-02-27historical Active Option
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2018-02-11$84,500 New
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2017-11-03historical
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2017-11-02historical
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2017-08-19price $89,500
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2017-08-18price $89,500
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2017-06-28soldstatus
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2017-06-10$95,500 New
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2017-06-09$95,500 Active
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2002-07-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,106 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,122/yr (+$177/mo · 215.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,509
- − Property taxes
- −$984
- − Insurance
- −$849
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,513
- − Management
- −$1,513
- − Depreciation
- −$4,938
- Taxable loss
- −$398
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$95
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Comal ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814730
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,792
- Composite
- 51.79/100
- National rank
- #1671
- State rank
- #58 of 826 in TX
Livability — Canyon Lake
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #534
- US rank
- #10441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canyon Lake, TX
- County
- Comal County · 206,262 people
- City population
- 42,159
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,200
- Household income
- $115,175
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 73.0
Population outlook (Comal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,637 people
- By 2030
- 199,911 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 249,436 · +42.0%
- By 2050
- 299,430 · +70.5%
- By 2075
- 423,857 · +141.3%
- By 2100
- 512,048 · +191.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comal
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+54.1 2008: R+47.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.35%
- Current HPI
- 233.2875
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+77.7% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Listed $169,750 LERA
- 2024-07-19 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2024-07-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-07-10 Pending — LERA
- 2024-07-10 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2024-06-15 Contingent — CTXMLS
- 2024-06-15 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-05-06 Price Changed $159,000 LERA
- 2024-05-05 Price Changed $159,000 CTXMLS
- 2024-04-05 Listed $169,000 CTXMLS
- 2024-04-04 Price Changed $169,000 LERA
- 2024-03-01 Listed $174,000 LERA
- 2018-03-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-03-22 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2018-02-27 Contingent — LERA
- 2018-02-11 Listed $84,500 LERA
- 2017-11-03 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2017-11-02 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2017-08-19 Price Changed $89,500 LERA
- 2017-08-18 Price Changed $89,500 CTXMLS
- 2017-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-06-10 Listed $95,500 LERA
- 2017-06-09 Listed $95,500 CTXMLS
- 2002-07-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2026): $984 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…