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7400 Fernandina Ave
B Composite 70.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

7400 Fernandina Ave · Jacksonville, FL 32208
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 933 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 203 Days on market
Built 1928 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

Key facts

  • Custom renovation
  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1928

Tags

GENEROUS .29 ACRE LOTCUSTOM RENOVATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential / Single Family use
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliances specified
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: No built-in appliances listed
  • Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.92%
Cap rate
24.94%
Cash-on-cash
66.60%
DSCR
3.96
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,419
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7400 Fernandina Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 933 (0%) 1mo $28,000 $30 100
7447 Oriole St 0.08mi 3/1.5 (+1) 912 (-2%) 8mo $71,250 $78 79
7069 Alan Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 872 (-6%) 8mo $129,900 $149 63
7437 Oriole St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,032 (+11%) 10mo $169,000 $164 62
5752 Oprey St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 912 (-2%) 6mo $110,000 $121 60
950 Ashton St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+7%) 4mo $142,500 $143 56
1512 Rutledge Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,007 (+8%) 20mo $97,000 $96 51
7632 Lueders Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,024 (+10%) 6mo $144,000 $141 48
1130 Angus St 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,022 (+10%) 19mo $165,000 $161 42
7807 Lake Park Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (+8%) 17mo $200,000 $198 35
1011 Glencarin St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,061 (+14%) 7mo $90,000 $85 33
1540 Golf Forest Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (+12%) 18mo $160,000 $152 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.4%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$29,641
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
65.9%
Equity multiple
6.69×
Total profit
$63,588
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,166 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $381
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $643 -5% $631 +0% $620 +5% $609 +10% $597
Rent -10% $528 -5% $574 +0% $620 +5% $666 +10% $712
Rate -1.0pp $640 -0.5pp $630 base $620 +0.5pp $610 +1.0pp $599

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1567 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,113 $1.06 24d 1 0.33mi
1244 Ida St Apt 4 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 686 $900 $1.31 24d 1 0.40mi
7350 Linda Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 954 $795 $0.83 8d 1 0.55mi
1536 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 24d 1 0.58mi
7927 Reid Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1055 $1,500 $1.42 24d 1 0.59mi
5736 Teeler Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 852 $1,000 $1.17 24d 1 0.64mi
961 Dorchester St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 884 $1,025 $1.16 4d 1 0.67mi
1059 Glencarin St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 645 $897 $1.39 5d 1 0.72mi
2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 972 $1,231 $1.27 24d 1 0.79mi
1136 Maynard St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 919 $1,045 $1.14 24d 1 0.80mi
1975 Rugby Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 992 $1,100 $1.11 8d 1 0.95mi
851 Broxton St Unit 851 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 18d 1 0.97mi
2092 Benedict Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 816 $1,095 $1.34 24d 1 0.99mi
1803 W 44th St Unit 1803 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 8d 1 0.99mi
5352 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,261 $1.20 24d 1 0.99mi
8617 3rd Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,200 $1.15 11d 1 1.00mi
1823 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1066 $1,500 $1.41 24d 1 1.00mi
4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0 755 $870 $1.15 3d 8 1.01mi
5350 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 1.02mi
8642 2nd Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,245 $1.16 2d 1 1.03mi
7210 Elwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 831 $995 $1.20 22d 1 1.04mi
1959 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 895 $1,245 $1.39 15d 1 1.06mi
2185 Benedict Rd Unit 2187 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 630 $995 $1.58 11d 1 1.07mi
2185 Benedict Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 630 $995 $1.58 24d 1 1.07mi
8663 5th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,045 $1.45 24d 1 1.07mi
7511 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 5d 1 1.14mi
912 Saratoga Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 930 $1,250 $1.34 24d 1 1.14mi
6114 Strawflower Pl Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,200 $1.17 24d 1 1.15mi
7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,043 $1.21 4d 1 1.18mi
535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 816 $1,395 $1.71 8d 1 1.19mi
8253 Lexington Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 910 $1,330 $1.46 24d 1 1.21mi
1653 W 35th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 24d 1 1.23mi
6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 708 $1,095 $1.55 24d 1 1.29mi
5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,195 $1.19 8d 1 1.29mi
5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 941 $1,250 $1.33 2d 1 1.29mi
1551 W 33rd St #2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 842 $795 $0.94 21d 1 1.31mi
385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 932 $1,250 $1.34 20d 1 1.32mi
356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1070 $1,425 $1.33 15d 1 1.36mi
5306 Paris Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,150 $1.22 24d 1 1.37mi
562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,195 $1.10 24d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    price $39,900
  3. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $44,900
  5. 2026-03-28
    historical
  6. 2026-03-25
    price $47,500
  7. 2026-03-25
    status Active
  8. 2026-03-25
    price $54,900
  9. 2026-03-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2026-02-16
    status Active
  11. 2026-02-16
    price $59,900
  12. 2026-01-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  13. 2026-01-08
    price $64,900
  14. 2025-10-04
    listed $74,900 Active
  15. 2025-03-20
    soldstatus $125,000
  16. 2024-11-18
    soldstatus $22,000 Closed 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  17. 2024-10-02
    status Pending 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  18. 2024-09-30
    price $25,000 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  19. 2024-09-23
    status Active 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  20. 2024-09-20
    historical 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  21. 2024-09-13
    price $29,000 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  22. 2024-08-29
    price $33,000 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  23. 2024-08-20
    listed $37,000 Active 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Fire damaged house in need of full remodel. Buyer to take on liens (code violations).

  24. 2009-02-01
    historical 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    This home is in a nice wooded area, has two tone paint, just needs a little TLC and you'll have a nice place to live.

  25. 2008-06-17
    listed $23,900 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    This home is in a nice wooded area, has two tone paint, just needs a little TLC and you'll have a nice place to live.

  26. 2005-09-20
    historical
  27. 2005-09-09
    soldstatus $53,200
  28. 2005-08-11
    listed $63,000
  29. 2005-04-01
    soldstatus $33,000
  30. 2004-11-18
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$905 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,995
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$7,255
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,741
After-tax cash flow
$5,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.0% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $39,900 realMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $44,900 realMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $47,500 realMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $54,900 realMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $59,900 realMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $64,900 realMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Listed $74,900 realMLS
  • 2025-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-18 Sold (MLS) $22,000 realMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Pending realMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Price Changed $25,000 realMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Relisted realMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2024-09-13 Price Changed $29,000 realMLS
  • 2024-08-29 Price Changed $33,000 realMLS
  • 2024-08-20 Listed $37,000 realMLS
  • 2009-02-01 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2008-06-17 Listed $23,900 realMLS
  • 2005-09-20 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2005-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $53,200 Public Records
  • 2005-08-11 Listed $63,000 realMLS
  • 2005-04-01 Sold (MLS) $33,000 realMLS
  • 2004-11-18 Listed $35,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $905 · +43.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…