2313 Elbe Ave · Hamilton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean, updated and move-in ready. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable layout, recent updates, and a bright, inviting feel throughout. The spacious eat-in kitchen offers plenty of room for dining and gathering! A backyard and detached two-car garage for additional off street parking and extra storage, complete the home. A great option for first-time buyers or anyone looking for an affordable home. Great value at this price point. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Full basement
- Newer cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.1% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#332 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
- Hamilton City (suburban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #517 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $164k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.89%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,719
- List price
- $164,000
- Delta
- 6.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2031 Benninghofen Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (-2%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $130 | 82 |
| 1018 Minor Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (0%) | 2mo | $214,900 | $195 | 72 |
| 928 Hooven Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 1,056 (-4%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $166 | 70 |
| 890 Weller Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,240 (+12%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $177 | 62 |
| 1024 Corwin Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,132 (+2%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $186 | 62 |
| 410 Laurel Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (-13%) | 1mo | $191,000 | $199 | 58 |
| 639 Minor Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,240 (+12%) | 2mo | $172,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 2024 Logan Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $83 | 55 |
| 340 Belle Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 1,246 (+13%) | 3mo | $132,500 | $106 | 54 |
| 408 Fallert Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 969 (-12%) | 0mo | $253,750 | $262 | 52 |
| 348 Fairview Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,263 (+14%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $99 | 51 |
| 1681 Kahn Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-13%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $104 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-19,576
- Equity at exit
- $24,453
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,162
- Equity at exit
- $14,180
Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45015
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,436 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$860
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,141/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $157 | +0% $111 | +5% $64 | +10% $18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3 | -5% $54 | +0% $111 | +5% $167 | +10% $224 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $152 | base $111 | +0.5pp $68 | +1.0pp $25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,000
- Closing costs
- $4,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1008 Fairview Ave Hamilton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1005 Minor Ave Hamilton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1118 Bonacker Ave Unit 1116 Hamilton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1794 See Ave Hamilton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1310 Shuler Ave Unit 2 Hamilton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $895 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 969 Harmon Ave Hamilton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 967 Shuler Ave Hamilton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 350 Vista Dr Unit 2 Hamilton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 350 Vista Dr Apt 1 Hamilton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 358 Hampshire Dr Unit 1FNA-49401 Hamilton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 9d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 358 Hampshire Dr Hamilton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,250 | $1.82 | 3d | 23 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $164,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Clean, updated and move-in ready. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable layout, recent updates, and a bright, inviting feel throughout. The spacious eat-in kitchen offers plenty of room for dining and gathering! A backyard and detached two-car garage for additional off street parking and extra storage, complete the home. A great option for first-time buyers or anyone looking for an affordable home. Great value at this price point. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-02-25$179,900 Active 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Clean, updated and move-in ready. This well-maintained home offers a comfortable layout, recent updates, and a bright, inviting feel throughout. The spacious eat-in kitchen offers plenty of room for dining and gathering! A backyard and detached two-car garage for additional off street parking and extra storage, complete the home. A great option for first-time buyers or anyone looking for an affordable home. Great value at this price point. Schedule your showing today.
-
2002-01-03soldstatus $53,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,141 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$709/yr (+$59/mo · 62.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,226
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,187
- − Property taxes
- −$1,141
- − Insurance
- −$820
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$4,771
- Taxable loss
- −$1,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$348
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904410
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,488
- Composite
- 36.48/100
- National rank
- #4656
- State rank
- #517 of 656 in OH
Livability — Hamilton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #332
- US rank
- #5467
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hamilton, OH
- County
- Butler County · 381,674 people
- City population
- 140,900
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,038
- Household income
- $48,312
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 407.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 387,706 people
- By 2030
- 392,028 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 395,307 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 391,116 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 378,642 · -2.3%
- By 2100
- 343,248 · -11.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Greek 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.41%
- Current HPI
- 253.3351
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+206.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $164,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $179,900 Cincy MLS
- 2002-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,141 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…