🏷️ Likely Rental
1418 W 14th St · Sioux City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant pays all utilities.
Key facts
- 3,080 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 174 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $75k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.42%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,640
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -52.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1418 W 14th St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,359 (0%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $50 | 100 |
| 510 George St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,429 (+5%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $28 | 77 |
| 1607 W 15th St | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+6%) | 11mo | $202,000 | $140 | 67 |
| 1403 W 6th St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,512 (+11%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $63 | 66 |
| 314 George St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (-15%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $134 | 57 |
| 1221 W 4th St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,473 (+8%) | 6mo | $164,500 | $112 | 57 |
| 613 Myrtle St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,210 (-11%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 2125 Villa Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-12%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 2317 Center St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,262 (-7%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $174 | 47 |
| 1902 & 1904 W 4th St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,532 (+13%) | 6mo | $184,999 | $121 | 46 |
| 411 Judd St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,173 (-14%) | 2mo | $38,000 | $32 | 39 |
| 2401 W 15th St Pl | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,534 (+13%) | 11mo | $243,100 | $158 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $16,210
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $50,722
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51103
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,362/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $487 | -5% $466 | +0% $445 | +5% $424 | +10% $402 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $347 | -5% $396 | +0% $445 | +5% $494 | +10% $543 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $483 | -0.5pp $464 | base $445 | +0.5pp $425 | +1.0pp $406 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2309 W 19th St Sioux City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 705 Douglas St Sioux City, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,775 | $1.42 | 44d | 5 | 1.14mi |
| 610 13th St Sioux City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1329 | $1,247 | $0.94 | 44d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 505 6th St Sioux City, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,100 | $2.53 | 44d | 5 | 1.29mi |
| 821 Jackson St Apt 105 Sioux City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,010 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Tenant pays all utilities.
-
2026-04-24price $75,000 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Tenant pays all utilities.
-
2026-03-24status Active 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Tenant pays all utilities.
-
2026-03-10status Pending 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Tenant pays all utilities.
-
2025-10-23$120,000 Active 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Tenant pays all utilities.
-
2015-02-27soldstatus $37,000 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
NEW FURNACE, UPDATED ELECTRIC, NEW PLUMBING, THROUGH OUT.
-
2015-02-09$45,000 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
NEW FURNACE, UPDATED ELECTRIC, NEW PLUMBING, THROUGH OUT.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,362 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,362 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,362
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,194
- − Management
- −$1,194
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,421
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,967
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2371
- State rank
- #264 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #2544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux City, IA
- City population
- 51,789
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,145
Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,226 people
- By 2030
- 103,060 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 102,533 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 102,788 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 107,227 · +3.9%
- By 2100
- 113,980 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 4% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 23% Vietnamese 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.41%
- Current HPI
- 262.3809
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $75,000 NWIA
- 2026-03-24 Relisted — NWIA
- 2026-03-10 Pending — NWIA
- 2025-10-23 Listed $120,000 NWIA
- 2015-02-27 Sold (MLS) $37,000 NWIA
- 2015-02-09 Listed $45,000 NWIA
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,362 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…