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1418 W 14th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1418 W 14th St · Sioux City, IA 51103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,359 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 174 Days on market
Built 1910 3,080 sqft lot $55/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant pays all utilities.

Key facts

  • 3,080 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 174 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $75,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$158,640) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $75k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.41%
Cash-on-cash
25.42%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$158,640
List price
$75,000
Delta
-52.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1418 W 14th St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,359 (0%) 1mo $68,000 $50 100
510 George St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,429 (+5%) 8mo $40,000 $28 77
1607 W 15th St 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,440 (+6%) 11mo $202,000 $140 67
1403 W 6th St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+11%) 12mo $95,000 $63 66
314 George St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,160 (-15%) 3mo $155,000 $134 57
1221 W 4th St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,473 (+8%) 6mo $164,500 $112 57
613 Myrtle St 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,210 (-11%) 10mo $150,000 $124 54
2125 Villa Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,196 (-12%) 10mo $120,000 $100 47
2317 Center St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,262 (-7%) 8mo $220,000 $174 47
1902 & 1904 W 4th St 0.46mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,532 (+13%) 6mo $184,999 $121 46
411 Judd St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,173 (-14%) 2mo $38,000 $32 39
2401 W 15th St Pl 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,534 (+13%) 11mo $243,100 $158 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$16,210
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
3.42×
Total profit
$50,722
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51103

Home prices YoY
-23.0%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,362/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$445

Break-even live

Break-even rent $681
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $487 -5% $466 +0% $445 +5% $424 +10% $402
Rent -10% $347 -5% $396 +0% $445 +5% $494 +10% $543
Rate -1.0pp $483 -0.5pp $464 base $445 +0.5pp $425 +1.0pp $406

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2309 W 19th St Sioux City, IA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.72mi
705 Douglas St Sioux City, IA 2.0 2.0 1252 $1,775 $1.42 44d 5 1.14mi
610 13th St Sioux City, IA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1329 $1,247 $0.94 44d 3 1.24mi
505 6th St Sioux City, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0 830 $2,100 $2.53 44d 5 1.29mi
821 Jackson St Apt 105 Sioux City, IA 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,010 $1.00 44d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Tenant pays all utilities.

  2. 2026-04-24
    price $75,000 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Tenant pays all utilities.

  3. 2026-03-24
    status Active 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Tenant pays all utilities.

  4. 2026-03-10
    status Pending 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Tenant pays all utilities.

  5. 2025-10-23
    listed $120,000 Active 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Tenant pays all utilities.

  6. 2015-02-27
    soldstatus $37,000 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    NEW FURNACE, UPDATED ELECTRIC, NEW PLUMBING, THROUGH OUT.

  7. 2015-02-09
    listed $45,000 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    NEW FURNACE, UPDATED ELECTRIC, NEW PLUMBING, THROUGH OUT.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,362 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,362 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,930
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,362
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,194
− Management
−$1,194
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,061
After-tax cash flow
$4,277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sioux City Community School District
NCES district ID
1926400
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$44,967
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2371
State rank
#264 of 289 in IA

Livability — Sioux City

Score
78/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#2544

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sioux City, IA
City population
51,789
Population (ZIP)
17,145

Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
103,226 people
By 2030
103,060 · -0.2%
By 2040
102,533 · -0.7%
By 2050
102,788 · -0.4%
By 2075
107,227 · +3.9%
By 2100
113,980 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 4% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 23% Vietnamese 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.41%
Current HPI
262.3809
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NWIA
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $75,000 NWIA
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted NWIA
  • 2026-03-10 Pending NWIA
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $120,000 NWIA
  • 2015-02-27 Sold (MLS) $37,000 NWIA
  • 2015-02-09 Listed $45,000 NWIA

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,362 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…