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3530 Wolf Creek Rd
C+ Composite 62.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

3530 Wolf Creek Rd · Sterrett, AL 35128
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1984 2.20 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Full Brick, 3 bed 1 bath home sitting on 2.2 acres with a large workshop on the property. Home will need some TLC.

Key facts

  • Full brick
  • 2.2 acres
  • Large workshop

Tags

FULL BRICKLARGE WORKSHOP2.2 ACRES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 2.2 acres; Not in a flood plain
  • Financial info: Has down payment assistance

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; One carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: 4-sided brick construction; Basement foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
  • Construction: 4-sided brick exterior; Basement foundation; Concrete block basement construction
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Workshop; No pool, patio, garden/patio, or waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (tub/shower combo) on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Tri-level: No; Split level: No; Split foyer: No; Ceilings: Other (see remarks); Has laundry; Full unfinished basement with concrete block construction; Attic: Yes (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#475 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pell City (town): math 17% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #67 of 129 in AL (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eden Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 394 students, 68% FRL); Pell City High School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #181 of 305 statewide, top 60%, 1,171 students, 55% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
14.00%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,384
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$42,809
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35128

Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,631 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $478/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,053
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $536 -5% $497 +0% $457 +5% $417 +10% $378
Rent -10% $328 -5% $393 +0% $457 +5% $522 +10% $586
Rate -1.0pp $528 -0.5pp $493 base $457 +0.5pp $421 +1.0pp $384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-12
    historical Contingent
  17. 2026-03-03
    listed $139,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$478 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$574 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$96/yr (+$8/mo · 20.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,577
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$478
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,566
− Management
−$1,566
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$807
After-tax cash flow
$4,678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pell City
NCES district ID
0102650
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,051
Composite
26.04/100
National rank
#7303
State rank
#67 of 129 in AL

Livability — Sterrett

Score
53/100
State rank
#475
US rank
#24309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 54,404 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
10,546
Household income
$83,990
Rent vs Own
17.2% rent · 82.8% own
Severe rent burden
120.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,158 people
By 2030
97,008 · +3.0%
By 2040
101,615 · +7.9%
By 2050
104,537 · +11.0%
By 2075
109,350 · +16.1%
By 2100
106,785 · +13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.41%
Current HPI
175.603
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $478 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…