3530 Wolf Creek Rd · Sterrett, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Full Brick, 3 bed 1 bath home sitting on 2.2 acres with a large workshop on the property. Home will need some TLC.
Key facts
- Full brick
- 2.2 acres
- Large workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 2.2 acres; Not in a flood plain
- Financial info: Has down payment assistance
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: 4-sided brick construction; Basement foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
- Construction: 4-sided brick exterior; Basement foundation; Concrete block basement construction
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Workshop; No pool, patio, garden/patio, or waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (tub/shower combo) on main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Tri-level: No; Split level: No; Split foyer: No; Ceilings: Other (see remarks); Has laundry; Full unfinished basement with concrete block construction; Attic: Yes (other)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#475 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pell City (town): math 17% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #67 of 129 in AL (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eden Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 394 students, 68% FRL); Pell City High School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #181 of 305 statewide, top 60%, 1,171 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.00%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,384
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $42,809
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35128
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,631 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $536 | -5% $497 | +0% $457 | +5% $417 | +10% $378 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $328 | -5% $393 | +0% $457 | +5% $522 | +10% $586 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $528 | -0.5pp $493 | base $457 | +0.5pp $421 | +1.0pp $384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-03-12historical Contingent
-
2026-03-03$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 20.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,566
- − Management
- −$1,566
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $3,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$807
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pell City
- NCES district ID
- 0102650
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,051
- Composite
- 26.04/100
- National rank
- #7303
- State rank
- #67 of 129 in AL
Livability — Sterrett
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #475
- US rank
- #24309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 54,404 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,546
- Household income
- $83,990
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 120.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,158 people
- By 2030
- 97,008 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 101,615 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 104,537 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 109,350 · +16.1%
- By 2100
- 106,785 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.41%
- Current HPI
- 175.603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-12 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…