1950 Stargazer Ln · Angleton, TX 77515

$269,990

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,005 sqft · SingleFamily · 78 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 7,012 sqft lot Garage $69/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +7.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the Upton floor plan, a beautifully designed one-story new construction home offering 2,024 total sq. ft. on a premium corner lot. This home features 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, creating a functional layout ideal for everyday living and entertaining. An inviting 8 foot front door opens to 9 foot ceilings and an open living area filled with natural light. The kitchen is enhanced by a big pantry and flows seamlessly into the main living spaces. Enjoy the durability and curb appeal of 4 sided brick and unwind outdoors on the covered patio, perfect for relaxing evenings and gatherings. The community offers a splash pad, playground, covered pavilion, activity lawn, two community lakes, gas and fiber, solar powered street lights, and a walking trail to Angleton High School, all within Angleton ISD. Schedule a tour today!

Key facts

• Premium corner lot
• Big pantry
• 9 foot ceilings

Tags

• PREMIUM CORNER LOT
• 8 FOOT FRONT DOOR
• 9 FOOT CEILINGS
• BIG PANTRY
• 4 SIDED BRICK
• COVERED PATIO

🏗️ New construction. The $269,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $311,490.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-444 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (8.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (13.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $233k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Rancho Isabella El (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 418 students, 68% FRL); Angleton J H School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,561 students, 68% FRL); Angleton H S (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,066 students, 67% FRL).
• Market conditions: 1104 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $233,377 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.75% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.84%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.20%
• DSCR: 0.77
• GRM: 11.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $311,490
• List price: $269,990
• Delta: 5.94%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3603 Atlas Point Ct	0.10mi	4/2.5	2,015 (+0%)	2mo	$305,990	$152	91
1951 Starlight St	0.02mi	4/2.0	2,081 (+4%)	0mo	$263,990	$127	88
1906 Stargazer Ln	0.11mi	4/2.0	1,922 (-4%)	1mo	$230,340	$120	83
3618 Atlas Point Ln	0.14mi	4/2.0	1,924 (-4%)	0mo	$249,990	$130	82
1947 Starlight St	0.03mi	4/3.0	2,229 (+11%)	1mo	$270,990	$122	79
1935 Starlight St	0.05mi	4/3.0	2,229 (+11%)	0mo	$273,990	$123	79
1935 Stargazer Ln	0.05mi	4/3.0	2,229 (+11%)	2mo	$252,990	$113	78
3511 Atlas Point Ln	0.05mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,880 (-6%)	1mo	$252,890	$135	77
1914 Stargazer Ln	0.09mi	4/3.0	2,229 (+11%)	1mo	$260,990	$117	76
2138 Mosaic Valley Ct	0.16mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,908 (-5%)	2mo	$258,540	$136	74
2127 Mosaic Valley Ct	0.14mi	4/2.0	1,776 (-11%)	0mo	$239,990	$135	70
3622 Atlas Point Ln	0.15mi	4/2.0	1,776 (-11%)	2mo	$289,991	$163	68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -26.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.10×
• Total profit: $-78,661
• Equity at exit: $46,444

10-year hold

• IRR: -24.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.20×
• Total profit: $-104,463
• Equity at exit: $26,932

Cash invested: $87,217 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 140 active · 40 under contract
• Months of supply: 14.5 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $285,445 ($147/sqft)
• Median days on market: 89 d
• This list price: 36% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +5.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77515

• Home prices YoY: -5.1%
• Active inventory: 1104
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,334 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,633
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$389 /mo · $4,672/yr
• Insurance: −$130
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$69
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$490
• Net cashflow: $-444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,896

Max offer price $247,182

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-229	-5% $-337	+0% $-444	+5% $-552	+10% $-660
Rent	-10% $-629	-5% $-537	+0% $-444	+5% $-352	+10% $-260
Rate	-1.0pp $-288	-0.5pp $-365	base $-444	+0.5pp $-525	+1.0pp $-607

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $77,872
• Closing costs: $9,345
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2126 Mosaic Valley Ct Angleton, TX	4.0	2.0	1984	$2,300	$1.16	35d	1	0.15mi
3602 Atlas Point Ln Angleton, TX	4.0	3.0	1959	$2,500	$1.28	25d	1	0.15mi
3606 Atlas Point Ln Angleton, TX	3.0	2.0	1876	$2,175	$1.16	14d	1	0.15mi
3606 Atlas Point Ln Angleton, TX	3.0	2.0	1876	$2,175	$1.16	23d	1	0.15mi
4 Stadium Dr Angleton, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1065	$1,810	$1.70	0d	19	1.01mi
513 Robin St Angleton, TX	4.0	2.0	1900	$2,495	$1.31	71d	1	1.15mi
3 Dallas Ct #1 Angleton, TX	3.0	3.0	1550	$1,450	$0.94	93d	1	1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: First right of refusal and lender approval disclosuresMunicipal Utility District disclosure
• HOA & community: Community association (WGCA) with annual fee of $825Curbs and gutters

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage2 garage spaces
• Security: Prewired for securityOwned security systemSmoke detectors
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: Residential propertyNew construction by Coventry HomesFaces northBuilt in 2026Slab foundation
• Construction: Brick exteriorComposition roof
• Exterior features: Covered patioPatioDeckSubdivision settingConcrete road access

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric ovenGas cooktopGarbage disposalMicrowaveENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)Central electric air conditioningRadiant attic barrierInsulation and energy-efficient HVACEnergy-efficient thermostat
• Interior features: Breakfast barDouble vanityHigh ceilingsKitchen islandKitchen open to family roomPantrySeparate showerTub with showerCeiling fansProgrammable thermostatLow emissivity windowsVentilation for improved indoor air quality
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup

HOA detail $69/mo · $828/yr

• Likely covers: gas

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $269,990 Active 78 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   price $269,990 Active 76 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $299,990 Active 76 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $299,990 Active 75 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $299,990 Active 74 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $299,990 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-07-31
   days on market $299,990 Active 70 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $299,990 Active 69 DOM
9. 2026-07-30
   days on market $299,990 Active 68 DOM
10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $299,990 Active 67 DOM
11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $299,990 Active 65 DOM
12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $299,990 Active 63 DOM
13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $299,990 Active 62 DOM
14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $299,990 Active 61 DOM
15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $299,990 Active 60 DOM
16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $299,990 Active 59 DOM
17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $299,990 Active 57 DOM
18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $299,990 Active 56 DOM
19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $299,990 Active 55 DOM
20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $299,990 Active 54 DOM
21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $299,990 Active 53 DOM
22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $299,990 Active 52 DOM
23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $299,990 Active 51 DOM
24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $299,990 Active 50 DOM
25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $299,990 Active 49 DOM
26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $299,990 Active 48 DOM
27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $299,990 Active 46 DOM
28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $299,990 Active 45 DOM
29. 2026-07-06
    days on market $299,990 Active 44 DOM
30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $299,990 Active 43 DOM
31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $299,990 Active 42 DOM
32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $299,990 Active 41 DOM
33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $299,990 Active 40 DOM
34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $299,990 Active 39 DOM
35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $299,990 Active 38 DOM
36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $299,990 Active 37 DOM
37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $299,990 Active 36 DOM
38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $299,990 Active 35 DOM
39. 2026-06-24
    days on market $299,990 Active 33 DOM
40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $299,990 Active 31 DOM
41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,990 Active 30 DOM
42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,990 Active 27 DOM
43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,990 Active 26 DOM
44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,990 Active 25 DOM
45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,990 Active 24 DOM
46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,990 Active 22 DOM
47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,990 Active 18 DOM
48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,990 Active 17 DOM
49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,990 Active 16 DOM
50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,990 Active 13 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,005
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,448
• − Property taxes: −$4,672
• − Insurance: −$2,355
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,240
• − Management: −$2,240
• − HOA: −$828
• − Depreciation: −$9,062
• Taxable loss: −$10,841
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,602
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 37/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Rancho Isabella El F TX #1,155/4,322 Nat'l #16,061/41,679 Middle Angleton J H School F TX #911/1,662 Nat'l #7,937/14,009 High Angleton H S F TX #1,011/1,632 Nat'l #10,191/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Angleton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808310
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $55,670
• Composite: 35.01/100
• National rank: #5046
• State rank: #375 of 826 in TX

B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Angleton

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #171
• US rank: #4520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brazoria County · 420,414 people
• City population: 34,088
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 34,088
• Household income: $88,787
• Rent vs Own: 25.4% rent · 74.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 6% of renters

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Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 420,414 people
• By 2030: 457,585 · +8.8%
• By 2040: 532,232 · +26.6%
• By 2050: 605,399 · +44.0%
• By 2075: 779,358 · +85.4%
• By 2100: 883,759 · +110.2%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 28%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

• 2024 margin: R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -15.59%
• Current HPI: 288.7286
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: First right of refusal and lender approval disclosuresMunicipal Utility District disclosure
• HOA & community: Community association (WGCA) with annual fee of $825Curbs and gutters

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage2 garage spaces
• Security: Prewired for securityOwned security systemSmoke detectors
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: Residential propertyNew construction by Coventry HomesFaces northBuilt in 2026Slab foundation
• Construction: Brick exteriorComposition roof
• Exterior features: Covered patioPatioDeckSubdivision settingConcrete road access

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric ovenGas cooktopGarbage disposalMicrowaveENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)Central electric air conditioningRadiant attic barrierInsulation and energy-efficient HVACEnergy-efficient thermostat
• Interior features: Breakfast barDouble vanityHigh ceilingsKitchen islandKitchen open to family roomPantrySeparate showerTub with showerCeiling fansProgrammable thermostatLow emissivity windowsVentilation for improved indoor air quality
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup

Price history

-16.9% since first listed

16 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-05-22 Listed $299,990 HARMLS
• 2026-05-13 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $299,990 HARMLS
• 2026-04-29 Price Changed $329,990 HARMLS
• 2026-04-08 Price Changed $329,990 Zillow
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $334,990 Zillow
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $334,990 HARMLS
• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $344,990 Zillow
• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $344,990 HARMLS
• 2026-02-10 Price Changed $349,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-07 Price Changed $354,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-20 Price Changed $349,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-19 Price Changed $349,990 HARMLS
• 2025-12-29 Listed $360,802 HARMLS
• 2025-12-22 Listed $360,802 Zillow