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126 Hogsett St
B Composite 70.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.9/10.0

$30,000

126 Hogsett St · Oliver, PA 15401
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 673 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1900 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a detached 1-car garage and stone driveway. Situated on a manageable lot, this property offers solid bones and is ready for your vision and updates. The home includes a functional layout with an eat-in kitchen, first-floor living, and a full basement providing additional storage or workspace. A covered front porch and carport area add to the footprint, while the detached garage offers convenient off-street parking. While the property does require cosmetic updates and repairs, major components include a roof that was replaced approximately 15 years ago. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Convenient l

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Stone driveway
  • First-floor living

Tags

DETACHED GARAGESTONE DRIVEWAYEAT-IN KITCHENFIRST-FLOOR LIVINGFULL BASEMENTCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#628 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Laurel Highlands SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #372 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.43%
Cap rate
28.65%
Cash-on-cash
79.83%
DSCR
4.55
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.0%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$30,774
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
83.5%
Equity multiple
9.67×
Total profit
$72,805
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15401

Home prices YoY
-3.8%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,028 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $998/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $320
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $576 -5% $567 +0% $559 +5% $550 +10% $542
Rent -10% $478 -5% $518 +0% $559 +5% $599 +10% $640
Rate -1.0pp $574 -0.5pp $566 base $559 +0.5pp $551 +1.0pp $543

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 E Main St Uniontown, PA 1.0 1.0 525 $1,371 $2.61 45d 1 0.69mi
25 W Peter St Uniontown, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,592 $2.65 45d 1 0.81mi
48 W Main St Unit 1018 Uniontown, PA 1.0 1.0 375 $775 $2.07 45d 1 0.84mi
48 W Main St Unit 912 Uniontown, PA 1.0 1.0 503 $725 $1.44 45d 1 0.85mi
359 Connellsville St Unit A Uniontown, PA 1.0 1.0 500 $650 $1.30 45d 1 0.87mi
33 W Fayette St Unit 6 Uniontown, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 45d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$998 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$998 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,332
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$998
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$987
− Management
−$987
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$6,657
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,598
After-tax cash flow
$5,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurel Highlands SD
NCES district ID
4213320
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,099
Composite
32.74/100
National rank
#5637
State rank
#372 of 539 in PA

Livability — Oliver

Score
72/100
State rank
#628
US rank
#6056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oliver, PA
Population (ZIP)
30,230

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.29%
Current HPI
210.1257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $30,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $998 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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