CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1290 County Highway 18
B+ Composite 75.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

1290 County Highway 18 · Westervelt, IL 62565
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,168 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 247 Days on market
Built 1905 7,000 sqft lot $51/sqft · 23% below area Est $77k · 23% under ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-Bedroom Home with 2 Car Detached Garage located on the outskirts of town in the Village of Henton. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic charm with great space. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room, a dedicated dining room perfect for family meals or entertaining, and a generously sized kitchen ready for your personal touch. Both bedrooms offer plenty of room and ample closet space. The bathroom has been updated in recent years, adding a modern touch to this well cared for older home. Outside, a detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage space. There is also a small storage shed for additional storage. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a quiet place to call home, this property offers comfort, character, and potential — all in a serene, small-town setting. Estimated Property Taxes with an owner occupied exemption would be $323 at the current assessment.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Updated bathroom
  • Detached garage

Tags

DETACHED GARAGESTORAGE SHEDSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMDEDICATED DINING ROOMGENEROUSLY SIZED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,357 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Shelbyville CUSD 4 (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #225 of 620 in IL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.71%
Cash-on-cash
26.47%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,488
List price
$59,900
Delta
-22.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1291 E 1695 North Rd 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,184 (+1%) 8mo $34,000 $29 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$13,876
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$42,490
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62565

Home prices YoY
-11.6%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 247 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 246 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 245 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 244 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 242 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 241 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 238 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 237 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 236 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 232 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 231 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 229 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 228 DOM
  15. 2026-03-05
    price $59,900 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home with 2 Car Detached Garage located on the outskirts of town in the Village of Henton. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic charm with great space. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room, a dedicated dining room perfect for family meals or entertaining, and a generously sized kitchen ready for your personal touch. Both bedrooms offer plenty of room and ample closet space. The bathroom has been updated in recent years, adding a modern touch to this well cared for older home. Outside, a detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage space. There is also a small storage shed for additional storage. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a quiet place to call home, this property offers comfort, character, and potential — all in a serene, small-town setting. Estimated Property Taxes with an owner occupied exemption would be $323 at the current assessment.

  16. 2026-02-19
    price $72,500 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home with 2 Car Detached Garage located on the outskirts of town in the Village of Henton. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic charm with great space. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room, a dedicated dining room perfect for family meals or entertaining, and a generously sized kitchen ready for your personal touch. Both bedrooms offer plenty of room and ample closet space. The bathroom has been updated in recent years, adding a modern touch to this well cared for older home. Outside, a detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage space. There is also a small storage shed for additional storage. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a quiet place to call home, this property offers comfort, character, and potential — all in a serene, small-town setting. Estimated Property Taxes with an owner occupied exemption would be $323 at the current assessment.

  17. 2025-10-14
    listed $79,900 Active 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home with 2 Car Detached Garage located on the outskirts of town in the Village of Henton. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic charm with great space. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room, a dedicated dining room perfect for family meals or entertaining, and a generously sized kitchen ready for your personal touch. Both bedrooms offer plenty of room and ample closet space. The bathroom has been updated in recent years, adding a modern touch to this well cared for older home. Outside, a detached two-car garage provides ample parking and storage space. There is also a small storage shed for additional storage. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a quiet place to call home, this property offers comfort, character, and potential — all in a serene, small-town setting. Estimated Property Taxes with an owner occupied exemption would be $323 at the current assessment.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,909
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$953
− Management
−$953
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$890
After-tax cash flow
$3,551/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelbyville CUSD 4
NCES district ID
1736090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$44,461
Composite
28.1/100
National rank
#6827
State rank
#225 of 620 in IL

Livability — Westervelt

Score
44/100
State rank
#1357
US rank
#26835

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,422

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,512 people
By 2030
19,675 · -4.1%
By 2040
17,851 · -13.0%
By 2050
15,973 · -22.1%
By 2075
11,799 · -42.5%
By 2100
8,030 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-40.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.35%
Current HPI
178.3002
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $59,900 CIBR
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $72,500 CIBR
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $79,900 CIBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…