26782 Stardust Dr · Bonita Springs, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special: High-Potential Property with NO HOA in Bonita Springs Attention Investors & Renovators! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home in the heart of Bonita Springs is the project you’ve been waiting for—whether you’re aiming for a profitable flip or a strong rental addition to your portfolio. Solid Foundation for Success • Durable metal roof already in place • Interior requires full renovation, offering a blank canvas • Generous additional living space expands the layout and possibilities Flexible Square Footage The oversized addition can be transformed into: • A spacious 3rd bedroom • An executive home
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Private lot
- No hoa
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: MH-1; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 95 (total area 1,888); Lot size about 0.1310 acres; Canal width: none; 1 unit in building / complex; Single-floor building; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: Community type: Non-gated; HOA maintenance includes cable
Exterior
- Parking: Common parking; Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property; Manufactured building design; Single-story; Rear faces north; Located in LEITNER CREEK MANOR development
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Built in 1975
- Exterior features: Built-up or flat roof; Windows — see remarks; Regular lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Split bedroom layout
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with combined tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Wall unit heating; Central electric cooling; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: See remarks for specific interior details; Unfurnished; Other floor plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $773 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 1.7% in Bonita Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#428 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, health & safety D.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 835 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $162k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.63%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $14,649
- Equity at exit
- $24,229
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $44,355
- Equity at exit
- $14,050
Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34135
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 835
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,911 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$852
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$611
- Net cashflow
- $773
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $865 | -5% $819 | +0% $773 | +5% $727 | +10% $681 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $543 | -5% $658 | +0% $773 | +5% $888 | +10% $1,003 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $855 | -0.5pp $814 | base $773 | +0.5pp $731 | +1.0pp $688 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,625
- Closing costs
- $4,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26978 Wildwood Pines Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,850 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 11495 Forest Mere Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,400 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 26760 Silverado East Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1278 | $2,700 | $2.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 26560 Southern Pines Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10839 Sea Coral Ct Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2167 | $6,500 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 26197 Palace Ln #102 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $4,200 | $3.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11305 Monte Carlo Blvd #202 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $5,500 | $3.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 11305 Monte Carlo Blvd #202 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,980 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 27376 Imperial Oaks Cir Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $3,500 | $2.04 | 11d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 26141 Palace Ln #201 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 26414 Doverstone St Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2162 | $3,000 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 27302 Dortch Ave Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,100 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 27310 Dortch Ave Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,850 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 26728 Little John Ct #7 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,895 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 12243 Londonderry Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,165 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 26747 Little John Ct #10 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,895 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 26741 Little John Ct #16 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,895 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 12303 Londonderry Ln Unit 12303 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,165 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12349 Londonderry Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,295 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 12341 Notting Hill Ln #25 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,150 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 26407 Lucky Stone Rd #201 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2178 | $3,200 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 12361 Notting Hill Ln #44 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,195 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10522 Yorkstone Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2032 | $6,000 | $2.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 28000 Crest Preserve Cir Bonita Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 897 | $2,519 | $2.81 | 3d | 23 | 1.14mi |
| 27044 Williams Rd Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $6,900 | $4.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10328 Windley Key Ter Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 26175 Bonita Fairways Blvd Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $3,000 | $2.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 27180 Williams Rd Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2044 | $10,000 | $4.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 26208 Bonita Fairways Blvd Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $3,400 | $1.75 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 26240 Bonita Fairways Blvd Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $2,999 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 26239 Bonita Fairways Cir Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $2,500 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $162,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $162,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $162,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $162,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $162,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $162,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,500 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,500 Active 163 DOM
-
2025-12-19$162,500 Active
-
2004-07-30soldstatus $60,000
-
2004-04-09soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,103
- − Property taxes
- −$2,162
- − Insurance
- −$5,931
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,794
- − Management
- −$2,794
- − Depreciation
- −$4,727
- Taxable income
- $7,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,780
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bonita Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #428
- US rank
- #7576
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonita Springs, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 64,727
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,252
- Household income
- $91,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 976.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Native American 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.86%
- Current HPI
- 243.4153
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+170.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-19 Listed $162,500 BEARMLS
- 2004-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,162 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…