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1108 Lockwood Dr
B Composite 70.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,000

1108 Lockwood Dr · South Lockport, NY 14094
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 62 Days on market
Built 1994 1,108 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You’ll want to see this nice 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in The Woodlands. Vinyl plank flooring throughout the home makes a great way of living. The kitchen has lots of cabinets that you will just love. All kitchen appliances are included. The primary bath gives you an oversized shower and the primary bedroom provides a walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing on the large deck to the side of the home, a nice yard, and a shed for your storage. Furnace 2012, Hot Water Tank 2016, and tear off roof, 2008.

Key facts

  • 1,108 sq ft lot
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 62 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease: $885

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Single-story single-wide mobile home; Commadore model; Resale condition; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; City street frontage; Lot roughly 50 x 100, rectangular residential lot near public transit
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Single wide mobile home
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Shed(s)/storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level (both on the first floor)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Accessible bedroom; Low threshold shower; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level with accessible utilities

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.1% vs local median 1.5% in South Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#633 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Lockport City School District (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #452 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $249 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $33,840 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.28%
Cap rate
29.10%
Cash-on-cash
81.46%
DSCR
4.62
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
82.5%
Equity multiple
4.83×
Total profit
$38,567
Equity at exit
$5,368
10-year hold
IRR
86.0%
Equity multiple
10.24×
Total profit
$93,109
Equity at exit
$3,113

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14094

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
357
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,181 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax est. 1.5%
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$684

Break-even live

Break-even rent $315
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $709 -5% $697 +0% $684 +5% $672 +10% $659
Rent -10% $591 -5% $638 +0% $684 +5% $731 +10% $778
Rate -1.0pp $702 -0.5pp $693 base $684 +0.5pp $675 +1.0pp $665

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $36,000 Pending 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $36,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $36,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $36,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $36,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $36,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-05-01
    price $38,000
  8. 2026-04-04
    listed $39,000 Active
  9. 2023-05-31
    status Pending Sale 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    You’ll want to see this nice 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in The Woodlands. Vinyl plank flooring throughout the home makes a great way of living. The kitchen has lots of cabinets that you will just love. All kitchen appliances are included. The primary bath gives you an oversized shower and the primary bedroom provides a walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing on the large deck to the side of the home, a nice yard, and a shed for your storage. Furnace 2012, Hot Water Tank 2016, and tear off roof, 2008.

  10. 2023-05-31
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    You’ll want to see this nice 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in The Woodlands. Vinyl plank flooring throughout the home makes a great way of living. The kitchen has lots of cabinets that you will just love. All kitchen appliances are included. The primary bath gives you an oversized shower and the primary bedroom provides a walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing on the large deck to the side of the home, a nice yard, and a shed for your storage. Furnace 2012, Hot Water Tank 2016, and tear off roof, 2008.

  11. 2023-05-05
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    You’ll want to see this nice 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in The Woodlands. Vinyl plank flooring throughout the home makes a great way of living. The kitchen has lots of cabinets that you will just love. All kitchen appliances are included. The primary bath gives you an oversized shower and the primary bedroom provides a walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing on the large deck to the side of the home, a nice yard, and a shed for your storage. Furnace 2012, Hot Water Tank 2016, and tear off roof, 2008.

  12. 2023-05-03
    listed $35,000 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    You’ll want to see this nice 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in The Woodlands. Vinyl plank flooring throughout the home makes a great way of living. The kitchen has lots of cabinets that you will just love. All kitchen appliances are included. The primary bath gives you an oversized shower and the primary bedroom provides a walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing on the large deck to the side of the home, a nice yard, and a shed for your storage. Furnace 2012, Hot Water Tank 2016, and tear off roof, 2008.

  13. 2019-11-19
    soldstatus $29,900 Closed Sale or Rented 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Turn key and ENJOY!!! This impeccably maintained home is gorgeous inside and out!!! Relax on your over sized deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped yard. Let's step inside where it just keeps getting better. Newer vinyl plank flooring throughout makes housekeeping so easy. Cozy living room with warm colors immediately make you feel at home. Some furnishings are available for sale. Kitchen has tons of cupboards and work spaces. All appliances are included. Master suite has newer walk in shower stall and large closet. One more bedroom, full bath and laundry area round out this beauty. Furnace '12. HWT '16. Roof Tear off '08. Too many updates to list! Come see for yourself! Commadore CS26955A.

  14. 2019-11-07
    status Pending Sale 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Turn key and ENJOY!!! This impeccably maintained home is gorgeous inside and out!!! Relax on your over sized deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped yard. Let's step inside where it just keeps getting better. Newer vinyl plank flooring throughout makes housekeeping so easy. Cozy living room with warm colors immediately make you feel at home. Some furnishings are available for sale. Kitchen has tons of cupboards and work spaces. All appliances are included. Master suite has newer walk in shower stall and large closet. One more bedroom, full bath and laundry area round out this beauty. Furnace '12. HWT '16. Roof Tear off '08. Too many updates to list! Come see for yourself! Commadore CS26955A.

  15. 2019-10-02
    listed $29,900 Active 704-char remark
    Show marketing remark (704 chars)

    Turn key and ENJOY!!! This impeccably maintained home is gorgeous inside and out!!! Relax on your over sized deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped yard. Let's step inside where it just keeps getting better. Newer vinyl plank flooring throughout makes housekeeping so easy. Cozy living room with warm colors immediately make you feel at home. Some furnishings are available for sale. Kitchen has tons of cupboards and work spaces. All appliances are included. Master suite has newer walk in shower stall and large closet. One more bedroom, full bath and laundry area round out this beauty. Furnace '12. HWT '16. Roof Tear off '08. Too many updates to list! Come see for yourself! Commadore CS26955A.

  16. 2015-10-06
    soldstatus $19,900 Closed Sale or Rented
  17. 2015-09-28
    status Pending Sale
  18. 2015-09-02
    listed $19,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,173
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,134
− Management
−$1,134
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$8,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,949
After-tax cash flow
$6,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lockport City School District
NCES district ID
3617670
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$43,793
Composite
39.28/100
National rank
#3997
State rank
#452 of 590 in NY

Livability — South Lockport

Score
66/100
State rank
#633
US rank
#11642

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Lockport, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
50,153
Household income
$75,427
Rent vs Own
28.1% rent · 71.9% own
Severe rent burden
1112.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -262.57%
Current HPI
303.6109
Rent YoY
▲ 3.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $38,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $39,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-31 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-31 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-05 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-03 Listed $35,000 WNYREIS
  • 2019-11-19 Sold (MLS) $29,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-11-07 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-10-02 Listed $29,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-10-06 Sold (MLS) $19,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-09-28 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2015-09-02 Listed $19,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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