11711 Memorial Dr #203 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.9/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Secluded condo in lovely Hudson Oaks; this unit is on the far west side of the complex, heavily wooded area, next to Sandalwood. Peaceful & quiet, yet just a few steps to the beautiful pool and greenbelt. Living, dining & kitchen are down. Spacious primary suite w/cathedral ceiling is up along w/an extra bonus room that can be used as a study, reading nook, exercise, etc. This "C" plan is a walk-through unit w/a front & back door leading to a decked patio with its own pine tree and 2 reserved parking spaces. Longtime owner had to move to senior living. It's been lovingly maintained; just needs a little TLC. AC new in '22, garbage disp in '24, Pl shutters in LR. Quite livable; you may want to add your personal touches! These walk-through "C" units are rare! HOA covers maintenance of pools & grounds, all exteriors, water, sewer, trash, Xfinity internet, and 24/7 manned entry. Come home to Hudson Oaks (a former boy scout camp grounds) in the heart of Memorial!
Key facts
- Walk-through unit
- Decked patio
- Bonus room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-657 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (53.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $81k (53.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Spring Branch ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #215 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Frostwood El (math 84% / reading 73%, grade A, #48 of 4,322 statewide, top 1%, 798 students, 12% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 81% / reading 70%, grade A, #33 of 1,662 statewide, top 2%, 1,281 students, 12% FRL); Memorial H S (math 73% / reading 85%, grade A-, #50 of 1,632 statewide, top 3%, 2,555 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools average 13% FRL vs 54% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Spring Branch ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -16.08%
- DSCR
- 0.28
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,915
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -17.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.92% appreciation · 4.96% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $21,731
- Equity at exit
- $120,366
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $101,801
- Equity at exit
- $227,825
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77024
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,444 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$337 /mo · $4,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$469
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $-657
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-557 | -5% $-607 | +0% $-657 | +5% $-706 | +10% $-756 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-771 | -5% $-714 | +0% $-657 | +5% $-599 | +10% $-542 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-568 | -0.5pp $-612 | base $-657 | +0.5pp $-702 | +1.0pp $-748 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9449 Briar Forest Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1341 | $735 | $0.55 | 0d | 45 | 0.51mi |
| 2100 Tanglewilde St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 848 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 45d | 5 | 0.62mi |
| 14 S Gessner Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,115 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 14 S Gessner Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,115 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,301 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9550 Ella Lee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $680 | $0.72 | 0d | 28 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,149 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2148 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,150 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 1174 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,405 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 1112 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,251 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,125 | $1.42 | 9d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 324 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,262 | $1.70 | 9d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,109 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 1174 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,292 | $1.74 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2054 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,301 | $1.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2048 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,410 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2054 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,330 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,149 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 S Gessner Rd Unit 2070 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,160 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2222 Westerland Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1355 | $899 | $0.66 | 5d | 6 | 0.80mi |
| 2061 S Gessner Rd Unit 260 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,874 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9545 Ella Lee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $624 | $0.77 | 1d | 44 | 0.86mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,224 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2501 Westerland Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 612 | $1,268 | $2.07 | 1d | 90 | 0.92mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 1187 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,224 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,424 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,440 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 2422 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,270 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 2422 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,274 | $1.29 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Apt 323 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,235 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 2458 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,545 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2401 S Gessner Rd Unit 2438 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,464 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2411 Fondren Rd Unit 2448 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $2,020 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2411 Fondren Rd Unit 1174 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $1,529 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2411 Fondren Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $2,020 | $1.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2200 S Gessner Rd Unit 321 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $753 | $1.06 | 9d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2200 S Gessner Rd Unit 2274 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $802 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2200 S Gessner Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $753 | $1.06 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2200 S Gessner Rd Unit 2257 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,098 | $0.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $469 · $5,628/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashinternetlandscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-01-21$175,000 Active 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
Secluded condo in lovely Hudson Oaks; this unit is on the far west side of the complex, heavily wooded area, next to Sandalwood. Peaceful & quiet, yet just a few steps to the beautiful pool and greenbelt. Living, dining & kitchen are down. Spacious primary suite w/cathedral ceiling is up along w/an extra bonus room that can be used as a study, reading nook, exercise, etc. This "C" plan is a walk-through unit w/a front & back door leading to a decked patio with its own pine tree and 2 reserved parking spaces. Longtime owner had to move to senior living. It's been lovingly maintained; just needs a little TLC. AC new in '22, garbage disp in '24, Pl shutters in LR. Quite livable; you may want to add your personal touches! These walk-through "C" units are rare! HOA covers maintenance of pools & grounds, all exteriors, water, sewer, trash, Xfinity internet, and 24/7 manned entry. Come home to Hudson Oaks (a former boy scout camp grounds) in the heart of Memorial!
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2025-11-29$177,500 Active
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-08-25price $180,000
-
2025-06-07price $185,000
-
2025-03-18$189,000 Active
-
2025-03-17historical
-
1988-09-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,047 · $337/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,047 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,322
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$4,047
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − HOA
- −$5,628
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$10,893
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,614
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,264/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring Branch ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841100
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,311
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3624
- State rank
- #215 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,288
- Household income
- $136,149
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1144.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Asian 14% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.92%
- Current HPI
- 256.8342
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.96%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-7.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-11-29 Listed $177,500 HARMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $180,000 HARMLS
- 2025-06-07 Price Changed $185,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-18 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-17 Coming Soon — HARMLS
- 1988-09-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,047 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…