37 SW 9th St · Oswego, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.
Key facts
- Completely remodeled
- Fully-fenced yard
- Entertaining patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $151k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 8.8% in Oswego — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Leighton Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 288 students, 62% FRL); Oswego Middle School (math 23% / reading 49%, grade F, #469 of 729 statewide, top 65%, 566 students, 53% FRL); Oswego High School (math 87% / reading 79%, grade A, #440 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 1,069 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.30%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 SW 9th St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,480 (0%) | 1mo | $167,000 | $113 | 99 |
| 221 W 7th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,398 (-6%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $50 | 70 |
| 114 W Schuyler St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,482 (+0%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $34 | 68 |
| 27 Hart St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-4%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $161 | 67 |
| 208 W Utica St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-6%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $93 | 63 |
| 9 Varick St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,454 (-2%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $61 | 61 |
| 77 W 7th St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+8%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $141 | 59 |
| 70 W 7th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,420 (-4%) | 6mo | $116,000 | $82 | 58 |
| 124 Ellen St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-4%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 81 Niagara St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,305 (-12%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $92 | 54 |
| 119 W Cayuga St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,289 (-13%) | 1mo | $172,380 | $134 | 52 |
| 62 Third Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,665 (+12%) | 6mo | $247,000 | $148 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.25% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,405
- Equity at exit
- $29,214
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $41,388
- Equity at exit
- $23,232
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13126
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 19.2%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,507 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $141 | +0% $86 | +5% $31 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-33 | -5% $26 | +0% $86 | +5% $145 | +10% $205 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $166 | -0.5pp $127 | base $86 | +0.5pp $44 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 W Mohawk St Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6 Lathrop St Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,725 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 172 W 4th St Unit 1 Oswego, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 172 W 4th St Unit 4 Oswego, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 165 W 3rd St Unit 4 Oswego, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 165 W 3rd St Unit 3 Oswego, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 25 W Mohawk St Unit TH Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,745 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 188 W 2nd St Unit 1 Oswego, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 153 W Seneca St Unit 1 Oswego, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,540 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 164 W Schuyler St Unit A Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,755 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 39 W 6th St Unit 2-A Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 64 E 5th St Unit 1 Oswego, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14 Pond Path Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 320 Thompson Rd Oswego, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-20$159,900 Active
-
2023-05-30soldstatus $119,900 Closed Sale or Rented 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
* Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.
-
2023-04-04status Pending Sale 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
* Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.
-
2023-03-08status Under Contract- Do Not Show 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
* Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.
-
2023-03-03$119,900 Active 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
* Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,447
- − Management
- −$1,447
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,612
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$387
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through minor cosmetic improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more tenants.
- Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more tenants. ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oswego City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622050
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,835
- Composite
- 38.2/100
- National rank
- #4257
- State rank
- #465 of 590 in NY
Livability — Oswego
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #4189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oswego, NY
- County
- Oswego County · 36,495 people
- City population
- 36,495
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,495
- Household income
- $65,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1341.0
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.25%
- Current HPI
- 295.5134
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 19.18%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+33.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $159,900 CNYIS
- 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) $119,900 CNYIS
- 2023-04-04 Pending — CNYIS
- 2023-03-08 Pending — CNYIS
- 2023-03-03 Listed $119,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…