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37 SW 9th St
C Composite 55.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0

$159,900

37 SW 9th St · Oswego, NY 13126
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,480 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1900 Good condition 3,300 sqft lot Est $167k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.

Key facts

  • Completely remodeled
  • Fully-fenced yard
  • Entertaining patio

Tags

COMPLETELY REMODELEDFULLY-FENCED YARDENTERTAINING PATIOWALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 8.8% in Oswego — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Leighton Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 288 students, 62% FRL); Oswego Middle School (math 23% / reading 49%, grade F, #469 of 729 statewide, top 65%, 566 students, 53% FRL); Oswego High School (math 87% / reading 79%, grade A, #440 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 1,069 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,743 (5.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.30%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 SW 9th St 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,480 (0%) 1mo $167,000 $113 99
221 W 7th St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,398 (-6%) 6mo $70,000 $50 70
114 W Schuyler St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,482 (+0%) 3mo $50,000 $34 68
27 Hart St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,428 (-4%) 3mo $230,000 $161 67
208 W Utica St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,392 (-6%) 1mo $129,000 $93 63
9 Varick St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,454 (-2%) 1mo $89,000 $61 61
77 W 7th St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,596 (+8%) 0mo $225,000 $141 59
70 W 7th St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,420 (-4%) 6mo $116,000 $82 58
124 Ellen St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,420 (-4%) 5mo $230,000 $162 54
81 Niagara St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,305 (-12%) 3mo $120,000 $92 54
119 W Cayuga St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,289 (-13%) 1mo $172,380 $134 52
62 Third Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,665 (+12%) 6mo $247,000 $148 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.25% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-7,405
Equity at exit
$29,214
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$41,388
Equity at exit
$23,232

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13126

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Rents YoY
19.2%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,507 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $141 +0% $86 +5% $31 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-33 -5% $26 +0% $86 +5% $145 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $166 -0.5pp $127 base $86 +0.5pp $44 +1.0pp $2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 W Mohawk St Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,700 $1.54 15d 1 0.11mi
6 Lathrop St Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 15d 1 0.26mi
172 W 4th St Unit 1 Oswego, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 15d 1 0.28mi
172 W 4th St Unit 4 Oswego, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 15d 1 0.28mi
165 W 3rd St Unit 4 Oswego, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 15d 1 0.37mi
165 W 3rd St Unit 3 Oswego, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,445 $1.45 45d 1 0.37mi
25 W Mohawk St Unit TH Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,745 $1.52 45d 1 0.38mi
188 W 2nd St Unit 1 Oswego, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 22d 1 0.39mi
153 W Seneca St Unit 1 Oswego, NY 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,540 $1.54 45d 1 0.45mi
164 W Schuyler St Unit A Oswego, NY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,755 $1.25 15d 1 0.53mi
39 W 6th St Unit 2-A Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,725 $1.15 15d 1 0.53mi
64 E 5th St Unit 1 Oswego, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 45d 1 0.90mi
14 Pond Path Oswego, NY 3.0 1.5 1408 $2,300 $1.63 15d 1 1.15mi
320 Thompson Rd Oswego, NY 2.0 2.0 924 $1,250 $1.35 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-20
    listed $159,900 Active
  3. 2023-05-30
    soldstatus $119,900 Closed Sale or Rented 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    * Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.

  4. 2023-04-04
    status Pending Sale 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    * Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.

  5. 2023-03-08
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    * Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.

  6. 2023-03-03
    listed $119,900 Active 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    * Seller has requested that all fairest & best offers be submitted by 8pm Tuesday, March 7, 2023. * Successful investment income property, that can continue that way, or perfect for a single family home (starting June 2023). Currently rented for $1,200/mo. until May 20, 2023. Tenants responsible for all utilities. Owner currently pays taxes only. A new Buyer will be allowed to show prospective tenants (with 24 hr notice) prior to Closing. You will be amazed at the tip top condition of this 3-bed, 2-bath house. Recent updates include, but not limited to: New roof 8 years ago, new windows 5 years ago, new hot water tank and furnace 10 years ago.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,089
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,447
− Management
−$1,447
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$387
After-tax cash flow
$1,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through minor cosmetic improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more tenants.
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and attractive to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more tenants.
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and attractive to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oswego City School District
NCES district ID
3622050
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$45,835
Composite
38.2/100
National rank
#4257
State rank
#465 of 590 in NY

Livability — Oswego

Score
75/100
State rank
#265
US rank
#4189

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oswego, NY
County
Oswego County · 36,495 people
City population
36,495
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
36,495
Household income
$65,346
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
1341.0

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.25%
Current HPI
295.5134
Rent YoY
▲ 19.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $159,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) $119,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-04-04 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-03-08 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-03-03 Listed $119,900 CNYIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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