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3609 Mccrae Xing
D- Composite 37.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$213,999

3609 Mccrae Xing · San Antonio, TX 78264
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,867 sqft · SingleFamily · 118 Days on market
Built 2025 4,791 sqft lot $115/sqft · at area comps Est $221k · at est. $83/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Versatile loft
  • 4,791 sq ft lot

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANLUXURIOUS OWNER'S SUITESPA-INSPIRED BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETVERSATILE LOFT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $214k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-286 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (19.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (24.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 329 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,445 (24.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.74%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,654
List price
$213,999
Delta
-3.02%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3609 Mccrae Xing 0.00mi 4/2.5 1,867 (0%) 1mo $213,999 $115 99
20807 Pinon Grv 0.05mi 4/2.5 1,867 (0%) 5mo $228,999 $123 94
20819 Pinon Grv 0.06mi 4/2.5 1,867 (0%) 6mo $213,999 $115 92
21053 Sumac Grv 0.10mi 4/2.5 1,867 (0%) 5mo $206,999 $111 91
20926 Sumac Grv 0.17mi 4/2.5 1,867 (0%) 2mo $210,999 $113 91
20918 Sumac Grv 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-14%) 1mo $197,999 $124 68
20930 Sumac Grv 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-14%) 1mo $197,999 $124 67
21034 Sumac Grv 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-14%) 4mo $195,999 $122 66
21002 Sumac Grv 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-14%) 3mo $200,999 $126 64
21045 Sumac Grv 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-14%) 7mo $195,999 $122 64
21136 Prairie Rose 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,910 (+2%) 3mo $469,990 $246 63
21120 Prairie Rose 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,121 (+14%) 0mo $509,990 $240 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$18,504
Equity at exit
$107,814
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$78,646
Equity at exit
$175,794

Cash invested: $59,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78264

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,614 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,122
Tax est. 1.5%
$267 /mo · $3,210/yr
Insurance
$89
HOA
$83
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$-286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,977
Max offer price $172,544
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,500
Closing costs
$6,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20823 Pinon Grv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,650 $1.18 43d 1 0.05mi
20414 Deets Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1858 $1,750 $0.94 3d 1 0.39mi
20335 Campbellton Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,450 $1.04 43d 1 0.68mi
20447 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,320 $1.07 23d 1 0.96mi
20622 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1535 $1,550 $1.01 43d 1 0.98mi
2906 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,550 $1.14 43d 1 1.02mi
2807 Ruby Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,400 $1.10 23d 1 1.11mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$83 · $996/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  2. 2026-04-30
    price $213,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  3. 2026-04-28
    price $198,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  4. 2026-04-18
    price $208,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  5. 2026-04-14
    price $207,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  6. 2026-04-10
    price $208,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  7. 2026-04-09
    price $209,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  8. 2026-04-03
    price $213,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  9. 2026-03-14
    price $233,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  10. 2026-03-12
    price $211,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  11. 2026-03-05
    price $212,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  12. 2026-03-04
    price $213,999 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  13. 2026-01-07
    listed $233,999 New 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,373
− Mortgage interest
−$11,987
− Property taxes
−$3,210
− Insurance
−$1,070
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− HOA
−$996
− Depreciation
−$6,225
Taxable loss
−$7,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,732
After-tax cash flow
$-1,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southside ISD
NCES district ID
4840920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,526
Composite
17.68/100
National rank
#9027
State rank
#771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
11,702

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 35% White 17% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Greek 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 51% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.94%
Current HPI
298.8446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending LERA
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $213,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $198,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $208,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $207,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $208,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $209,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $213,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $233,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $211,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $212,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $213,999 LERA
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $233,999 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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