🏷️ Likely Rental
7112 Pan American East NE #161 · Albuquerque, NM
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home. .. to this spotless beauty. Home boast of new granite counter tops, copper sink, new flooring, new painting throughout new tin porch lights and lighting in Living area, new 2''blinds , all new appliances as of 8/25. Landscaped yard with irrigation, new blacked topped driveway and Trex porch/front and sides. Ristras and string lights do not convey. New water heater as of 3/26. Land lease fee $1080 per month. Amenities include Clubhouse, swimming pool, Hot-tub, Fitness center, Billiards & Bingo, Library, Pickleball Court.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $964 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
- Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.95%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,950
- List price
- $94,000
- Delta
- -56.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7112 Pan American Fwy NE #280 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+8%) | 8mo | $56,999 | $37 | 76 |
| 6609 San Francisco Rd NE | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+4%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 6831 Jade Park Ave NE | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,417 (-2%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $148 | 54 |
| 6516 Pino Ave NE | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,237 (-14%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $178 | 40 |
| 6835 Jade Park Ave NE | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (-15%) | 21mo | $229,900 | $187 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $40,203
- Equity at exit
- $14,016
- IRR
- 42.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $91,051
- Equity at exit
- $8,127
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87109
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,042 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $964
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,029 | -5% $996 | +0% $964 | +5% $931 | +10% $899 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $803 | -5% $883 | +0% $964 | +5% $1,045 | +10% $1,125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,011 | -0.5pp $988 | base $964 | +0.5pp $940 | +1.0pp $915 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6401 Santa Monica Ave NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $2,151 | $2.01 | 4d | 26 | 0.35mi |
| 6501 San Antonio Dr NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1075 | $1,875 | $1.74 | 15d | 2 | 0.55mi |
| 7501 Jefferson St NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $2,291 | $2.58 | 3d | 38 | 0.73mi |
| 7000 Louisiana Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,709 | $2.03 | 3d | 25 | 0.79mi |
| 7100 Louisiana Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 763 | $1,790 | $2.35 | 4d | 15 | 0.80mi |
| 7800 Headline Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $2,343 | $2.44 | 4d | 16 | 0.81mi |
| 6401 Academy Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 808 | $1,560 | $1.93 | 4d | 16 | 0.97mi |
| 5741 Osuna Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $1,565 | $2.03 | 4d | 17 | 1.01mi |
| 6500 Martin Ct NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $2,850 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5828 Elmwood Dr NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,790 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7205 Esther Ave NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $4,800 | $2.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5800 Osuna Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $1,555 | $1.90 | 3d | 23 | 1.20mi |
| 8319 Santa Clarita St NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6852 Kelly Ann Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4949 San Pedro Dr NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 4d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 8015 Argyle Ave NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1679 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1412 Stone Canyon Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1572 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5324 San Mateo Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 748 | $1,691 | $2.26 | 4d | 27 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $94,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $98,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $98,000 547-char remark
Show marketing remark (547 chars)
Welcome home. .. to this spotless beauty. Home boast of new granite counter tops, copper sink, new flooring, new painting throughout new tin porch lights and lighting in Living area, new 2''blinds , all new appliances as of 8/25. Landscaped yard with irrigation, new blacked topped driveway and Trex porch/front and sides. Ristras and string lights do not convey. New water heater as of 3/26. Land lease fee $1080 per month. Amenities include Clubhouse, swimming pool, Hot-tub, Fitness center, Billiards & Bingo, Library, Pickleball Court.
-
2026-02-10price $112,000
-
2025-11-05price $119,500
-
2025-08-21price $127,000
-
2025-07-23$104,900 Active 547-char remark
Show marketing remark (547 chars)
Welcome home. .. to this spotless beauty. Home boast of new granite counter tops, copper sink, new flooring, new painting throughout new tin porch lights and lighting in Living area, new 2''blinds , all new appliances as of 8/25. Landscaped yard with irrigation, new blacked topped driveway and Trex porch/front and sides. Ristras and string lights do not convey. New water heater as of 3/26. Land lease fee $1080 per month. Amenities include Clubhouse, swimming pool, Hot-tub, Fitness center, Billiards & Bingo, Library, Pickleball Court.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 3 d/yr ≥95°F today · 7 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,410
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,961
- − Management
- −$1,961
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $10,707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,570
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready and suitable for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans reduce energy costs and improve comfort
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans reduce energy costs and improve comfort ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albuquerque Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500060
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 45.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,151
- Composite
- 53.29/100
- National rank
- #1487
- State rank
- #3 of 29 in NM
Livability — Albuquerque
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #6219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albuquerque, NM
- County
- Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
- City population
- 647,165
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,324
- Household income
- $58,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2187.0
Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 704,528 people
- By 2030
- 711,723 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 714,522 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 709,274 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 680,015 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 619,879 · -12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 17% Native American 9% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.11%
- Current HPI
- 250.5034
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $98,000 Southwest MLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $112,000 Southwest MLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $119,500 Southwest MLS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $127,000 Southwest MLS
- 2025-07-23 Listed $104,900 Southwest MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…