1412 Oak Pl Unit B · Apopka, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Welcome to the highly desirable Errol Oaks community in Apopka, where comfort, convenience, and potential come together in this charming two-story concrete block condo. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 1,200 square feet of living space, this home delivers a functional layout with room to make it your own. The first level features a spacious living area with a dedicated dining space and a galley kitchen complete with ample cabinet storage and appliances, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. A bonus enclosed sunroom extends your living space and leads to a privately fenced courtyard, creating an ideal setting for relaxing evenings o
Key facts
- $602 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Zoning: R-3; Directions: From 429 head East on 441, Left on Errol Parkway, Left on Pine Cove, Right on Oak Pl., second building on left
- Financial info: Total annual fees: $7,224; No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Sentry Management; Monthly condo/association fee: $602; Association fees include structure and grounds maintenance and pool access; Pets allowed: cats and dogs; Association fee due monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Covered and open parking; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Water connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; Two-story building; Faces northwest; Unit on floor 1
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building/Unit number 1412; Built as part of a multi-unit condominium
- Exterior features: Gunite in-ground pool; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (located on first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room/dining room combo; 10 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Apopka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#594 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Apopka Elementary (math 51% / reading 53%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 883 students, 52% FRL); Wolf Lake Middle (math 57% / reading 52%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,194 students, 45% FRL); Apopka High (math 19% / reading 47%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 3,507 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 668 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.93%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-21,292
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-29,406
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32712
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 668
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,068 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $541/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$602
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $222 | -5% $180 | +0% $138 | +5% $95 | +10% $53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-26 | -5% $56 | +0% $138 | +5% $219 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $176 | base $138 | +0.5pp $99 | +1.0pp $59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1428 Oak Pl Unit C Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1231 | $1,770 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1427 Oak Pl Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,798 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1355 Villa Ln Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1073 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1236 N Fairway Dr Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $2,600 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1106 Villa Ln #81 Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,600 | $1.63 | 9d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1118 Villa Ln #87 Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,890 | $1.93 | 26d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1206 N Fairway Dr #1206 Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1470 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1178 N Fairway Dr #1178 Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $1,800 | $1.52 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 930 Loch Carron #1225 Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 930 Loch Carron #1212 Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 831 School St Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,550 | $1.87 | 6d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 818 Hilly Bend Dr Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,895 | $1.42 | 9d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1103 Errol Place Cir Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 852 | $2,099 | $2.46 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $602 · $7,224/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 39 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-12price $150,000
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2026-04-28$165,000 Active
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2004-09-01soldstatus $95,000
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1975-06-01soldstatus $22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $541 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$704/yr (+$59/mo · 130.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$541
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,985
- − Management
- −$1,985
- − HOA
- −$7,224
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$435
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$104
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,755/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Apopka
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #594
- US rank
- #11020
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apopka, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 109,852
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,583
- Household income
- $108,734
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 876.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 19% Black 16% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.12%
- Current HPI
- 283.4441
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.09%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+566.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1975-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $541 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…