1518 S Front St · Crookston, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice four bed two and one half bath property with a two-stall attached garage on the South end of Crookston. This property being sold ''as-is'' To submit offer please go to www. servicelinkauction. com, search for the property and follow instructions.
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-599/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (5.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Crookston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MN, #2,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Crookston Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #151 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.43%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-27,352
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-27,429
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56716
- Home prices YoY
- -22.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$346 /mo · $4,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $-50
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $149,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-07price $149,900
-
2025-10-13$159,900 Active
-
2025-05-28price $169,900
-
2025-03-14price $184,900
-
2025-01-23price $199,900
-
2024-12-23$214,900 Active
-
2014-02-15soldstatus $144,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,150 · $346/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,150 · $346/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$4,150
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$3,054
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$733
- After-tax cash flow
- $134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crookston Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2709720
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,756
- Composite
- 40.68/100
- National rank
- #3671
- State rank
- #151 of 301 in MN
Livability — Crookston
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #2097
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crookston, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,991
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,123 people
- By 2030
- 30,720 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 29,806 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 29,022 · -6.8%
- By 2075
- 27,972 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 26,953 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 28% Lithuanian 8% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.3% · R 66.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.06%
- Current HPI
- 219.5106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+4.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — GFAAR
- 2026-04-06 Contingent — GFAAR
- 2025-12-07 Price Changed $149,900 GFAAR
- 2025-10-13 Listed $159,900 GFAAR
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $169,900 GFAAR
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $184,900 GFAAR
- 2025-01-23 Price Changed $199,900 GFAAR
- 2024-12-23 Listed $214,900 GFAAR
- 2014-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2026): $4,150 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…