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1518 S Front St
D Composite 40.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1518 S Front St · Crookston, MN 56716
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,125 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 198 Days on market
Built 1998 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice four bed two and one half bath property with a two-stall attached garage on the South end of Crookston. This property being sold ''as-is'' To submit offer please go to www. servicelinkauction. com, search for the property and follow instructions.

Key facts

  • 0.46 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1998

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-599/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (5.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Crookston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MN, #2,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Crookston Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #151 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.43%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.5%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-27,352
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-27,429
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56716

Home prices YoY
-22.0%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,449 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$346 /mo · $4,150/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$-50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,512
Max offer price $141,078
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 196 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    status $149,900 Active 194 DOM
  6. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  7. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2025-12-07
    price $149,900
  9. 2025-10-13
    listed $159,900 Active
  10. 2025-05-28
    price $169,900
  11. 2025-03-14
    price $184,900
  12. 2025-01-23
    price $199,900
  13. 2024-12-23
    listed $214,900 Active
  14. 2014-02-15
    soldstatus $144,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,150 · $346/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,150 · $346/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,384
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$4,150
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,391
− Management
−$1,391
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$3,054
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$733
After-tax cash flow
$134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crookston Public School District
NCES district ID
2709720
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,756
Composite
40.68/100
National rank
#3671
State rank
#151 of 301 in MN

Livability — Crookston

Score
79/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#2097

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crookston, MN
Population (ZIP)
8,991

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,123 people
By 2030
30,720 · -1.3%
By 2040
29,806 · -4.2%
By 2050
29,022 · -6.8%
By 2075
27,972 · -10.1%
By 2100
26,953 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 28% Lithuanian 8% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.3% · R 66.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-38.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.06%
Current HPI
219.5106
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GFAAR
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent GFAAR
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $149,900 GFAAR
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $159,900 GFAAR
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $169,900 GFAAR
  • 2025-03-14 Price Changed $184,900 GFAAR
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $199,900 GFAAR
  • 2024-12-23 Listed $214,900 GFAAR
  • 2014-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,150 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…