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44-46 Sherman St Duplex 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 49.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$659,000

44-46 Sherman St · Burlington, VT 05401
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,976 sqft · MultiFamily · 21 Days on market
Built 1899 Fair condition 5,227 sqft lot Est $783k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

INVESTOR'S DREAM: Lakefront Views & Prime Downtown Location! Seize a rare opportunity to own a highly desirable investment property located on a corner lot offering breathtaking, unobstructed views of majestic Lake Champlain and the towering New York Adirondack Mountains. This exceptional multi-unit property boasts a truly centralized location, putting your tenants in the heart of the action. Enjoy the ultimate convenience with public transportation, sidewalks, the scenic recreational path, and vibrant waterfront events literally outside your door. Easy access to the shopping, diverse dining options, the University of Vermont (UVM), and the UVM Medical Center. A healthy rental history

Key facts

  • Centralized location
  • Lakefront views
  • Corner lot

Tags

LAKEFRONT VIEWSPRIME DOWNTOWN LOCATIONCORNER LOTCENTRALIZED LOCATIONPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONSCENIC RECREATIONAL PATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Documents available: certificate of compliance, deed, property disclosure
  • Financial info: Net income reported; Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, snow removal, water/sewer, and other

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with capacity for 1 vehicle; Crushed stone driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers (Burlington Electric); On-site gas (gas underground) supplied by VT Gas; High-speed internet and fiber optic available; Trash service via owner-managed dumpster
  • Home design: Apartment building; Existing structure; Built in 1899
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Slate roof; Built in 1899
  • Exterior features: City lot on a corner location; Lake and water views (Lake Champlain); Landscaped grounds; Level lot with sidewalks and street lights; Near paths, shopping, public transportation, hospital, and schools

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included in units; Electric range present in at least one unit
  • Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units (units on varying levels)
  • Flooring: Combination of flooring types
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Floor furnaces; Hot water heating with radiators; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement with interior access; Unfinished basement with dirt floor, interior stairs, and storage space; Ceiling fan(s); Porch; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer present in at least one unit; Water heaters are natural gas and owned

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $659k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-131/yr) — negative. Per door: $-5/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $657k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $575k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $575k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.1% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in VT, #4,619 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 137 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,751/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 2757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($649k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $575,100 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.07%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$782,688
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21-23 N Winooski Ave 0.40mi 5/5.0 (+1) 2,956 (-1%) 8mo $849,000 $287 64
101-103 North St 0.17mi 4/4.0 2,664 (-10%) 15mo $700,000 $263 62
42 Elmwood Ave 0.30mi 4/3.0 2,695 (-9%) 7mo $749,000 $278 61
167-169 N Union St 0.52mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,851 (-4%) 13mo $470,000 $165 49
44 Isham St 0.63mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,605 (-12%) 2mo $590,000 $226 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-121,399
Equity at exit
$98,259
10-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-160,933
Equity at exit
$56,978

Cash invested: $184,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05401

Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
19.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,751 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,456
Tax est. 1.5%
$824 /mo · $9,885/yr
Insurance
$275
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,208
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,765
Max offer price $657,421
Occupancy floor 95%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,751

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$164,750
Closing costs
$19,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $659,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $659,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $659,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $659,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $659,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $659,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $659,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $659,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $659,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $659,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $659,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $659,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $659,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $659,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $659,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $659,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-29
    listed $659,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$69,012
− Mortgage interest
−$36,914
− Property taxes
−$9,885
− Insurance
−$3,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,521
− Management
−$5,521
− Depreciation
−$19,171
Taxable loss
−$11,295
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,711
After-tax cash flow
$2,580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This multi-family property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and exterior, and improve the landscaping. These updates will significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are dated and need updating.
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures appear outdated and need replacement.
  • Moderate Exterior siding — The siding is weathered and may need repainting or replacement.
  • Moderate Landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Updating the kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Updating the kitchen will improve both the resale and rental value.
  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Painting the siding will improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value.
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will enhance the property's curb appeal and attract more tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · The cabinets are dated and need updating. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · The fixtures appear outdated and need replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Exterior siding · The siding is weathered and may need repainting or replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $12,000–60,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Updating the kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Updating the kitchen will improve both the resale and rental value.
  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Painting the siding will improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value.
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will enhance the property's curb appeal and attract more tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Burlington

Score
74/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#4619

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime F Employment B Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, VT
County
Chittenden County · 110,603 people
City population
31,662
Metro
Burlington-South Burlington, VT
Population (ZIP)
31,662
Household income
$65,657
Rent vs Own
68.6% rent · 31.4% own
Severe rent burden
2757.0

Population outlook (Chittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,769 people
By 2030
174,716 · +2.3%
By 2040
180,337 · +5.6%
By 2050
183,768 · +7.6%
By 2075
194,646 · +14.0%
By 2100
194,933 · +14.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chittenden

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 75.4% · R 21.7% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 44.8pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+54.5 2016: D+46.8 2012: D+41.9 2008: D+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -316.87%
Current HPI
352.2081
Rent YoY
▲ 0.52%
Metro
Burlington-South Burlington, VT
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $659,000 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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