Duplex
🌊 Lakefront
44-46 Sherman St · Burlington, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.0/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$639,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
INVESTOR'S DREAM: Lakefront Views & Prime Downtown Location! Seize a rare opportunity to own a highly desirable investment property located on a corner lot offering breathtaking, unobstructed views of majestic Lake Champlain and the towering New York Adirondack Mountains. This exceptional multi-unit property boasts a truly centralized location, putting your tenants in the heart of the action. Enjoy the ultimate convenience with public transportation, sidewalks, the scenic recreational path, and vibrant waterfront events literally outside your door. Easy access to the shopping, diverse dining options, the University of Vermont (UVM), and the UVM Medical Center.
Key facts
- Centralized location
- Lakefront views
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $639k. Condition is rated fair.
- This rent per unit runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-746/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $423k (33.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $370k (42.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $370k (42.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in VT, #4,619 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, employment B; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
- Zoned schools: Sustainability Academy At Lawrence Barnes (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #129 of 192 statewide, top 70%, 191 students, 65% FRL); Edmunds Middle School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade C, #8 of 26 statewide, top 32%, 365 students, 50% FRL); Burlington High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #8 of 48 statewide, top 15%, 987 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.01%
- DSCR
- 0.55
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,043,183
- List price
- $639,000
- Delta
- -38.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-23 N Winooski Ave | 0.40mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 2,956 (-1%) | 12mo | $849,000 | $287 | 62 |
| 101-103 North St | 0.17mi | 4/4.0 | 2,664 (-10%) | 18mo | $700,000 | $263 | 60 |
| 42 Elmwood Ave | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,695 (-9%) | 10mo | $749,000 | $278 | 58 |
| 167-169 N Union St | 0.52mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,851 (-4%) | 16mo | $470,000 | $165 | 46 |
| 44 Isham St | 0.63mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,605 (-12%) | 5mo | $590,000 | $226 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-198,579
- Equity at exit
- $95,277
- IRR
- -43.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.65×
- Total profit
- $-295,134
- Equity at exit
- $55,249
Cash invested: $178,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $675,000 ($280/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 177 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +25.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 05401
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 28.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,351
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$799 /mo · $9,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$266
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$777
- Net cashflow
- $-1,493
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,700 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,850 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,850 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,700 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,051 | -5% $-1,272 | +0% $-1,493 | +5% $-1,714 | +10% $-1,935 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,785 | -5% $-1,639 | +0% $-1,493 | +5% $-1,347 | +10% $-1,201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,171 | -0.5pp $-1,330 | base $-1,493 | +0.5pp $-1,659 | +1.0pp $-1,827 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $159,750
- Closing costs
- $19,170
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 N Champlain St Unit 3 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,250 | $3.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 52-62 Cedar St Unit 4D Burlington, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,595 | $2.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 79 Pine St Burlington, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $4,150 | $4.77 | 0d | 4 | 0.34mi |
| 176 Elmwood Ave Unit 3 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,600 | $2.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 168 North Ave Apt 2 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $1,575 | $2.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 64 Grant St Unit 3 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $1,500 | $4.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1 Lawson Ln Burlington, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $3,750 | $6.20 | 0d | 11 | 0.43mi |
| 131 Church St Unit 302 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 502 | $2,000 | $3.98 | 139d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 157 S Champlain St Burlington, VT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 685 | $2,995 | $4.37 | 0d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 131 Main St Burlington, VT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 685 | $2,500 | $3.65 | 116d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 51 Loomis St Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,675 | $2.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 214-216 Pine St Unit C Burlington, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 631 | $1,750 | $2.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 288 Main St Burlington, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $2,000 | $2.81 | 139d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 351 North Ave Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $2,500 | $3.88 | 0d | 12 | 0.74mi |
| 70 Cambrian Way Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $2,800 | $3.77 | 0d | 19 | 0.75mi |
| 375 North Ave Apt 310 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $2,100 | $3.68 | 139d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 375 North Ave Unit 403 Burlington, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $1,900 | $3.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Documents available: certificate of compliance, deed, property disclosure
- Financial info
- Net income reportedOperating expenses include insurance, maintenance, snow removal, water/sewer, and other
Exterior
- Parking
- Garage with capacity for 1 vehicleCrushed stone driveway
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectric service with circuit breakers (Burlington Electric)On-site gas (gas underground) supplied by VT GasHigh-speed internet and fiber optic availableTrash service via owner-managed dumpster
- Home design
- Apartment buildingExisting structureBuilt in 1899
- Construction
- Wood frame constructionSlate roofBuilt in 1899
- Exterior features
- City lot on a corner locationLake and water views (Lake Champlain)Landscaped groundsLevel lot with sidewalks and street lightsNear paths, shopping, public transportation, hospital, and schools
Interior
- Kitchen
- Refrigerator included in unitsElectric range present in at least one unit
- Bedrooms
- Four 1-bedroom units (units on varying levels)
- Flooring
- Combination of flooring types
- Bathrooms
- Four full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingFloor furnacesHot water heating with radiatorsNo central cooling
- Interior features
- Basement with interior accessUnfinished basement with dirt floor, interior stairs, and storage spaceCeiling fan(s)PorchSmoke detectors
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer present in at least one unitWater heaters are natural gas and owned
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $639,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $639,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $639,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $639,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $639,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $639,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $639,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $639,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $639,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $639,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $639,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $639,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $639,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $639,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $639,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $639,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $639,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $639,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $639,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $639,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $639,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-26pricedays on market $639,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $659,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $659,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $659,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $659,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $659,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $659,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $659,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $659,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $659,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $659,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $659,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $659,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $659,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $659,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $659,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $659,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $659,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $659,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $659,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $659,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $659,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $659,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $659,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $659,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $659,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $659,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $659,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $659,000 Active 55 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,794
- − Property taxes
- −$9,585
- − Insurance
- −$3,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,552
- − Management
- −$3,552
- − Depreciation
- −$18,589
- Taxable loss
- −$29,867
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,168
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This multi-family property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and exterior, and improve the landscaping. These updates will significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are dated and need updating.
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures appear outdated and need replacement.
- Moderate Exterior siding — The siding is weathered and may need repainting or replacement.
- Moderate Landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Updating the kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Updating the kitchen will improve both the resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Painting the siding will improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will enhance the property's curb appeal and attract more tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #4619
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, VT
- County
- Chittenden County · 170,769 people
- City population
- 31,662
- Metro
- Burlington-South Burlington, VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,662
- Household income
- $65,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Chittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,769 people
- By 2030
- 174,716 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 180,337 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 183,768 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 194,646 · +14.0%
- By 2100
- 194,933 · +14.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chittenden
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 75.4% · R 21.7% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 44.8pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+54.5 2016: D+46.8 2012: D+41.9 2008: D+44.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -316.87%
- Current HPI
- 352.2081
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $659,000 PrimeMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…