158-22 16th Ave Unit 6-64 · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully updated upper 1-bedroom co-op in Clearview Gardens is in excellent, move-in ready condition. It features a brand-new kitchen with modern finishes and appliances, along with a fully renovated bathroom. The desirable corner layout offers added privacy, with the bedroom facing a quiet courtyard. Wood floors run throughout the living room, dining area, and bedroom, and a one-year-old AC unit efficiently cools the entire apartment. A pull-down attic provides valuable extra storage, and residents enjoy access to a shared backyard. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, 3 blocks to the NYC express bus, near the Cross Island Parkway, with local buses nearby and only 15 mi
Key facts
- Pull down attic
- Brand new kitchen
- Wood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; No pets allowed; Two-story unit; Entry on second level
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; In-basement laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.42%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-11,305
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $28,885
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11357
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 289
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,625 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1011 162nd St Whitestone, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1001 154th St Whitestone, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 15719 26th Ave Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,850 | $3.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 151-07 7th Ave Unit 2FL Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,900 | $3.41 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 15019 26th Ave Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,800 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 206-14 Emily Rd Unit 42L Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 23-45 Corporal Kennedy St Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 209-21 26th Ave Unit TB Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $2,850 | $2.98 | 19d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1 Bay Club Dr Unit 21W Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $3,100 | $4.07 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 29-04 204th St Unit 1Floor Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 20933 26th Ave Unit 1C Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $3,000 | $3.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2 Bay Club Dr Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $4,000 | $5.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 16-05 Bell Blvd Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,400 | $3.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 16-66 Bell Blvd Unit 736 Bayside, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,350 | $3.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2621 Union St Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1670 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 600 | $2,600 | $4.33 | 2d | 4 | 1.40mi |
| 14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,400 | $3.20 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1816 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $2,450 | $3.16 | 3d | 2 | 1.41mi |
| 150-01 Northern Blvd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,800 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1785 215th St Unit 15J Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $3,500 | $5.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-04-28price $240,000
-
2026-03-23$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$3,600
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,520
- − Management
- −$2,520
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $1,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,346
- Household income
- $96,988
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Chinese 14% Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -810.81%
- Current HPI
- 285.5469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $240,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…