1208 Elm St · Rochester, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Seller financing available * Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right in town and close to local conveniences. This property is perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project with great upside. The layout offers an opportunity to update, remodel, or expand, making it an ideal opportunity to create a profitable rental or starter home. With its in-town location and promising possibilities, this home is ready for the right vision to bring it to life. Don’t miss out on a property with this much potential!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 204 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.4% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#206 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $574 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.98%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,498
- List price
- $83,000
- Delta
- -34.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640 E 12th St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 869 (-9%) | 4mo | $79,100 | $91 | 72 |
| 1109 Jackson Blvd | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 934 (-2%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $150 | 70 |
| 1226 Wabash Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-8%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $142 | 65 |
| 955 E 9th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (+8%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 1119 Rochester Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+9%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $207 | 52 |
| 1714 Audubon Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-9%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $98 | 51 |
| 1655 Monroe St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 860 (-10%) | 16mo | $110,000 | $128 | 50 |
| 1221 Washington St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+8%) | 14mo | $174,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 710 E 4th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+3%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $168 | 48 |
| 1529 College Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+14%) | 7mo | $189,000 | $173 | 46 |
| 128 W 7th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+12%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $112 | 45 |
| 1139 Rochester Blvd | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,053 (+10%) | 10mo | $194,000 | $184 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $3,794
- Equity at exit
- $12,376
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $25,498
- Equity at exit
- $7,176
Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46975
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,030 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $880/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,750
- Closing costs
- $2,490
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1707 Madison St Rochester, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 421 Westwood Ln Rochester, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 657 | $910 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2203 E State Road 14 Unit 3 Rochester, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2203 Indiana 14 Rochester, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $83,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $83,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $83,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $83,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $83,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $83,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $83,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $83,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $83,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $83,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $83,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $83,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $83,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $83,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
* Seller financing available * Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right in town and close to local conveniences. This property is perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project with great upside. The layout offers an opportunity to update, remodel, or expand, making it an ideal opportunity to create a profitable rental or starter home. With its in-town location and promising possibilities, this home is ready for the right vision to bring it to life. Don’t miss out on a property with this much potential!
-
2026-05-07historical 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
* Seller financing available * Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right in town and close to local conveniences. This property is perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project with great upside. The layout offers an opportunity to update, remodel, or expand, making it an ideal opportunity to create a profitable rental or starter home. With its in-town location and promising possibilities, this home is ready for the right vision to bring it to life. Don’t miss out on a property with this much potential!
-
2026-03-27status Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
* Seller financing available * Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right in town and close to local conveniences. This property is perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project with great upside. The layout offers an opportunity to update, remodel, or expand, making it an ideal opportunity to create a profitable rental or starter home. With its in-town location and promising possibilities, this home is ready for the right vision to bring it to life. Don’t miss out on a property with this much potential!
-
2026-02-21price $88,000 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
* Seller financing available * Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right in town and close to local conveniences. This property is perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project with great upside. The layout offers an opportunity to update, remodel, or expand, making it an ideal opportunity to create a profitable rental or starter home. With its in-town location and promising possibilities, this home is ready for the right vision to bring it to life. Don’t miss out on a property with this much potential!
-
2025-11-26$89,000 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
* Seller financing available * Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right in town and close to local conveniences. This property is perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project with great upside. The layout offers an opportunity to update, remodel, or expand, making it an ideal opportunity to create a profitable rental or starter home. With its in-town location and promising possibilities, this home is ready for the right vision to bring it to life. Don’t miss out on a property with this much potential!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,649
- − Property taxes
- −$880
- − Insurance
- −$415
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$989
- − Management
- −$989
- − Depreciation
- −$2,415
- Taxable income
- $2,027
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$486
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1809630
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,645
- Composite
- 30.44/100
- National rank
- #6231
- State rank
- #188 of 301 in IN
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #9060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, IN
- County
- Fulton County · 13,824 people
- City population
- 13,824
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,824
- Household income
- $61,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 238.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,537 people
- By 2030
- 19,013 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 17,959 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 17,038 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 15,117 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 13,179 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.72%
- Current HPI
- 212.9033
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-1.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $88,000 IRMLS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $89,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2024): $880 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…