139 Prospect St · Chestertown, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and inviting! Welcome to 139 Prospect St. , a delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher offering approximately 1,200 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-maintained home features thoughtful updates to the kitchen and bath, blending modern touches with classic appeal. Step onto the inviting front porch and into a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen—perfect for everyday living and easy entertaining. A private hallway leads to a generously sized primary bedroom and two additional spacious bedrooms. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large, deep backyard ideal for relaxing, gardening, or gathering. Conveniently located just moments from downtown Chestertown’s shops, restaurants, and local attractions, this property is a wonderful opportunity as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property. An exceptional value just minutes from the charm and amenities of historic downtown Chestertown! Mortgage savings may be available for buyers of this listing.
Key facts
- 6,350 sq ft lot
- Built 1991
- Listed 86 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-180 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (14.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (28.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.7% in Chestertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#238 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Kent County Public Schools (rural): math 10% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #20 of 24 in MD (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: H. H. Garnett Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #538 of 860 statewide, top 64%, 347 students, 100% FRL); Kent County Middle School (math 7% / reading 29%, grade F, #165 of 225 statewide, top 75%, 399 students, 64% FRL); Kent County High (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #126 of 222 statewide, top 57%, 531 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 47% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 50 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $225k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.42%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $260,358
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -13.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Prospect St | 0.01mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,156 (-4%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $104 | 83 |
| 631 High St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,234 (+3%) | 21mo | $250,000 | $203 | 69 |
| 112 Elm St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (+13%) | 0mo | $249,000 | $184 | 52 |
| 202 Glen St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,252 (+4%) | 14mo | $290,000 | $232 | 52 |
| 5 Rolling Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,202 (+0%) | 19mo | $239,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 420 Cannon St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-10%) | 11mo | $350,000 | $324 | 49 |
| 111 Elm St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,275 (+6%) | 18mo | $212,000 | $166 | 48 |
| 304 Hadaway Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (+10%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $189 | 40 |
| 106 Pine St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (+15%) | 24mo | $269,975 | $196 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-47,948
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-56,651
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21620
- Home prices YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,149/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $-180
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-52 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-180 | +5% $-243 | +10% $-307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-307 | -5% $-243 | +0% $-180 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-66 | -0.5pp $-123 | base $-180 | +0.5pp $-238 | +1.0pp $-297 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 S Lynchburg St Chestertown, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 104 Maple Ave Unit 3 Chestertown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,520 | $1.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 104 Maple Ave Unit 6 Chestertown, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,050 | $2.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7501 Church Hill Rd Unit 5 Chestertown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-03-27$225,000 Active 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Charming and inviting! Welcome to 139 Prospect St. , a delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher offering approximately 1,200 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-maintained home features thoughtful updates to the kitchen and bath, blending modern touches with classic appeal. Step onto the inviting front porch and into a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen—perfect for everyday living and easy entertaining. A private hallway leads to a generously sized primary bedroom and two additional spacious bedrooms. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large, deep backyard ideal for relaxing, gardening, or gathering. Conveniently located just moments from downtown Chestertown’s shops, restaurants, and local attractions, this property is a wonderful opportunity as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property. An exceptional value just minutes from the charm and amenities of historic downtown Chestertown! Mortgage savings may be available for buyers of this listing.
-
2026-03-26historical $225,000 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Charming and inviting! Welcome to 139 Prospect St. , a delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher offering approximately 1,200 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-maintained home features thoughtful updates to the kitchen and bath, blending modern touches with classic appeal. Step onto the inviting front porch and into a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen—perfect for everyday living and easy entertaining. A private hallway leads to a generously sized primary bedroom and two additional spacious bedrooms. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large, deep backyard ideal for relaxing, gardening, or gathering. Conveniently located just moments from downtown Chestertown’s shops, restaurants, and local attractions, this property is a wonderful opportunity as a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment property. An exceptional value just minutes from the charm and amenities of historic downtown Chestertown! Mortgage savings may be available for buyers of this listing.
-
1991-09-06soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,149 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,301 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- +$152/yr (+$13/mo · 7.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,149
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$6,180
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,483
- After-tax cash flow
- $-674/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400450
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,748
- Composite
- 17.37/100
- National rank
- #9072
- State rank
- #20 of 24 in MD
Livability — Chestertown
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #238
- US rank
- #11931
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chestertown, MD
- County
- Kent County · 13,810 people
- City population
- 13,810
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,810
- Household income
- $80,530
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 444.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,915 people
- By 2030
- 18,192 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 16,601 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,089 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 12,441 · -34.2%
- By 2100
- 10,191 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.4% · R 50.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.2 2016: R+4.6 2012: R+0.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.95%
- Current HPI
- 286.6638
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-26 Coming Soon $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1991-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,149 · +10743050.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…