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492 Algene St
F Composite 31.51
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$338,000

492 Algene St · Orion, MI 48362
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,037 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1950 8,712 sqft lot Est $244k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Imagine 492 Algene St, a residence designed for everyday practicality and comfort, with thoughtful enhancements throughout. The kitchen features an accent backsplash and contains all stainless steel appliances, providing a streamlined culinary environment. An exterior patio extends to a fully fenced in backyard, providing functional outdoor space. Experience a blend of modern style and functional living. Buyer/agent advised to verify homestead vs non homestead tax status with a tax professional. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

  • Exterior patio
  • Accent backsplash
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

ACCENT BACKSPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESEXTERIOR PATIOFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with conventional residential construction
  • Exterior features: Patio; Paved road access; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $338k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-762/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $327k (3.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $270k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lake Orion Community Schools (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #45 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $269,530 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.81%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,695
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
74 Odanah St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,109 (+7%) 1mo $244,000 $220 75
481 Heights Rd 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,081 (+4%) 7mo $325,000 $301 67
853 Merritt Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,025 (-1%) 6mo $227,500 $222 66
893 Sherry Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,105 (+7%) 1mo $302,000 $273 63
30 Beebe St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-3%) 10mo $265,000 $263 52
160 Parkview Blvd 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+6%) 7mo $259,000 $235 47
305 Goldengate St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,172 (+13%) 7mo $250,000 $213 46
332 Newton Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 906 (-13%) 7mo $220,000 $243 46
40 Smith Ct 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 926 (-11%) 21mo $200,000 $216 45
417 Glenn Ct 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,067 (+3%) 23mo $250,000 $234 43
126 N North Shore Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,170 (+13%) 4mo $230,000 $197 40
630 Longpointe Dr 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 884 (-15%) 20mo $285,000 $322 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-58,861
Equity at exit
$50,397
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-56,654
Equity at exit
$29,224

Cash invested: $94,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48362

Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,695 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,773
Tax from tax record
$279 /mo · $3,353/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$566
Net cashflow
$-63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,776
Max offer price $326,784
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,500
Closing costs
$10,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
442 Mystic Cove Ln Lake Orion, MI 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1989 $5,350 $2.69 1d 4 0.27mi
711 Kimberly Lake Orion, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 985 $1,149 $1.17 1d 6 0.30mi
120 S Broadway St Lake Orion, MI 2.0 2.0 1065 $2,950 $2.77 14d 1 0.57mi
733 Luna Ct Lake Orion, MI 3.0 1.5 1177 $2,695 $2.29 19d 1 1.07mi
784 Porteous Dr Lake Orion, MI 2.0 1.0 875 $1,600 $1.83 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $338,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $338,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $338,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $338,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $338,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $338,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $338,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 553-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $338,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,353 · $279/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,279 · $357/mo
Expected delta
+$926/yr (+$77/mo · 27.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,344
− Mortgage interest
−$18,933
− Property taxes
−$3,353
− Insurance
−$1,690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,587
− Management
−$2,587
− Depreciation
−$9,833
Taxable loss
−$6,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,594
After-tax cash flow
$832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Orion Community Schools
NCES district ID
2620730
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$82,396
Composite
51.21/100
National rank
#1755
State rank
#45 of 540 in MI

Livability — Orion

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Orion, MI
City population
10,401
Population (ZIP)
14,746

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -307.96%
Current HPI
182.3653
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.9% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $338,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $338,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $325,900 Public Records
  • 2025-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-10 Sold (MLS) $215,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-10 Sold (MLS) $215,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-12 Price Changed $240,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-12 Price Changed $240,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-07 Price Changed $248,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-07 Price Changed $248,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-05 Price Changed $258,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Price Changed $258,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $268,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $268,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-13 Sold (MLS) $31,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-06-19 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-04-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-30 Listed $53,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-10-30 Listed $53,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2003-10-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-09-26 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-03 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2002-05-20 Listed $132,900 REALCOMP
  • 2000-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-30 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-10-11 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,353 · +44.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…