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520 Locust St
B- Composite 69.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

520 Locust St · Farmersville, TX 75442
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 927 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1960 7,449 sqft lot $97/sqft · 58% below area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Opportunity in the vibrant and growing area of Farmersville, just off Hwy US380. Property has commercial possiblites or residential. Property is being sold AS-IS. House is in rough shape and has little to no value. No inside showings.

Key facts

  • 7,449 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 89 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.0% in Farmersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#425 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Farmersville ISD (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #298 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 415 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.41%
Cash-on-cash
21.83%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,946
List price
$89,900
Delta
-57.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Neathery St 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,030 (+11%) 9mo $205,000 $199 57
130 N Washington St 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,010 (+9%) 19mo $250,000 $248 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$14,606
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$50,309
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75442

Home prices YoY
-8.3%
Active inventory
415
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,342 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,123/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $763
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 S State Highway 78 #117 Farmersville, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $800 $1.03 24d 1 0.49mi
605 Orange Ave Farmersville, TX 2.0 1.0 986 $1,500 $1.52 20d 1 0.51mi
605 Orange Ave Farmersville, TX 2.0 1.0 986 $1,500 $1.52 24d 1 0.51mi
300 S State Highway 78 Unit 201 Farmersville, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 24d 1 0.53mi
215 Orange St Farmersville, TX 2.0 1.0 765 $1,595 $2.08 4d 1 0.61mi
121 Windom St Unit B Farmersville, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 43d 1 0.68mi
121 Windom St Unit A Farmersville, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 43d 1 0.68mi
1009 Gaddy St Farmersville, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $1,104 $1.30 1d 5 0.98mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $89,900 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Great Opportunity in the vibrant and growing area of Farmersville, just off Hwy US380. Property has commercial possiblites or residential. Property is being sold AS-IS. House is in rough shape and has little to no value. No inside showings.

  16. 2026-03-20
    listed $99,900 Active 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Great Opportunity in the vibrant and growing area of Farmersville, just off Hwy US380. Property has commercial possiblites or residential. Property is being sold AS-IS. House is in rough shape and has little to no value. No inside showings.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,123 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,645 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$522/yr (+$44/mo · 46.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,108
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,123
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,034
After-tax cash flow
$4,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farmersville ISD
NCES district ID
4819080
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,626
Composite
37.17/100
National rank
#4479
State rank
#298 of 826 in TX

Livability — Farmersville

Score
69/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#8723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmersville, TX
County
Collin County · 1,159,394 people
City population
10,805
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,805
Household income
$95,250
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
105.0

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,210,074 people
By 2030
1,358,201 · +12.2%
By 2040
1,654,061 · +36.7%
By 2050
1,937,359 · +60.1%
By 2075
2,567,039 · +112.1%
By 2100
2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

2024 margin
R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.67%
Current HPI
304.6738
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $89,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $99,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,123 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…